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Black Shoulder

YELLOW Warnings in force
Recent locations
Black Shoulder last 24 hours
  • 7 °C

    4 °C

    Heavy rain
  • 7 °C

    3 °C

    Cloudy
  • 7 °C

    2 °C

    Cloudy
  • 8 °C

    5 °C

    Sunny day
  • 9 °C

    7 °C

    Cloudy
  • 10 °C

    6 °C

    Cloudy
  • 10 °C

    5 °C

    Cloudy
Thursday   (29 September 2016)
0200 0300 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300
Partly cloudy night Cloudy Light shower night Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Light shower day Light rain Heavy shower day Heavy shower day Heavy rain Light rain Heavy shower day Heavy rain Light shower day Cloudy Light shower night Light rain Light rain Light shower night
Temperature (°C)
9 ° 8 ° 7 ° 7 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 °
Warnings
Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow Yellow
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
4 ° 2 ° 1 ° 1 ° 0 ° 0 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° -1 ° 0 ° -1 ° 0 ° -1 °
Precipitation probability arrow down
<5% 10% 40% 10% 20% 10% 10% 20% 40% 50% 60% 70% 90% 50% 70% 80% 50% 20% 40% 50% 50% 30%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
WSW 32 39 WSW 34 42 WSW 38 46 WSW 38 47 WSW 39 48 WSW 38 47 WSW 40 50 WSW 40 49 WSW 41 51 WSW 41 51 W 39 48 W 32 41 W 34 43 W 33 43 W 35 44 W 33 42 W 32 41 W 33 42 W 31 39 WSW 29 38 WSW 26 33 WSW 27 35
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
E E VG E E E E E E E E G M VG G G E VG VG VG VG VG
Humidity arrow down
93% 90% 88% 91% 89% 91% 90% 90% 89% 89% 89% 93% 95% 93% 90% 93% 92% 94% 94% 94% 96% 95%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Friday   (30 September 2016)
0000 0100 0200 0300 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300
Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Partly cloudy night Cloudy Cloudy Overcast Fog Mist Sunny intervals Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Sunny intervals Cloudy Sunny intervals Sunny intervals Light shower night Light shower night Cloudy Partly cloudy night Mist
Temperature (°C)
5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 ° 4 °
Warnings
No warnings for Friday
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
-1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° 1 ° 1 ° 2 ° 2 ° 2 ° 3 ° 3 ° 2 ° 2 ° 2 ° 2 ° 2 ° 2 °
Precipitation probability arrow down
10% 10% 20% 20% 20% 10% 20% 10% 20% 20% 20% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 20% 10% 10% 40% 40% 10% <5% 20%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
WSW 26 34 WSW 26 33 WSW 27 35 WSW 27 35 WSW 25 33 WSW 25 32 WSW 22 29 WSW 20 26 WSW 20 26 WSW 19 26 WSW 18 25 WSW 17 24 WSW 16 24 WSW 15 23 WSW 14 22 WSW 14 22 WSW 14 21 WSW 13 19 SW 12 16 SW 12 15 S 10 13 SSE 8 10 SE 8 10 SSE 8 10
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VG VG M M G G G VG M VP P G VG VG VG VG VG VG VG VG G VG VG P
Humidity arrow down
95% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 98% 97% 97% 97% 94% 91% 88% 87% 87% 84% 84% 89% 92% 93% 95% 96% 97%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Saturday   (01 October 2016)
0000 0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Partly cloudy night Cloudy Cloudy Fog Mist Cloudy Sunny intervals Clear night Clear night
Temperature (°C)
4 ° 4 ° 4 ° 3 ° 5 ° 6 ° 7 ° 5 ° 3 °
Warnings
No warnings for Saturday
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
1 ° 1 ° 2 ° 1 ° 2 ° 3 ° 4 ° 2 ° 0 °
Precipitation probability arrow down
<5% 10% 10% 20% 20% 10% 10% 10% <5%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
SE 9 11 ESE 8 10 SE 6 7 NE 6 8 NE 8 13 NE 10 17 N 10 17 N 11 15 N 9 12
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VG VG G VP P VG G G G
Humidity arrow down
97% 94% 97% 98% 97% 86% 82% 92% 96%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
Sunday   (02 October 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Clear night Clear night Clear night Sunny day Sunny day Sunny intervals Clear night Cloudy
Temperature (°C)
3 ° 2 ° 2 ° 5 ° 7 ° 8 ° 6 ° 5 °
Warnings
No warnings for Sunday
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
0 ° 0 ° -1 ° 2 ° 4 ° 4 ° 2 ° 1 °
Precipitation probability arrow down
<5% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% 10%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
N 8 10 N 6 8 E 6 9 SE 9 14 SE 11 21 SSE 14 25 SSE 16 25 SE 18 28
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
G G G VG VG VG VG VG
Humidity arrow down
95% 94% 94% 93% 79% 77% 90% 93%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
Monday   (03 October 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Temperature (°C)
6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 7 ° 9 ° 9 ° 9 ° 8 °
Warnings
No warnings for Monday
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
1 ° 2 ° 2 ° 3 ° 4 ° 5 ° 5 ° 5 °
Precipitation probability arrow down
10% 10% 10% 10% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
SSE 20 31 SSE 21 34 SSE 21 35 SSE 22 37 SSE 23 40 SSE 22 40 SSE 22 38 SSE 22 39
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VG VG G G VG VG VG G
Humidity arrow down
94% 95% 97% 95% 89% 87% 90% 90%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
Tuesday   (04 October 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Cloudy Cloudy Overcast Overcast Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Temperature (°C)
8 ° 8 ° 7 ° 8 ° 10 ° 9 ° 9 ° 8 °
Warnings
No warnings for Tuesday
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
4 ° 3 ° 3 ° 5 ° 6 ° 6 ° 6 ° 5 °
Precipitation probability arrow down
20% 20% 30% 30% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
SSE 22 38 SSE 21 37 SSE 20 35 SSE 19 35 S 18 34 S 15 29 S 13 25 S 13 25
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
G G G G G VG VG G
Humidity arrow down
92% 96% 97% 95% 92% 93% 95% 96%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
Wednesday   (05 October 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Temperature (°C)
8 ° 7 ° 6 ° 8 ° 9 ° 9 ° 8 ° 7 °
Warnings
No warnings for Wednesday
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
5 ° 4 ° 3 ° 5 ° 6 ° 6 ° 5 ° 5 °
Precipitation probability arrow down
20% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
S 13 24 S 13 23 S 12 22 S 12 24 S 19 34 SSW 9 21 S 8 17 S 8 18
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
G G G VG VG VG VG VG
Humidity arrow down
97% 97% 99% 93% 86% 92% 97% 98%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
More Detail chevron down

Issued at: 0100 on Thu 29 Sep 2016

Forecast summary

  • Regional
  • UK 5 days
  • UK 6-30 days

Regional forecast for Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders

Becoming very windy overnight, gradually easing Thursday afternoon.

This Evening and Tonight:

A band of persistent rain will move across the region this evening, clearing to the south early tonight. Then drier and clearer with a few showers later, mainly over the Lothians. Windy with southwesterly gales. Minimum Temperature 8 °C.

Thursday:

Very windy morning with southwesterly gales, severe over high ground and bridges. Winds veering northwest and easing during afternoon. Otherwise sunny spells with blustery showers, most frequent over west Lothian. Maximum Temperature 15 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Some sunshine and scattered showers on Friday and Saturday. Cooler and winds becoming much lighter. Cold night Saturday night then dry on Sunday with sunny spells.

Updated at: 1600 on Wed 28 Sep 2016

UK forecast for the next 5 days

Very windy, with showers or outbreaks of rain.

This Evening and Tonight:

A band of rain will push southeastwards across the UK tonight reaching southern England by dawn and clearing elsewhere to cooler and showery conditions. Very windy too, especially in the north with gales or severe gales.

Thursday:

Cloud and rain gradually clearing the southeast during the morning. Showers continuing across northwestern parts and largely drier elsewhere. Still very windy across northern and central parts.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Sunshine and showers for most, Friday and Saturday, the showers heavier, more frequent and thundery on Saturday. Winds easing, though still breezy. Largely drier, Sunday, with sunny spells.

Updated at: 1455 on Wed 28 Sep 2016

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

UK Outlook for Monday 3 Oct 2016 to Wednesday 12 Oct 2016:

A dry and bright start to the week in the east and south, however windy and cloudy across northern and western parts with outbreaks of rain, perhaps turning heavy and persistent. This rain is likely to make slow, erratic progress eastwards during Tuesday. Through the remainder of the period, a continuation of the changeable conditions are likely with stronger winds and showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with drier, brighter periods. The heaviest and most persistent rain along with the stronger winds, gales at times, are likely to occur in the west and northwest, whereas eastern and southeastern parts should see more prolonged drier and brighter spells, though even here some rain is possible at times. Temperatures generally above normal and warm at times in the east and southeast.

Updated at: 1240 on Wed 28 Sep 2016

UK Outlook for Thursday 13 Oct 2016 to Thursday 27 Oct 2016:

There is currently low confidence for the forecast during the second half of October, however the most likely scenario is for a continuation of the more changeable conditions. The north and northwest are likely to see the most unsettled weather, with strong winds and showers or longer spells of rain, intermixed with some drier interludes. Further south and southeast there is a greater likelihood of drier, brighter weather with a low possibility of more prolonged settled spells here. Temperatures will vary through the period, but probably averaging out slightly above average for the time of year, though with an increasing risk of overnight frost in the more settled spells.

Updated at: 1240 on Wed 28 Sep 2016

Weather map

Thu 0300

Weather forecast map for Black Shoulder

Black Shoulder Black Shoulder – Cloudy 55.2489 -4.1942
Dumfries Dumfries – Partly cloudy night 55.0708 -3.6038
Biggar Biggar – Overcast 55.6234 -3.5226
Stranraer Stranraer – Clear night 54.9033 -5.0228
Glasgow Glasgow – Partly cloudy night 55.8643 -4.2505
Carlisle Carlisle – Partly cloudy night 54.8924 -2.9315
Edinburgh Edinburgh – Partly cloudy night 55.9533 -3.1868
Tarbert Tarbert – Cloudy 55.87 -5.42
Jedburgh Jedburgh – Clear night 55.4777 -2.5534
Strathyre Strathyre – Light rain 56.3257 -4.3234
Douglas (Isle of Man) Douglas (Isle of Man) – Clear night 54.1518 -4.484
Belfast Belfast – Clear night 54.596 -5.9301
Kendal Kendal – Partly cloudy night 54.3279 -2.7449
Berwick-upon-Tweed Berwick-upon-Tweed – Clear night 55.7702 -2.0038
Dundee Dundee – Clear night 56.4621 -2.9692
Pitlochry Pitlochry – Partly cloudy night 56.7045 -3.7283
Newcastle Upon Tyne Newcastle Upon Tyne – Clear night 54.9781 -1.6162
Newry Newry – Clear night 54.1707 -6.3348
Fort William Fort William – Heavy rain 56.8199 -5.104

Location Details

Black Shoulder

Location: 55.2489, -4.1942

Altitude: 710.0 m above mean sea level

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