Warm for many with a change on the way
Warm and settled conditions will subside later this weekend, with thunderstorms likely for some from Sunday.
Read moreStaying dry and feeling warm overnight.
Staying dry overnight with clear spells across the region. Light winds will allow some localised mist and fog to develop by dawn. Feeling warm despite the clear skies. Minimum temperature 8 °C.
Remaining dry to start the weekend with blue skies and prolonged sunshine. Fair weather cloud may bubble up through the day but feeling pleasantly warm with light winds. Maximum temperature 23 °C.
Heavy and thundery showers likely on Sunday before rain and blustery winds return from the southwest on Monday and Tuesday and feeling cooler than in recent days.
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Low pressure is expected to be dominant across the UK at the start of this period, bringing widely unsettled conditions. Most areas will be affected by showers, which could in a few places be heavy, slow-moving, with thunder and possibly hail, or even longer spells of rain at first. Winds will mostly be light, and temperatures around to a little above average for the time of year. Heading into next weekend and beyond confidence falls significantly, but on balance the weather is more likely to turn a little less unsettled, with a greater chance of longer drier interludes between further rain or showers. Temperatures overall most likely to be a little above average but the chances of any prolonged settled, dry or hot weather are lower than normal.
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Signals during this period are extremely weak, and for the most part indistinguishable from climatology. Similar weather conditions to those of the preceding few days are most likely to characterise this period to the end of May; a mixture of unsettled periods with rain and showers and settled interludes in-between. By early June, the chances of above and below average rainfall are evenly balanced. There is a slightly higher likelihood of above average temperatures compared with below average temperatures, such that the chance of hot spells, although still very small, is slightly higher than normal too.
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