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Met Office Hadley Centre refereed publications 2000/2001

Allen, M.R.,. Stott, P.A., Schnur, R.,. Delworth, T. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2000: Uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change. Nature , 407, 617-620.

Allan R.P., 2000: Evaluation of simulated clear-sky longwave radiation using ground-based observations. J. Climate, 13, 1951-1964

Austin, J., Knight, J. and Butchart, N. 2000: Three-dimensional chemical model simulations of the ozone layer: 1979-2015. QJR Meteorol. Soc., 126, 1,533-1,556.

Banks, H.T. 2000: The Indonesian throughflow in a coupled climate model and the sensitivity of the heat budget and the deep overturning. J. Geophys. Res. 105, 26,135-26,150.

Banks, H.T., Wood, R.A., Gregory, J.M., Johns ,T.C. and Jones, G.S., 2000: Are observed decadal changes in intermediate water masses a signature of anthropogenic climate change? Geophys. Res. Let., 27, 2961-2964.

Baran A.J. & Havemann S., 2000: Comparison of electrodynamic theory and various approximations for computing the absorption efficiency and single-scattering albedo of hexagonal columns. Appl. Opt., 39, 5,560-5,568.

Baran, A.J., Havemann, S, Francis, P.N. & Yang P., 2000: An investigation of tunnelling on nonspherical particles in random and preferred orientation using exact T-matrix theory and aircraft observations of cirrus. In: Fifth International Conference on Light Scattering by Nonspherical Particles: Halifax Contributions, Edited by G. Videen, Q. Fu and P. Chylek, pp151-154,

Bell, N., Carslaw, N., Creasey, D., Derwent, R., Heard, D., Jenkin, M., Lee, J.,Lewis, A., McQuaid, J., Pilling, M., Pascoe, S., Saunders, S. and Seakins, S. 2000: Development and applications of a Master Chemical Mechanism. In: CMD Annual Report '99, pp. 72-75. EUROTRAC-2, International Scientific Secretariat.

Betts, R.A., 2000: Offset of the potential carbon sink from boreal forestation by decreases in surface albedo Nature, Vol 408, 187-190

Betts, R.A., Cox, P.M. & Woodward, F.I., 2000: Simulated responses of potential vegetation to doubled CO2 climate change and feedbacks on near-surface temperature Global Ecol & Biogeograph Lett 9,:171-180,

Braconnot, P., Harrison, S.P., Hewitt C.D., Kitoh A., Otts Blusner B., Syhtus J., 2000: In: Preliminary comparison of coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations for 6ka WCRP III, WMO/TD 1007.

Brown A.R. and Grant A.L.M., 2000: Extensions to a similarity hypothesis for shallow cumulus convection. Boundary-Layer Meteorol., 97, 173-190.

Butchart, N., Austin, J. Knight, J. R. Scaife, A. A. and Gallani, M. L.. 2000: The response of the stratospheric climate to projected changes in the concentrations of well-mixed greenhouse gases from 1992 to 2051. J. Climate, 13, 2142-2159.

Christy, J.R., Parker, D.E., Brown, S.J., Macadam, I., Stendel, M. & Norris, W.B., 2001: Differential trends in tropical sea surface and atmospheric temperatures since 1979. Geophys Res. Lett 28, 183-186

Collins, W.J., Derwent, R.G. and Johnson, C.E. 2000: Input of stratospheric ozone into the troposphere studied with a Lagrangian model. In Proceedings of the Quadrennial Ozone Symposium Sapporo 2000, NASDA, Japan.

Collins, W.J., Derwent, R.G., Johnson, C.E. and Stevenson, D.S. 2000: The impact of human activities on the photochemical production and destruction of tropospheric ozone Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 126, 1925-1951.

Covey, C. et al (23 authors including Johns T.C.) 2000: The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models Clim Dyn 16, 775-787.

Cox, P.M., Betts, R.A., Jones, C.D., Spall, S.A. and Totterdell, I.J., 2000: Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model. Nature, 408, 184-187.

Crossley, J.F., Polcher, J., Cox, P.M., Gedney, N. and Planton, J., 2000: Uncertainties linked to land-surface processes in climate change simulations. Clim Dyn, 16, 949-961.

Cubash, U., Meehl, G.A., Boer, G.J., Stouffer, R.J., Dix, M., Noda, A., Senior, C.A., Raper, S. and Yap, K.S., 2001: Projections of future climate change. In 'Climate Change 2001: The scientific basis'. J. T. Houghton, Ding Yihui and M. Noguer (Eds), Cambridge University Press.

Davies, B M, Jones, C.D, Manning, A J and Thomson, D J, 2000, Some field experiments on the interaction of plumes from two sources, Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 126, 1343-1366.

Derwent, R.G., 2000: Ozone formation downwind of an industrial source of hydrocarbons under European conditions. Atmos Environ, 34, 3689-3700.

Derwent, R.G. and Malcolm, A.L. 2000: Photochemical generation of secondary particles in the United Kingdom. Philos Trans R Soc London A 358, 2643-2657.

Douville, H, Planton, S, Royer, J F, Stevenson, D B, Tyteca, S, Kergoat, L, Lafont, S. and Betts, R A., 2000: Importance of vegetation feedbacks in doubled-CO2 climate experiments. J. Geophys. Res., 105, :14841-14861

Durkee, H., et al (including Johnson D.W., Taylor, P., Öström, E. and Osbourne S.R.)2000: The impact of ship-produced aerosols on the microstructure and albedo of warm marine stratocumulus clouds: a test of MAST hypotheses 1i and 1ii. J Amos Sci., 57, 2554-2569

Eyink G L and Thomson, D J, 2000: Free decay of turbulence and breakdown of self-similarity, Phys. Fluids, 12, 477-479.

Faria, D.A., Pomeroy, J.W. and Essery, R.L.H., 2000: Effect of covariance between ablation and snow water equivalent on depletion of snow-covered area in a forest Hydrol Process, 14, 2683-2695

Gedney, N., Cox P.M., Douville H., Polcher J. and Valdes P., 2000: Characterising GCM land surface schemes to understand their responses to climate change. J. Climate 13, 3066-3079

Ghosh, S., Jonas, P.R. and Wood, R., 2000: Some impact of pollutants on the development and optical properties of stratocumulus clouds. QJR Meteorol Soc., 126, 2851-2872

Gillett, N.P., Hegerl, G.L., Allen, M.R., Stott, P.A., 2000: Implications of changes in the northern hemisphere circulation for the detection of anthropogenic climate change. Geophys Res. Lett., 27, 993-996

Giorgi, F., Hewitson, B., Christensen, J., Fu, C., Jones, R., Hulme, M., Mearns, L., Von Storch, H., and Whetton, P., 2001: Regional climate information - evaluation and projections. Iin "Climate Change 2001". The IPCC third scientific assessment. J T Houghton et al (Eds)

Grant, A.L.M., 2001: Cloud base fluxes in the cumulus-capped boundary layer QJR. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 407-421

Gregory, J.M., 2000: Vertical heat transports in the ocean and their effect on time-dependent climate change Clim Dyn, 16, 501-515

Gregory, J.M. and Lowe, J.A., 2000: Predictions of global and regional sea-level rise using AOGCMs with and without flux adjustment. Geophys. Res. Let., 27, 3,069-3,072

Havemann, S. and Baran, A.J., 2000: Extension of the T-matrix formulation to general 3D homogeneous dielectric particles: examples of exact calculations for hexagonal ice columns and plates. Fifth International Conference on Light Scattering by Nonspherical Particles: Halifax Contributions.G. Videen, Q. Fu and P. Chylek, (Eds) pp107-110

Hegerl, G., Stott, P., Tett, S.F.B., Mitchell, J.F.B., Allen, M.and Cubasch, U., 2000: Optimal detection and attribution of climate change :sensitivity of result to climate model differences. Clim Dyn, 16, 737-754

Hewitt C.D., 2000: Effects of sea-ice on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the third PMIP Workshop, Geneva WMO. WCRP-III, WMO/TD-1007

Hewitt, C.D., Broccoli, A.J., Mitchell, J.F.B. and Stouffer, R.J., 2001: A coupled model study of the last glacial maximum: Was part of the North Atlantic relatively warm? Geophys. Res. Letters, 28, 1,571-1,574

Hort, M.C. and Robins, A.G, 2000: The effect of 'small' bunds on the dispersion around 'large' buildings. Proceedings of Air Pollution 8, Wessex Institute of Technology, Cambridge 24-26 July 2000, 541-550.

Huntingford, C. and Cox, P.M., 2000: An analogue model to derive additional climate change scenarios from existing GCM simulations. Clim Dyn, 16, 575-586

Huntingford, C., Cox, P.M. and Lenton, T.M. 2000: Contrasting response of a simple terrestrial ecosystem model to global change. Ecol Model, 134, 41-58

Hurrell, J.W., Brown, S.J., Trenberth, K.E. and Christy, J.R., 2000: Comparison of tropospheric temperatures from radiosondes and satellites: 1979-1998. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 81, 2,165-2,177

Jackson, D.R., Methven, J.and Pope, V.D., 2001: Transport in the low latitude tropopause region diagnosed using particle trajectories J.Atmos. Sci, 58, 173-192

Jacob, D. et al (including Jackson ,S.D. and Smith, R.N.B): 2001 A comprehensive model inter-comparison study investigating the water budget during the BALTEX-PIDCAP period. Meteorol Atmos Phys., 77, 19-43

Jenkin, M.E., Davies, T.J., Hayman, G.D., Stedman, J.R., Thetford, R. and Fitzgerald, P.L., Derwent, R.G., Collins, W.J., Saunders, S.M. and Pilling, M.J. 2000: Modelling of tropospheric ozone formation. AEA Technology Report AEAT/R/ENV/0099 Issue 1, AEA Technology, Culham Laboratory, Oxfordshire.

Johns, T.C., Gregory, J.M., Stott, P. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2001: Correlations between patterns of 19th and 20th century surface temperature change and HadCM2 climate model ensembles. Geophys Res Lett, 28, 1007-1010

Jones, P.D., Osborn, T.J., Briffa, K.R., Folland, C.K., Horton ,E.B., Alexander, L.V., Parker, D.E. and Rayner, N.A.., 2001: Adjusting for sampling densitiy in grid-box land and ocean surface temperature time series. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 3371-3380

Kershaw, R, Grant, A.L.M., Derbyshire, S.H. and Cusack, S., 2000: The numerical stability of a parametrization of convective momentum transport. QJR. Meteorol. Soc, 126 2,981-2,984

Kristjánsson, J-E, Edwards, J.M. and Mitchell, D.L., 2000: Impact of a new scheme for optical properties of ice crystals on the climates of two GCMs. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 10,063-10,079

Lock, A.P., Brown, A.R., Bush, M.R., Martin, G.M. and Smith, R.N B., 2000: A new boundary layer mixing scheme. Part I: Scheme description and single-column model tests. Mon Weather Rev 128, 3,187-3,199

Malcolm, A.L. and Manning, A.J. 2001: Testing the skill of a Lagrangian dispersion model at estimating primary and secondary particulates. Atmos Environ, 35, 1,677-1,685

Martin, G.M., Bush, M.R., Brown, A.R., Lock, A.P. and Smith, R.N.B., 2000: A new boundary layer mixing scheme. Part II: Tests in climate and mesoscale models. Mon Weather Rev 128, 3,200-3,217

Martin, G.M., Arpe, K., Chaurin, F., Ferranti, L., Maynard, K., Polcher, J., Stephenson, D.B., and Tschuck, P., 2000: Simulation of the Asian summer monsoon in five European general circulation models. Atmos Sci Lett, DOI:10.1006/asle 2000.0004

Mitchell, J.F.B., Johns, T.C, Ingram, W.J. and Lowe, J.A., 2000: The effect of stabilising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations on global and regional climate change. Geophys .Res. Letts., 27, 2,997-2,980

Murphy, J.M, 2000: Predictions of climate change over Europe using statistical and dynamical downscaling techniques. Int. J. Climatol. 20, 489-501

Noone, K.J. et al (including Öström, E., Johnson D.W. and Taylor J.P.) 2000: A case study of ships forming and not fdroming tracks in moderately polluted clouds. J Atmos Sci., 57, 2,729-2,747

Öström, E. and Noone, K.J. 2000: Vertical profiles of aerosol scattering and absorption measured in situ during the North Atlantic aerosol characterization experiment (ACE-2) Tellus, 52B, 526-545

Parker, D.E., Horton, E.B. and Alexander, L.V., 2000: Global and regional climate in 1999 Weather, 55 188-199

Parker, D.E., Basnett, T.A., Brown, S.J., Gordon, M., Horton, E.B. and Rayner, N.A., 2001: Climate observations - The Instrumental Record. Space Sci Rev 94, 309-320

Pilon P., Kundzewicz Z.W. and Parker, D.E., 2000: Hydrological data for change detection. Detecting trend and other changes in hydrological data. In: Proceedings of international workshop on Detecting Changes in Hydrological Data. Wallingford, 2-4 Dec 1998, Z W Kundzewicz & A Robson (Eds), Geneva WMO WCP No. WCDMP-45, WMO/TD No 1013,

Rasch, P.J., et al, (35 authors includes Roberts, D.L and Stevenson, D.S.) 2000: A comparison of scavenging and deposition processes in global models: results from the WCRP Cambridge Workshop of 1995. Tellus 52B, 1,025-1,056

Rayner, N.A., Parker, D.E., Frich, P., Horton, E.B., Folland, C.K. and Alexander, L.V., 2000: SST and sea-ice fields for ERA40 In: Proceedings of the second WCRP International Conference on reanalyses (Wokefield Park, Reading UK August 1999, WCRP-109, WMO/TD-No 985

Ryall, D.B., Derwent, R.G., Manning, A.J., Simmonds, P.G. and O'Doherty, S. (2001) Estimating source regions of European emissions of trace gases from observations at Mace Head. Atmos Environ, 35, 2,507-2,523

Scaife, A.A., Austin, J., Butchart, N., Pawson, S. Kiel, M. Nash, J. and James, I. N. 2000: Seasonal and interannual variability of the stratosphere diagnosed from UKMO TOVS analyses. QJR. Meteorol. Soc., 126, 2,585-2,604.

Schlosser C.A., et al (includes Cox, P.M. and Gedney, N.) 2000: Simulations of a boreal grassland hydrology at Valdai, Russia, PILPS 2(d) Mon. Wea.Rev., 128, 301-321

Senior, C.A. and Mitchell, J.F.B. 2000: The time dependence of climate sensitivity. Geophys. Res. Letters, 27, 2685-2688.

Simmonds, P.G., Derwent, R.G., O'Doherty, S, Ryall, D.B., Steele, L.P., Langenfelds, R.L., Salameh, P., Wang, H.J., Dimmer, C.H. and Hudson, L.E. 2000: Continuous high-frequency observations of hydrogen at the Mace Head baseline atmospheric monitoring station over the 1994-1998 period. J Geophys Res, 105, 12,105-12,121.

Slingo, A., Pamment, J.A., Allan, R.P. and Wilson, P.S., 2000: Water vapor feedbacks in the ECMWF re-analyses and Hadley Centre climate model J. Climate 13, 3,080-3,098

Stevenson, D.S., Johnson, C.E., Collins, W.J., Derwent, R.G. and Edwards, J.M., 2000: Future estimates of tropospheric ozone radiative forcing and methane turnover - the impact of climate change Geophys. Res Lett. 27, 2,073-2,076

Stevenson, D.S., Johnson, C.E., Collins, W.J. and Derwent, R.G. 2000: The impact of climate change upon the future radiative forcing from tropospheric ozone and methane. In: Procedings of the Quadrennial Ozone Symposium Sapporo 2000, NASDA, Japan.

Stott, P A., Tett, S.F.B., Jones, G.S., Allen, M.R., Ingram, W.J. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2001: Attribution of Twentieth Century Climate Change to Natural and Anthropogenic causes Clim Dyn, 17, 1-21.

Stott, P.A., Tett, S.F.B., Jones, G.S., Allen, M.R., Ingram, W.J. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2000: Anthropogenic and natural causes of twentieth century temperature change Space Sci Rev, 94, 337-344.

Stott, P.A., Tett, S.F.B., Jones, G.S., Allen M.R., Mitchell, J.F.B. and Jenkins, G.J., 2000: External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. Science 290, 2,133-2,137

Sutton, R.T., Jewson, S.P. and Rowell, D.P., 2000: The elements of climate variability in the tropical Atlantic region. J. Climate 13, 3,261-3,284

Taylor, K.E., Hewitt, C.D., Braconnot, P., Broccoli, A.J., Doutriaux, C., and Mitchell J.F.B., 2000: Analysis of forcing, response and feedbacks in a palaeoclimate modelling experiment In: Proceedings of the third PMIP Workshop, Geneva, WMO. WCRP-III, WMO/TD-1007

Thomson, D J and Manning, A J, 2001, Along-wind dispersion in light wind conditions, Boundary-Layer Meteorol., 98, 341-358

Wallace, J.M., Christy, J.R., Gaffen, D.J., Spencer, R.W. Wentz, F.J. Hansen, J.E., Parker, D.E. and Trenberth, K.E., 2000: Improving atmospheric temperature monitoring capabilities. A letter Report to NOAA/NESDIS from the US National Research Council Panel on reconciling temperature observations. Washington D.C, National Academy Press.

Williams, A.G., 2001: A physically based parametrization of surface flux enhancement by gustiness effects in dry and precipitating convection. QJR. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 469-491

Williams, K.D., 2000: Mesoscale analysis of a comma cloud observed during fastex. Meteorol Appl, 7, 129-134

Wilson, D.R., 2000: The impact of a physically based microphysical scheme on the climate simulation of the Meteorological Office Unified Model QJR. Meteorol. Soc 126, 1,281-1,300

Wood, R., 2000: Parametrization of the effect of drizzle upon the droplet effective radius in stratocumulus clouds. QJR Meteorol Soc., 126, 3,309-3,325

Wood, R. and Field P.R. 2000 Relationships between total water, condensed water, and cloud fraction in stratiform clouds examined using aircraft data . J. Atmos, Sci, 57, 1,888-1,905

Wood, R.A. and Bryan, F.O., 2000: Coupled ocean-atmosphere models. In: Ocean Circulation and Climate: Observing and Modelling the Global Ocean G Siedler, J Church and W J Gould (Eds) Academic Press