Visualising a range of possible weather scenarios, probabilities and impacts on energy trading in Europe.
Understanding the certainty of a forecast is vital to trading weather-impacted stocks such as crude, natural gas or electricity. It can be difficult to understand and quickly interpret the huge amount of information provided by probabilistic forecasts.
Decider is a unique tool aimed at the synoptic meteorologist, in particular those within energy and finance companies, to enable you to provide fuller and faster advice to your traders who are making weather-exposed trades.
Decider is a three to 30 day forecast product for Europe that displays the ECMWF ensemble outputs in a map-and-table format, and enables you to view likely upcoming weather scenarios and impacts over the forecast period. There are three different versions of Decider available which can be taken separately, or in conjunction with each other, to provide a complete picture of upcoming weather up to a month ahead.
Decider can be delivered via email, datafeed or web application.
"Decider has revolutionised the way we interpret the weather forecast."
Understanding the likelihood of various weather scenarios and their progression, enables you to analyse more information more quickly.
Last updated: 6 June 2014
Scientific excellence in tropical storm risk-management
Working with leading organisations to provide a global, independent and transparent view of catastrophic events
Finance products and services
Good results and a reduction in losses depend on having the best possible insight.