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Met Office Hadley Centre refereed publications 2005/2006

Alexander, L., Tett, S. and Jonsson, T., 2005: Recent observed changes in severe storms over the United Kingdom and Iceland. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L13704. doi:10.1029/2005GL022371.

Alexander, L., et al, (25 authors), 2005: Trends in middle east climate extreme indices from 1950 to 2003. J Geophys Res, 110, D22104. doi:10.1029/2005JD006181.

Alexander, L.V., (24 authors includes, Caesar, J.), 2006: Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res, 111. D05109. doi:10.1029/2005JD006290.

Allen, M., Andronova, N., Booth, B., Dessai, S., Frame, D., Forest, C., Gregory, J., Hegerl, G., Knutti, R., Piani, C., Sexton, D. and Stainforth, D., 2006: Observational constraints on climate sensitivity. In Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Schellnhuber, H.J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. and Yohe, G. (eds.). Cambridge University Press.

Anderson, T.L., Charlson, R.J., Bellouin, N., Boucher, O., Chin, M., Christopher, S.A., Haywood, J., Kaufman, Y., Kinne, S., Ogren, J.A., Remer, L.A., Takemura, T., Tanré, D., Torres, O., Trepte, C.R., Wielicki, B.A., Winker, D.M. and Yu, H., 2005: A-train strategy for quantifying direct climate forcing by aerosols. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 86(12), 1,795-1,809. doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-12-1795.

Andreae, M.O., Jones, C.D. and Cox, P.M., 2005: Strong present-day aerosol cooling implies a hot future. Nature, 435, 1,187-1,190. doi:10.1038/nature03671.

Barnett, D.N., Brown, S.J., Murphy, J.M., Sexton, D.M.H. and Webb, M.J., 2006: Quantifying uncertainty in changes in extreme event frequency in response to doubled CO2 using a large ensemble of GCM simulations. Clim Dyn, 26(5), 489-511. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0097-1.

Barnett, T.P., Pierce, D.W., AchutaRao, K.M., Gleckler, P.J., Santer, B.D., Gregory, J.M. and Washington, W.M., 2005: Penetration of human-induced warming into the world's oceans. Science, 309(5732), 284-287. doi:10.1126/science.1112418.

Bell, M.J., Barciela, R., Hines, A., Martin, M., Sellar, A. and Storkey, D., 2006: The Forecasting Ocean Assimilation Model (FOAM) system. Chassignet, E.P. and Verron, J. (eds), Ocean Weather Forecasting, 397-411. Springer, Netherlands.

Bellouin, N., Boucher, O., Haywood, J. and Reddy, M.S., 2005: Estimate of aerosol direct effects over land and oceans from MODIS. Nature, 438, 1,138-1,141. doi:10.1038/nature04348.

Berntsen, T., Fuglestvedt, J., Joshi, M., Shine, K., Stuber, N., Ponater, M., Sausen, R., Hauglustaine, D. and Li, L., 2005: Response of climate to regional emissions of ozone precursors; Sensitivities and warming potentials. Tellus, 57(4), 283-304. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2005.00152.x.

Betts, R.A., 2005: Integrated approaches to climate-crop modelling: needs and challenges. Philos Trans R Soc London A, 360, 2,049-2,065.

Brown, J., Collins, M. and Tudhope, S., 2006: Coupled model simulations of mid-holocene ENSO and comparisons with coral proxy records. Adv in Geosciences, 6, 29-33.

Caesar, J., Alexander, L. and Vose, R., 2006: Large-scale changes in observed daily maximum and minimum temperatures - creation and analysis of a new gridded dataset. J Geophys Res, 111. D05101. doi:10.1029/2005/JD006280.

Christidis, N., Stott, P., Brown, S., Hegerl, G. and Caesar, J., 2005: Detection of changes in temperature extremes during the second half of the 20th century. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L20716. doi:10.1029/2005GL023885.

Cowling, S.A., Betts, R.A., Cox, P.M., Ettwein, V.J., Jones, C.D., Maslin, M.A. and Spall., S., 2005: Modelling the past and future fate of the Amazonian Rainforest. In Tropical forests and global atmospheric change, Mahli, Y. and Phillips, O. (eds.). Oxford University Press, Oxford.

Cox, P.M., Huntingford, C. and Jones, C.D., 2006: Conditions for sink-to-source transitions and runaway feedbacks from the land carbon-cycle. In Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Schellnhuber, H.J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. and Yohe, G. (eds.). Cambridge University Press.

Crucifix, M., 2005: Carbon isotopes in the glacial ocean: a model study. Paleoceanography, 20, PA4020. doi:10.1029/2005PA001131.

Crucifix, M., Braconnot, P., Harrison, S.P. and Otto-Bliesner, B., 2005: Second phase of Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project. Eos, Trans Am Geophys Union, 86, 264.

Crucifix, M. and Hewitt, C.D., 2005: Impact of vegetation changes on the dynamics of the atmosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum. Clim Dyn, 25(5), 447-459. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0013-8.

Derwent, R.G., Simmonds, P.G., O'Doherty, S., Stevenson, D.S., Collins, W.J., Sanderson, M.G., Johnson, C.E., Dentener, F., Cofala, J., Mechler, R. and Amann, M., 2006: External influences on Europe's air quality: Baseline methane, carbon monoxide and ozone from 1990 to 2030 at Mace Head, Ireland. Atmos Environ, 40, 844-855.

Derwent, R.G., Stevenson, D.S., Doherty, R.M., Collins, W.J., Sanderson, M.G., Johnson, C.E., Cofala, J., Meicher, R., Amann, M. and Dentener, F.J., 2005: The contribution from ship emissions to air quality and acid deposition in Europe. Ambio, 34(1), 54-59.

Deque, M., Jones, R.G., Wild, M., Giorgi, F., Christensen, J.H., Hassell, D.C., Vidale, P.L., Rockel, B., Jacob, D., Kjellstrom, E., Castro, M. de., Kucharski, F. and Hurk, B. van den. 2005: Global high resolution versus Limited Area Model climate change projections over Europe: quantifying confidence level from PRUDENCE results. Clim Dyn, 25(6), 653-670 doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0052-1.

Elliott, J.A., Thackeray, S.J., Huntingford, C. and Jones, R.G., 2005: Combining a regional climate model with a phytoplankton community model to predict future changes in phytoplankton in lakes. Freshwater Biol, 50(8), 1,404-1,411. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2427.2005.01409.x.

Folland, C.K., 2005: Tests of bias corrections to sea surface temperature using a climate model. Int J Climatol, 25(7), 895-911. doi:10.1002/joc.1171.

Forster, P. and Joshi, M., 2005: The role of halocarbons in the climate change of the troposphere and stratosphere. Clim Change, 71(1-2), 249-266. doi:10.1007/s10584-005-5955-7.

Forster, P.M.D.F. and Gregory, J.M., 2006: The climate sensitivity and its components diagnosed from Earth radiation budget data. J Clim, 19(1), 39-52. doi:10.1175/JCLI3611.1.

Frame, D.J., Booth, B.B.B., Kettleborough, J.A., Stainforth, D.A., Gregory, J.M., Collins, M. and Allen, M.R., 2005: Constraining climate forecasts: the role of prior assumptions. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L09702. doi:10.1029/2004GL022241.

Gash, J.H.C., Huntingford, C., Marengo, J.A., Betts, R.A., Cox, P.M., Fisch, G., Fu, R., Gandu, A.W., Harris, P.P., Machado, L.A.T., von Randow, C. and Silva Dias, M.A., 2004: Amazonian climate: results and future research. Theor Appl Climatol, 78(1-3), 187-193, doi:10.1007/s00704-004-0052-9.

Gauss, M. (23 authors, including Collins, W. and Sanderson, M.G.), 2006: Radiative forcing since preindustrial times due to ozone change in the troposphere and the lower stratosphere. Atmos Chem Phys, 6, 575-599.

Gedney, N., Cox, P.M., Betts, R.A., Boucher, O., Huntingford, C. and Stott, P., 2006: Detection of a direct carbon dioxide effect in continental river runoff records. Nature, 439, 835-838, doi:10.1038/nature04504.

Gillett, N.P., Allan, R.J. and Ansell, T.J., 2005: Detection of external influence on sea level pressure with a multi-model ensemble. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L19714, doi:10.1029/2005GL023640.

Gleckler, P.J., Wigley, T.M.L., Santer, B.D., Gregory, J.M., AchutaRao, K. and Taylor, K.E., 2006: Krakatoa's signature persists in the ocean. Nature, 439, 675. doi:10.1038/439675a.

Gloster, J., Champion, H.J., Mansley, L.M., Romero, P., Brough, T. and Ramirez, A., 2005: The 2001 epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease in the United Kingdom: epidemiological and meteorological case studies. Vet Rec, 156, 793-803.

Gregory, J.M. (18 authors, includes Thorpe, R.B.) 2005: A model intercomparison of changes in the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L12703. doi:10.1029/2005GL023209.

Harries, J.E. (44 authors, includes Ringer, M.A.), 2005: The geostationary earth radiation budget project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 86(7), 945-960. doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-7-945.

Harrison, R.G. and Ingram, W.J., 2005: Air-earth current measurements at Kew, London, 1909-1979. Atmos Res, 76(1-4), 49-64. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2004.11.022.

House, J., Brovkin, V., Betts, R.A., Costanza, R., Diaz., M.A.S., Holland, E., Quere, C. Le, Kim Phat, N., Riebesell, U. and Scholes, M., 2005: Climate and Air Quality. In Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Current State and Trends. Island Press, Washington, DC.

Huntingford, C., Harris, P.P., Gedney, N., Cox, P.M., Betts, R.A., Gash, J.H.C. and Marengo, J., 2004: Using a GCM analogue model to investigate the potential for Amazonian forest dieback. Theor Appl Climatol, 78(1-3), 177-185, doi:10.1007/s00704-004-0051-x.

Huntingford, C., Stott, P.A., Allen, M.R. and Lambert, F.H., 2006: Incorporating model uncertainty into attribution of observed temperature change. Geophys Res Lett, 33(5), L05710, doi: 10.1029/2005GL024831.

James, P.M., 2006a: An assessment of European synoptic variability in Hadley Centre global environmental models based on an objective classification of weather regimes. Clim Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0133-9.

Jones, A.R. and Thomson, D.J., 2006: Simulation of time series of concentration fluctuations in atmospheric dispersion using a correlation-distortion technique. Boundary-Layer Meteorol, 118, 25-54. doi:10.1007/s10546-005-7724-6.

Jones, C.D. and Cox, P.M., 2005: On the significance of atmospheric CO2 growth-rate anomalies in 2002-2003. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L14816. doi:10,1029/2005GL023027.

Jones, C.D., Cox, P.M. and Huntingford, C., 2006: Impact of climate-carbon cycle feedbacks on emissions scenarios to achieve stabilisation. In Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Schellnhuber, H.J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. and Yohe, G. (eds.). Cambridge University Press.

Jones, C.D., Gregory, J.M., Thorpe, R.B., Cox, P.M., Murphy, J.M., Sexton, D.M.H. and Valdes, P., 2005: Systematic optimisation and climate simulation of FAMOUS, a fast version of HadCM3. Clim Dyn, 25(2-3), 189-204. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0027-2.

Jones, G.S., Gregory, J.M., Stott, P.A., Tett, S.F.B. and Thorpe, R.B., 2005: An AOGCM simulation of the climate response to a volcanic super-eruption. Clim Dyn, 25(7-8), 725-738. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0066-8.

Jones, G.S., Jones, A., Roberts, D.L., Stott, P.A. and Williams, K.D., 2005: Sensitivity of global-scale climate change attribution results to inclusion of fossil fuel black carbon aerosol. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L14701. doi:10.1029/2005GL023370.

Kaufman, Y.J., Boucher, O., Tanre, D., Chin, M., Remer, L.A. and Takemura, T., 2005: Aerosol anthropogenic component estimated from satellite data. Geophys Res Lett, 32. L17804, doi:10.1029/2005GL023125.

Kay, A.L., Jones, R.G. and Reynard, N.S., 2006: RCM rainfall for UK flood frequency estimation. II. Climate change results. J Hydrol, 318, 163-172. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.06.013.

Kay, A.L., Reynard, N.S. and Jones, R.G., 2006: RCM rainfall for UK flood frequency estimation. I. Method and validation. J Hydrol, 318, 151-162. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.06.012.

Kennedy, J.J., 2005: Europe. In State of the climate in 2004, Levinson, D.H. (ed.). Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 86(6), S1-S86.

Kinra, S., Lewendon, G., Nelder, R., Herriott, N., Mohan, R., Hort, M., Harrison, S. and Murray, V., 2005. Evacuation decisions in a chemical air pollution incident: cross sectional survey. British Medical J, 330, (1471) doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7506.1471.

Knight, J.R., Allan, R.J., Folland, C.K., Vellinga, M. and Mann, M.E., 2005: A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate. Geophys Res Lett, 32. L20708, doi:10.1029/2005GL024233.

Lowe, J.A. and Gregory, J.M., 2005: The effects of climate change on storm surges around the United Kingdom. Philos Trans R Soc London, 363, 1,313-1,328. doi:10.1098/rsta.2005.1570.

Lowe, J.A., Gregory, J.M., Ridley, J., Huybrechts, P., Nicholls, R.J. and Collins, M., 2006: The role of sea-level rise and the Greenland ice sheet in dangerous climate change: Implications for the stabilisation of climate. In Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Schellnhuber, H.J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. and Yohe, G. (eds). Cambridge University Press.

McDonald, R.E., Bleaken, D.G., Cresswell, D.R., Pope, V.D. and Senior, C.A., 2005: Tropical storms: representation and diagnosis in climate models and the impacts of climate change. Clim Dyn, 25(1), 19-36. doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0491-0.

Masson, V. (26 authors, includes Crucifix, M. and Hewitt, C.D.), 2006: Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate mode intercomparison and ice-core constraints. Clim Dyn, 26(5), 523-529. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0081-9.

O'Connor, F.M., Carver, G.D., Savage, N.H., Pyle, J.A., Methven, J., Arnold, S.R., Dewey, K. and Kent, J., 2005: Comparison and visualisation of high resolution transport modelling with aircraft measurements. Atmos Sci Lett, 6(3), 164-170. doi:10.1002/asl.111.

Parker, D.E. and Horton, E.B., 2005: Uncertainties in Central England Temperature 1878-2003 and some improvements to the maximum and minimum series. Int J Climatol, 25, 1,173-1,188. doi:10.1002/joc.1190.

Parker, D.E., Kennedy, J. and Hardwick, J., 2005: Global and regional climate in 2004. Weather, 60(7), 197-205.

Pascoe, C.L., Gray, L.J. and Scaife, A.A., 2006: A GCM study of the influence of equatorial winds on the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L06825. doi:10.1029/2005GL024715.

Quaas, J., Boucher, O. and Lohmann, U., 2006: Constraining the total aerosol indirect effect in the lmdz and ECHAM4 GCMs using MODIS satellite data. Atmos Chem Phys, 6, 947-955.

Rayner, N., Brohan, P., Parker, D.E., Folland, C.K., Kennedy, J., Vanicek, M., Ansell, T., and Tett, S.F.B., 2006: Improved analyses of changes and uncertainties in sea surface temperature measured in situ since the mid-nineteenth century: The HadSST2 dataset. J Clim, 19(3), 446-469. doi:10.1175/JCLI3637.1.

Richardson, G.M., Wadley, M.R., Heywood, K.J., Stevens, D.P. and Banks, H.T., 2005: Short-term climate response to a freshwater pulse in the Southern Ocean. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L03702. doi:10.1029/2004GL021586.

Ridley, J., Huybrechts, P., Gregory, J.M. and Lowe, J.A., 2005: Elimination of the Greenland ice sheet in a high CO2 climate. J Clim, 18(17), 3,409-3,427. doi:10.1175/JCLI3482.1.

Rowell, D.P., 2005: A scenario of European climate change for the late 21st century: Seasonal means and interannual variability. Clim Dyn, 25(7-8), 837-849. doi: 10.1007/s00382-005-0068-6.

Sanderson, M.G., Collins, W.J., Johnson, C.E. and Derwent, R.G., 2006: Present and future acid deposition to ecosystems: The effect of climate change. Atmos Environ, 40(7), 1,275-1,283. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.10.031.

Santer, B.D. (25 authors, includes Thorne, P.W., Collins, W., Jones, G.S.), 2005: Amplification of surface temperature trends and variability in the tropical atmosphere. Science, 309 (5740), 1,551-1,556. doi:10.1126/science.1114867.

Scaife, A.A., Knight, J.R., Vallis, G.K. and Folland, C.K., 2005: A stratospheric influence on the winter NAO and North Atlantic surface climate. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L18715. doi:10.1029/2005GL023226.

Sitch, S., Brovkin, V., von Bloh, W., van Vuuren, D., Eickhout, B. and Ganopolski, A., 2005: Impacts of future land cover changes on atmospheric CO2 and climate. Global Biogeochem Cycles, 19. doi:10.1029/2004GB002311.

Smith, P. and Falloon, P., 2005: Carbon sequestration in European croplands. In The carbon balance of forest biomes, Griffiths, H. and Jarvis, P. (eds.). Bios Scientific Publishers, New York.

Spencer, H., Sutton, R., Slingo, J., Roberts, M. and Black, E., 2005: Indian Ocean climate and dipole variability in Hadley Centre coupled GCMs. J Clim, 18(13), 2,286-2,307. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3410.1.

Stevenson, D.S., Doherty, R.M., Sanderson, M.G., Johnson, C.E., Collins, B. and Derwent, R.G., 2005: Radiative forcing from aircraft NOx emissions: Mechanisms and seasonal dependence. Faraday Discuss, 130, 41-57.

Stott, P.A., Kettleborough, J.A. and Allen, M.R., 2006: Uncertainty in continental-scale temperature predictions. Geophys Res Lett, 33(2), L02708, doi:10.1029/GL024423.

Sutton, R.T., Mathieu, P.P., Collins, M. and Dong, B., 2005: Response to comment by Geert Jan van Oldenburgh on 'Predictability of winter climate over the North Atlantic European region during ENSO events'. J Clim, 18(14), 2,773-2,774. doi:10.1175/JCLI3442.1.

The International ad hoc Detection and Attribution Group (includes Stott, P. and Tett, S.), 2005: Detecting and attributing external influences on the climate system: A review of recent advances. J Clim, 18(9), 1,291-1,314. doi:10.1175/JCLI3329.1.

Thonicke, K., Prentice, I.C. and Hewitt, C.D., 2005: Modeling glacial-interglacial changes in global fire regimes and trace gas emissions. Global Biogeochem Cycles, 19. doi:10.1029/2005GB002454.

Thorne, P., Parker, D., Tett, S., Jones, P., McCarthy, M., Coleman, H. and Brohan, P., 2005: Revisiting radiosonde upper-air temperatures from 1958 to 2002. J Geophys Res, 110. D18105. doi:10.1029/2004JD005753.

Thorne, P.W., Karl, T.R., Coleman, H., Folland, C.K., Murray, W.L., Parker, D.E., Ramaswamy, V., Rossow, W., Scaife, A.A. and Tett, S.F.B., 2005: Meeting summary: Vertical profiles of temperature trends. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 86(10), 1,471-1,476.

Thorne, P.W., Parker, D.E., Christy, J.R. and Mears, C.A., 2005: Uncertainties in climate trends: lessons from upper-air temperature records. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 86(10), 1,437-1,442.

Tsushima, Y., Emori, S., Ogura, T., Kimoto, M., Webb, M.J., Williams, K.D., Ringer, M.A., Soden, B.J., Li, B. and Andonova, N., 2006: Importance of the mixed-phase cloud distribution in the control climate for assessing the response of clouds to carbon dioxide increase: a multi-model study. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0127-7.

Uppala, S.M. (46 authors, includes Allan, R.P. and Rayner, N.A.), 2005: The era-40 re-analysis. QJR Meteorol Soc, 131, 2,961-3,012. doi:10.1256/qj.04.176.

van Oldenborgh, Philip, Y. and Collins, M., 2005: El Nino in a changing climate: A multi-model study. Ocean Sci, 1, 81-95.

Warner, C.D., Scaife, A.A., Butchart, N. and Swinbank, R., 2005: Filtering of parameterized nonorographic gravity waves in the Met Office unified model. J Atmos Sci, 62(6), 1,831-1,848. doi: 10.1175/JAS3450.1.

Webb, M.J., Senior, C.A., Sexton, D.M.H., Ingram, W.J., Williams, K.D., Ringer, M.A., McAvaney, B.J., Colman, R., Soden, B.J., Gudgel, R., Knutson, T., Emori, S., Ogura, T., Tsushima, Y., Andronova, N.G., Li, B., Musat, I., Bony, S. and Taylor, K.E., 2006: On the contribution of local feedback mechanisms to the range of climate sensitivity in two GCM ensembles. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0111-2.

Williams, K.D., Ringer, M.A., Senior, C.A., Webb, M.J., McAvaney, B.J., Andronova, N., Bony, S., Dufresne, J.-L., Emori, S., Gudgel, R., Knutson, T., Li, B., Lo, K., Musat, I., Wegner, J., Slingo, A. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2006: Evaluation of a component of the cloud response to climate change in an intercomparison of climate models. Clim Dyn, 26(2-3), 145-165. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0067-7.

Williams, K.D., Senior, C.A., Slingo, A. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2005: Towards evaluating cloud response to climate change using clustering technique identification of cloud regimes. Clim Dyn, 24(7-8), 701-719. doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0512-z.

Wood, R., Collins, M., Gregory, J., Harris, G. and Vellinga, M., 2006: Towards a risk assessment for shutdown of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. In Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Schellnhuber, H.J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. and Yohe, G. (eds.). Cambridge University Press.

Woodward, S., Roberts, D.L. and Betts, R.A., 2005:. A simulation of the effect of climate change-induced desertification on mineral dust aerosol. Geophys Res Lett, 32, L18810. doi:10.1029/2005GL023482.

Yang, X., Cox, R.A., Warwick, N.J., Pyle, J.A., Carver, G.D., O'Connor, F.M. and Savage, N.H., 2005: Tropospheric bromine chemistry and its impacts on ozone: A model study. J Geophys Res, 110. D23311. doi:10.1029/2005JD006244.

Zhang, M.H. (17 authors, includes Webb, M.J.) 2005: Comparing clouds and their seasonal variations in 10 atmospheric general circulation models with satellite measurements. J Geophys Res, 110, D15S02. doi:10.1029/2004JD005021.

Zhang, X. (25 authors, includes Alexander, L.), 2005: Trends in middle east climate extreme indices from 1950 to 2003. J Geophys Res, 110, D22104. doi:10.1029/2005JD006181.

Zhao, Y., Braconnot, P., Marti, O., Harrison, S.P., Hewitt, C.D., Kitoh, A., Liu, Z., Mikolajewicz, U., Otto-Bliesner, B. and Weber, S.L., 2005: A multi-model analysis of the role of the ocean on the African and Indian monsoon during the mid-Holocene. Clim Dyn, 25(7-8), 777-800. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0076-7.