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ALLAN, R.P., SLINGO, A. and Ramaswamy, V., 2002: Analysis of moisture variability in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts 15-year reanalysis over the tropical oceans. J Geophys .Res, 107 (D15), ACL 1-1 to ACL 1-5. ALLAN, R.P., SLINGO, A. and RINGER, M.A., 2002: Influence of dynamics on the changes in tropical cloud radiative forcing during the 1998 El Niño. J Clim, 15, 1,979-1,986. Allen, M.R. and INGRAM, W.J., 2002: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature, 419, 224-232. AUSTIN, J. and KNIGHT, J.R., 2002; The Unified Model with Eulerian transport and chemistry: code description and testing procedure. Met Office Internal Document. AUSTIN, J., Shindell, D., Brühl, C., Dameris, M., Manzini, E., Nagashima, T., Newman, P., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Rozanov, E., Schnadt, C. and Shepherd, T.G., 2003: Uncertainties and assessments of chemistry-climate models of the stratosphere. Atmos Chem Phys, 3, 1-27. 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Collins, M., Osborn, T.J., TETT, S.F.B., Briffa, K.R. and Schweingruber, F.H., 2002: A comparison of the variability of a climate model with paleotemperature estimates from a neural network of tree-ring densities. J Clim, 15, 1497-1515. COLMAN, A., 2002: Experimental forecast of East African Rainfall for October-December 2002. COLA Experimental Long Lead Forecast Bulletin 11, Nos. 3-4, 53-57 (available online at http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Sep02/Colman/colman.htm). COLMAN, A.W. and DAVEY, M.K., 2002: Experimental forecast of 2002 seasonal rainfall In the Sahel and other regions of tropical north Africa. COLA Experimental Long Lead Forecast Bulletin 11, No. 2, 51-55 (available online at http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Jun02/colman/colman.htm). DERWENT, R.G., COLLINS, W.J., JOHNSON, C.E. and STEVENSON, D.S., 2002: Global ozone concentrations and regional air quality. Environ Sci & Technol, 36, 379A-382A. 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