Clive leads the team developing, testing and evaluating the Operational Regional and Limited Area forecast models. Currently the focus is to improve the new UKV model which has a horizontal resolution of 1.5km and so permits convection.
The impact of more vertical levels in both the NAE and UK models is being investigated. Several high resolution limited area models run for commercial and crisis use are supported and maintained.
Clive is also part of the team developing the Virtual Met MastTM tool for wind resources screening to support the wind energy industry. This exploits the archived NWP forecasts (and rerun forecasts from historical data) to downscale to proposed site locations. Local effects of orography, surface roughness and near coastal effects are taken into account. Clive has developed the processing to include turbulence and shear estimates and has also assessed the accuracy of these and the long-term mean wind speeds. He has investigated how on-site monitoring observations may be used to improve the accuracy and confidence in the Virtual Met MastTM wind estimates. His team are developing a UK wind atlas and methods to utilise the UKV 1.5km wind forecasts to improve those based on the current 4km resolution models.
After completing his PhD in theoretical physics, Clive started his career at the Met Office in the Geophysical Fluid-Dynamics branch studying the effect of the atmospheric circulation on the Earth's wobble and length of day.
After several years working on climate change, including running the first coupled atmosphere/slab-ocean model with 2x CO2, Clive's focus has been on improving the operational NWP models. He has been especially concerned with the development of better diagnostic and verification methods to understand the strengths and weaknesses of the operational NWP models.
Clive has been active for several years in the European Working Group for Limited Area Modelling. He is chair of the European SRNWP expert team on verification and diagnostics and is Programme Manager for the EUMETNET SRNWP Verification Programme. He is a past member of the WMO Joint Working Group for Forecast Verification Research. He also participated in the WMO WGNE COMPARE studies.
"By investigating how the number of vertical layers in both the NAE and UK models affects the forecasts helps further our understanding of the nature of wind and as a result more closely predict its behaviour and potential long-term resource. The new finer resolution UKV 1.5km model represents orography and land-use more accurately and provides further scope to improve the accuracy of the long-term wind resource estimates."