Mountains can be inhospitable and dangerous places for the ill prepared. From one hour to the next, from one hill to the next, they can exhibit a dramatic variation in weather conditions. Whether it's a well-planned expedition or a spur-of-the-moment decision to go to the hills, it is important to check the forecast.
No matter from which direction the air comes, if it meets a range of hills it will have to do one of two things: either find a way through the valleys or be forced over the top. When air is forced to rise, it always cools. The rate of cooling is not constant, but on average temperature drops by around 2 °C per 300 m (1,000 ft) of ascent. This means that at the summit, the temperature will be much cooler than in the valley. Couple this with the average doubling in wind speed at 900 m compared to low ground, and the overall wind-chill effect on a wet or perspiring human body can be very large indeed. A wind of 40 m.p.h. and an air temperature of 3 °C, not at all an uncommon combination even in summer, will yield a wind-chill temperature of -10 °C.
However, on a day-to-day basis, such potentially dangerous weather is the exception rather than the rule. Checking the mountain forecast gives essential forewarning of the likely conditions on your chosen route.
Some basic safety advice can be found below.
Whenever an incident occurs requiring the mobilisation of a Mountain Rescue Team, the Met Office is ready, 24 hours a day, seven days a week, to provide back-up. The forecasters at RAF Kinloss support the mission planning and control at the Aeronautical Rescue Co-ordination Centre, and the forecasters at RAF Lossiemouth provide forecasts directly to the helicopter crews.
Forecast data supplied by the Met Office contributes to the preparation of the avalanche forecasts produced by the dedicated team at Glenmore Lodge.
The Met Office provides a daily forecast service to SAIS from mid-December to shortly after Easter. This forecast is transmitted to each of the five sites at Northern Cairngorm, Southern Cairngorm, Lochaber, Glencoe and Creag Meagaidh for input into their avalanche-prediction computer models. In addition, SAIS has access to high-level automatic weather stations installed by the Met Office to help improve the accuracy of the mountain forecasts.
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