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Met Office Hadley Centre refereed publications 2006/2007

Agnew, M.D. and Palutikof, J.P., 2006: Impacts of short-term climate variability in the UK on demand for domestic and international tourism. Clim Res, 31(1), 109-120.

Allan, R.J., 2006: El Nino: ENSO and decadal-multidecadal climatic variability. In Ecology: An Australian perspective (second edition), Attiwell, P. and Wilson, B., (eds). Oxford University Press, Australia.

Allan, R.J., 2006: ENSO and related teleconnections. In The global climate system: pattern, processes and teleconnections, Oliver, J.E. and Bridgman, H., (eds). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

Allan, R.J. and Ansell, T.J. 2006: A new globally complete monthly historical gridded mean sea level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850-2004. J Clim, 19(22), 5,816-5,842. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3937.1.

Al-Adamat, R., Rawajfih, Z., Easter, M., Paustian, K., Coleman, K., Milne, E., Falloon, P., Powlson, D.S., and Batjes, N., 2007: Predicted soil organic carbon stocks and changes in Jordan between 2000 and 2030. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 35-45. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.006.

Allen, M.R., Gillett, N.P., Kettleborough, J.A., Hegerl, G., Schnur, R., Stott, P.A., Boer, G., Covery, G., Delworth, T.L., Jones, G.S., Mitchell, J.F.B. and Barnett, T.P., 2006: Quantifying anthropogenic influence on recent near-surface temperature change. Surv Geophys, 27(5), 491-454. doi: 10.1007/s10712-006-9011-6.

Ansell, T.J. et al (39 authors includes Allan, R.J., Parker, D.E., Brohan, P. and Rayner, N.A.), 2006: Daily mean sea level pressure reconstructions for the European-North Atlantic region for the period 1850-2003. J Clim, 19(12), 2,717-2,742. doi:10.1175/JCLI3775.1.

Banks, H.T. and Gregory, J.M., 2006: Mechanisms of ocean heat uptake in a coupled climate model and the implications for tracer based predictions of ocean heat uptake. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L07608. doi:10.1029/2005GL025352.

Barring, L., Holt, T., Linderson, M.L., Radziejewski, M., Moriondi, M. and Palutikof, J.P., 2006: Defining dry/wet spells for point observations, observed area averages, and regional climate model gridboxes in Europe. Clim Res, 31 (1), 35-49.

Bell, V.A., Kay, A.L., Jones, R.G. and Moore, R.J., 2007: Development of a high resolution grid-based river flow model for use with regional climate model output. Hydrol and Earth Sys Sci, 11(1), 532–549. doi: 1607-7938/hess/2007-11-532.

Betts, R.A., 2007: Human-caused climate change: the evidence. In Earthy Realism: The meaning of Gaia, Midgley, M. (ed.), Imprint Academic, Exeter, UK.

Betts, R.A., 2006: Forcings and feedbacks by land ecosystem changes on climate change. J Phys IV France, 139, 119-142. doi: 10.1051/jp4:2006139009.

Betts, R.A., Falloon, P.D., Goldewijk, K.K. and Ramankutty, N., 2007: Biogeophysical effects of land use on climate: model simulations of radiative forcings and large-scale temperature change. Agric Forest Meteorol, 142, 216-233. doi:0.1016/j.agrformet.2006.08.021.

Bhattacharyya, T. et al (13 authors includes Falloon, P.), 2007: Evaluating the Century C model using long-term fertiliser trials in the Indo-Gangetic plains, India. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 78-83. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.009.

Bhattacharyya, T. et al (15 authors includes Falloon, P.), 2007: Predicted soil organic carbon stocks and changes in the Indo-Gangetic plains, India during 1980 to 2030. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 84-94. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.010.

Bony, S. et al (14 authors includes Ingram, W.J. and Webb, M.J.), 2006: How well do we understand and evaluate climate change feedback processes? J. Clim, 19, 3445-3482. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3819.1.

Botkin, D.B. et al (19 authors includes Betts, R.), 2007: Forecasting the effects of global warming on biodiversity. Bioscience, 57(3), 227-236.

Butchart, N., Scaife, A.A., Bourqui, M., Grandpre, J. de, Hare, S.H.E., Kettleborough, J., Langematz, U., Manzini, E., Sassi, F., Shibata, K., Shindell, D. and Sigmond, M., 2006: Simulations of anthropogenic change in the strength of the Brewer-Dobson circulation. Clim Dyn, 27, 727-741. doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0162-4.

Brohan, P., Kennedy, J., Harris, I., Tett, S.F.B. and Jones, P.D., 2006: Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J Geophys Res, 111, D12106. doi:10.1029/2005JD006548.

Buonomo, E., Jones, R., Huntingford, C. and Hannaford, J., 2007: On the robustness of changes in extreme precipitation simulated by two regional climate model over Europe. QJR Meteorol Soc, 133, 65-81.

Burke, E. J., Brown, S. J., and Christidis, N., 2006: Modeling the recent evolution of global drought and projections for the 21st century with the Hadley Centre climate model. J Hydrometeorol, 7, 1,113-1,125. doi: 10.1175/JHM544.1.

Cane, M. A., Braconnot, P., Clement, A., Gildor, H., Joussaume, S., Kageyama, M., Khodri, M., Paillard, D., Tett, S. and Zorita, E., 2006: Progress in paleoclimate modeling. J Clim, 19, 5,031-5,057. doi:10.1175/JCLI3899.1.

Cerri, C.E.P., Easter, M., Paustian, K., Killian, K., Coleman, K., Bernoux, M., Falloon, P., Powlson, D.S., Batjes, N., Milne, E. and Cerri, C., 2007: Projected soil organic carbon stocks and changes in the Brazilian Amazon between 2000 and 2030. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 58-72. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.008.

Cerri, C.E.P., Easter, M., Paustian, K., Killian, K., Coleman, K., Bernoux, M., Falloon, P., Powlson, D.S., Milne, E., Batjes, N. and Cerri, C., 2007: Simulating SOC changes in 11 land use change chronosequences from the Brazilian Amazon with ROTHC and century models. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 46-57. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.007.

Clark, R.T., Brown, S.J. and Murphy, J.M., 2006: Modeling northern hemisphere summer heat extreme changes and their uncertainties using a physics ensemble of climate sensitivity experiments. J Clim, 19(17), 4,418-4,435. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3877.1

Collins, M., Booth, B.B.B., Harris, G.R., Murphy, J.M., Sexton, D.M.H. and Webb, M.J., 2006: Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change. Clim Dyn, 27, 127-147. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0121-0.

Collins, M., Botzet, A., Carril, A. F., Drange, H., Jouzea, A., Latif, M., Masina, S., Otteraa, O.H., Pohlmann, H., Sorteberg, A., Sutton, R. and Terray, L., 2006: Interannual to decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic: A multimodel-ensemble study. J Clim, 19(7), 1,195-1,203. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3654.1.

Collins, W.D. et al (21 authors includes Ingram, W.J.), 2006: Radiative forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). J Geophys Res, 111, D14317. doi:10.1029/2005JD006713.

Connolley, W.M. and Keen, A.B. and McLaren, A.J., 2006: Results from the implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic sea ice rheology in HadCM3. Ocean Sci, 2, 201-211.

Copsey, D., Sutton, R. and Knight, J.R., 2006: Recent trends in sea level pressure in the Indian Ocean region. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L19712, doi:10.1029/2006GL027175.

Dentener, F. et al (37 authors includes Collins, B., Rodriguez, J. and Sanderson, M.), 2006: Nitrogen and sulfur deposition on regional and global scales: A multimodel evaluation. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 20. GB4003. doi:10.1029/2005GB002672.

Dentener, F. et al (43 authors includes Collins, B., Rodriguez, J. and Sanderson, M.), 2006: The global atmospheric environment for the next generation. Environ Sci Technol, 40(11), 3,586-3,594. doi:10.1021/ES0523845.

Doherty, R.M., Stevenson, D.S., Johnson, C.E., Collins, W.J. and Sanderson, M.G., 2006: Tropospheric ozone and El Nino-southern Oscillation: Influence of atmospheric dynamics, biomass burning emissions, and future climate change. J Geophys Res, 111, D19304. doi:10.1029/2005JD006849.

Dong, B., Sutton, R.T. and Scaife, A.A., 2006: Multidecadal modulation of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variance by Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L08705. doi:10.1029/2006GL025766, 2006.

Easter, M. et al, (23 authors including Falloon, P.), 2007: The GEFSOC soil carbon modeling system: a tool for conducting regional-scale soil carbon inventories and assessing the impacts of land use change on soil carbon. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 13-25. doi:0.1016/j.agee.2007.01.004.

Eyring, V. et al (19 authors includes Collins, W.J., Rodriguez, J.M. and Sanderson, M.), 2006: Multi-model simulations of the impact of international shipping on atmospheric chemistry and climate in 2000 and 2030. Atmos Chem Phys Discuss, 6, 8,553-8,604.

Eyring, V. et al (39 authors including Butchart, N.), 2006: Assessment of temperature, trace species, and ozone in chemistry-climate model simulations of the recent past. J Geophys Res, 111, D22308, doi:10.1029/2006JD007327.

Falloon, P., Jones, C.D., Cerri, C.E.P., Al-Adamat, R., Kamoni, P., Bhattacharyya, T., Easter, M., Paustian, K., Killian, K., Coleman, K. and Milne, E., 2007: Climate change and its impact on soil and vegetation carbon storage in Kenya, Jordan, India and Brazil. Agr Ecosyst. Environ, 122, 114-124. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.013.

Falloon, P.D. and Betts, R.A., 2006: The impact of climate change on global river flow in HadGEM1 simulations. Atmos Sci Lett, 7(3), 62-68. doi: 10.1002/asl.133.

Falloon, P.D., Smith, P., Bradley, R.I., Milne, R., Tomlinson, R., Viner, D., Livermore, M. and Brown, T., 2006c: ROTHCUK - a dynamic modelling system for estimating changes in soil C from mineral soils at 1 km scale in the UK. Soil Use Manage., 22, 274-288. doi:10.1111/j.1475-2743.2006.00028.x.

Fischer, E.M., Luterbacher, J., Zorita, E., Tett, S.F.B., Casty, C. and Wanner, H., 2007: European climate response to tropical volcanic eruptions over the last half millennium. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L05707, doi:10.1029/2006GL027992.

Folland, C.K., Parker, D.E., Reynolds, R.W., Sherwood, S.C. and Thorne, P.W., 2006: What measures can be taken to improve the understanding of observed changes? In Temperature trends in the lower atmosphere: steps for understanding and reconciling differences, T.R. Karl, S.J. Hassol, C.D. Miller and W.L. Murray (eds.). (A report by the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Washington, DC.), Chapter 6, 119-127.

Folland, C.K., Parker, D.E., Scaife, A.A., Kennedy, J.J. Colman, A.W., Brookshaw, A., Cusack, S. and Huddleston, M.R., 2006: The 2005-6 winter in Europe and the United Kingdom: Part 2: prediction techniques and their assessment against observations. Weather, 61(12), 337-346. doi: 10.1256/wea.182.06.

Frame, D.J., Stone, D.A., Stott, P.A. and Allen, M.R., 2006: Alternative to stabilization scenarios. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L14707. doi:10.1029/2006GL025801.

Friedlingstein, P. et al (29 authors including Betts, R.A. and Jones, C.D.), 2006: Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis, results from the C4MIP model intercomparison. J Clim, 19, 3,337-3,353. doi:10.1175/JCLI3800.1.

Gleckler, P.J., AchutaRao, K., Gregory, J.M., Santer, B.D., Taylor, K.E. and Wigley, T.M.L., 2006: Krakatoa lives: the effect of volcanic eruptions on ocean heat content and thermal expansion. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L17702. doi:10.1029/2006GL026771.

Good, P. and Lowe, J., 2006: Emergent behavior and uncertainty in multimodel climate projections of precipitation trends at small spatial scales. J Clim, 19 (21), 5,554-5,569. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3932.1.

Gloster, J., Sellers, R., Webster, H. and Valarcher, J.F., 2006: Assessing the risk of airborne spread of foot-and-mouth disease - a case study. Weather, 61(5), 137-142. doi:10.1256/wea.164.05.

Graham, R.J., Gordon, C., Huddleston, M.R., Davey, M., Norton, W., Colman, A., Scaife, A.A., Brookshaw, A., Ingleby, B., McLean, P., Cusack, S., McCallum, E., Elliot, W., Groves, K., Cotgrove, D. and Robinson, D., 2006: The 2005-6 winter in Europe and the United Kingdom: Part 1: How the Met Office forecast was produced and communicated. Weather, 61(12), 327-336. doi: 10.1256/wea.181.06.

Greeves, C.Z., Pope, V.D., Stratton, R.A. and Martin, G.M., 2006: Representation of northern hemisphere winter storm tracks in climate models. Clim Dyn, 28(7-8), 683-702. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0205-x.

Gregory, J. and Essery, R., 2006: Mountain climate. In N. Kempe and M. Wrightham, (eds.), Hostile habitats: Scotland's mountain environment (Scottish Mountaineering Trust).

Gregory, J.M. and Huybrechts, P., 2006: Ice-sheet contributions to future sea-level change. Philos Trans R Soc London, 364, 1,709-1,731. doi:10.1098/rsta.2006.1796.

Gregory, J.M., Lowe, J.A. and Tett, S.F.B., 2006: Simulated global-mean sea-level changes over the last half-millennium. J Clim, 19(18), 4,576-4,591. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3881.1.

Gunson, J.R., Spall, S.A., Anderson, T.R., Jones, A., Totterdell, I.J. and Woodage, M.J., 2006: Climate sensitivity to ocean dimethylsulphide emissions. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L07701, doi:10.1029/2005GL024982.

Guo, L., Falloon, P., Coleman, K., Lin, E. and Zhou, B., 2007: Application of the ROTHC model to typical upland soils of northern china. Soil Use Manage, 23, 63-70. doi:10.1111/j.1475-2743.2006.00056.x.

Hannah, L., Betts, R.A. and Shugart, H.H., 2006: Modelling impacts of climate change on tropical forests. In Tropical forest responses to climate change, Flenley, J. and Bush, M.B., (eds). London: Praxis.

Hanson, C.E, Palutikof, J.P, Dlugolecki, A. and Giannakopoulos, C., 2006: Bridging the gap between science and the stakeholder: the case of climate change research. Clim Res, 31(1), 121-133.

Harris, G.R., Sexton, D.M.H., Booth, B.B.B., Collins, M., Murphy, J.M. and Webb, M.J., 2006: Frequency distributions of transient regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles of general circulation model simulations. Clim Dyn, 27, 357-375. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0142-8.

Hewitt, C.D., Broccoli, A.J., Crucifix, M., Gregory, J.M., Mitchell, J.F.B. and Stouffer, R.J., 2006: The effect of a large freshwater perturbation on the glacial North Atlantic ocean using a general circulation model. J Clim, 19(17), 4,436-4,447. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3867.1.

Ingleby, B. and Huddleston, M., 2007: Quality control of ocean temperature and salinity profiles - historical and real-time data. J Mar Sys, 65, 158-175. doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2005.11.019.

Ingram, W.J., 2006: Detection and attribution of climate change, and understanding solar influence on climate. Space Sci Rev, 125, 199-211. (Also published as a chapter of ‘Solar Variability and Planetary Climates’, Springer, 2006.). doi:10.1007/s11214-006-9057-2.

Jacob, D. et al (19 authors including Jones, R.), 2007: An intercomparison of regional climate models for Europe: design of the experiments and model performance. Clim Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9213-4.

James P.M., 2006: An objective classification for Hess and Brezowsky Grosswetterlagen over Europe. Theor Appl Climatol, 88, 17-42. doi: 10.1007/s00704-006-0239-3.

Johns, T.C., Durman, C.F., Banks, H.T., Roberts, M.J., McLaren, A.J., Ridley, J.K., Senior, C.A., Williams, K.D., Jones, A., Rickard, G.J., Cusack, S., Ingram, W.J., Crucifix, M., Sexton, D.M.H., Joshi, M.M., Dong, B.-W., Spencer, H., Hill, R.S.R., Gregory, J.M., Keen, A.B., Pardaens, A.K., Lowe, J.A., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Stark, S. and Searl, Y., 2006: The new Hadley Centre climate model HadGEM1: Evaluation of coupled simulations. J Clim, 19(7), 1,327-1,353. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3712.1.

Jones, C.D., Cox, P.M. and Huntingford, C., 2006: Climate-carbon cycle feedbacks under stabilization. Tellus, 58B, 603-613. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0889.2006.00217.x.

Joshi, M.M., Charlton, A.J. and Scaife, A.A., 2006: On the influence of stratospheric water vapour changes on the tropospheric circulation. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L09806, doi: 10.1029/2006GL025983.

Kageyama, M. (20 authors including Crucifix, M. and Hewitt, C.D.), 2006: Last glacial maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, Margo sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions. Quaternary Sci Rev, 25, 2,082-2,102.

Kamoni, P.T., Gicheru, P.T., Wokabi, S.M., Easter, M., Milne, E., Coleman, K., Falloon, P. and Paustian, K., 2007: Predicted soil organic carbon stocks and changes in Kenya between 1990 and 2030. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 105-113. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.024.

Kamoni, P.T., Gicheru, P.T., Wokabi, S.M., Easter, M., Milne, E., Coleman, K., Falloon, P., Paustian, K., Killian, K. and Kihanda, F.M., 2007: Evaluation of two soil carbon models using two Kenyan long term experimental datasets. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 95-104. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.011.

Karoly, D.J. and Stott, P.A., 2006: Anthropogenic warming of Central England Temperature. Atmos Sci Lett. doi:10.1002/asl.136.

Kennedy, J., Parker, D.E. and Coleman, H., 2006: Global and regional climate in 2005. Weather, 61(8), 215-224. doi: 10.1256/wea.72.06.

Kennedy, J.J., Brohan, P. and Tett, S.F.B., 2007: A global climatology of the diurnal variations in sea-surface temperature and implications for MSU temperature trends. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L05712. doi:10.1029/2006GL028920.

Kennedy J.J., 2006: Europe. In K.A. Shein (Ed.), State of the Climate in 2005. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 87(6), S1-S102.

Kettleborough, J.A., Booth, B.B.B., Stott, P.A. and Allen, M.R., 2007: Estimates of uncertainty in predictions of global mean surface temperature. J Clim, 20(5), 843-855. doi: 10.1175/JCLI4012.1.

Kjellström, E., Bärring, L., Jacob, D., Jones, R., Lenderink, G. and C. Schär, 2007: Variability in daily maximum and minimum temperatures: recent and future changes over Europe. Clim Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9220-5.

Knight, J.R., Folland, C.K. and Scaife, A.A., 2006: Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Geophys Res Lett, 33, L17706, doi:10.1029/2006GL026242.

Krinner, G., Boucher, O. and Balkanski, Y., 2006: Ice-free glacial northern Asia due to dust deposition on snow. Clim Dyn, 27(6), 613-625. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0159-z.

Latif, M., Collins, M., Pohlmann, H. and Keenlyside, N., 2006: A review of predictability studies of Atlantic sector climate on decadal time scales. J. Clim, 19(23), 5,971-5,987. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3945.1

Lowe, J. A. and Gregory, J. M., 2006: Understanding projections of sea level rise in a Hadley Centre coupled climate model. J Geophys Res, 111, C11014. doi:10.1029/2005JC003421.

Luterbacher, J. (42 authors including Tett, S.F.B.), 2006: The Mediterranean Climate: an overview of the main characteristics and issues. Chapter 1: Mediterranean climate variability over the last centuries; A Review, Elsevier, pp 27-148.

Martin, G.M., Ringer, M.A., Pope, V.D., Jones, A., Dearden, C. and Hinton, T.J., 2006: The physical properties of the atmosphere in the new Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, (HadGEM1). Part I: Model description and global climatology. J Clim, 19(7), 1,274-1,301. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3636.1.

McLaren, A.J., Banks, H.T., Durman, C.F., Gregory, J.M., Johns, T.C., Keen, A.B., Ridley, J.K., Roberts, M.J., Lipscomb, W.H., Connolley, W.M. and Laxon, S.W., 2006: Evaluation of the sea ice simulation in a new coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model (HadGEM1). J Geophys Res, 111, C12014. doi:10.1029/2005JC003033.

Milne, E. (21 authors includes Falloon, P.), 2007: National and regional assessments of soil organic carbon stocks and changes: problems and prospects. Agr Ecosyst. Environ, 122, 3-12. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.002.

Milne, E. (20 authors includes Falloon, P.), 2007: An increased under standing of soil organic carbon stocks and changes in non-temperate areas: national and global implications. Agr Ecosyst Environ, 122, 125-136. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.012.

Mitchell, J.F.B., Lowe, J., Wood, R.A. and Vellinga, M., 2006 Extreme events due to human induced climate change, 2006. Philos Trans R Soc A , 364, 2,117-2,133

Moberg, A. (40 authors including Caesar, J.), 2006: Indices for daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe analysed for the period 1901-2000, J Geophys Res, 111, D22106, doi:10.1029/2006JD007103, 2006.

Mokhov, I.I., Karpenko, A.A. and Stott, P.A., 2006: Highest rates of regional climate warming over the last decades and assessment of the role of natural and anthropogenic factors. Doklady Earth Sciences, 406(1), 158-162.

Morales, P., Hickler, T., Rowell, D.P., Smith, B. and Sykes, M.T., 2007: Changes in European ecosystem productivity and carbon balance driven by regional climate model output. Global Change Biol, 13, 108-122.

Mosedale, T. J., Stephenson, D. B., Collins, M. and Mills, T.C., 2006: Granger causality of coupled climate processes: Ocean feedback on the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Clim, 19(7), 1,182-1,194. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3653.1.

Myhre, G., Bellouin, N., Berglen, T.F., Berntsen, T.K., Boucher, O., Grini, A., Isaksen, I.S.A., Johnsrud, M., Mishchenko, M.I., Stordal, F. and Tanré, D., 2006: Comparison of the radiative properties and direct radiative effect of aerosols from a global aerosol model and remote sensing data over ocean. Tellus, 59B, 115-129. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2006.00226.x.

Niklaus, P.A. and Falloon, P.D., 2006: Constraining estimates of carbon sequestration under elevated CO2 by combining carbon isotope labelling with soil carbon cycle modelling. Global Change Biol, 12, 1,909-1,921. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01215.x.

O'Carroll, A.G., Watts, J.G., Horrocks, L.A., Saunders, R.W. and Rayner, N.A., 2006: Validation of the AATSR Meteo product sea-surface temperature. J Atmos Oceanic Technol, 23, 711-726.

Parker, D.E., 2006: A demonstration that large scale warming is not urban. J Clim, 19(12), 2,882-2,895. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3730.1.

Perry, M., Prior, J. and Parker, D.E., 2007: An assessment of the suitability of a plastic thermometer screen for climatic data collection. Int J Climatol, 27, 267-276. doi:10.1002/joc.1381.

Pierce, D.W., Barnett, T.P., AchutaRao, K.M., Gleckler, P.J., Gregory, J.M. and Washington, W.M., 2006: Anthropogenic warming of the oceans: observations and model results. J Clim, 19(10), 1,873-1,900. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3723.1.

Rahmstorf, S., Cazenave, A., Church, J.A., Hansen, J.E, Keeling, R.F., Parker, D.E. and Somerville, R.C. J., 2007: Recent climate observations compared to projections. Science, 315. doi:10.1126/science.1136843.

Ringer, M.A., Martin, G., Greeves, C., Hinton, T., James, P., Pope, V., Scaife, A., Stratton, R., Inness, P., Slingo, J. and Yang, G.-Y., 2006: The physical properties of the atmosphere in the new Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model (HadGEM1). Part II: Aspects of variability and regional climate. J Clim, 19(7), 1,302-1,326. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3713.1.

Ringer, M.A., McAvaney, B., Andronova, N., Buja, L., Esch, M., Ingram, W., Li, B., Quaas, J., Roeckner, E., Senior, C., Soden, B., Volodin, E., Webb, M. and Williams, K., 2006: Global mean cloud feedbacks in idealized climate change experiments. Geophys Res Lett, 33, L07718. doi:10.1029/2005GL025370.

Rowell, D.P., 2006: A demonstration of the uncertainty in projections of uk climate change resulting from regional model formulation. Clim Change, 79(3-4), 243-257. doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9100-z.

Rowell, D.P. and Jones, R.G., 2006: Causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe. Clim Dyn, 27(2-3), 281-299. doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0125-9.

Sanderson, M.G., 2007: Climate change, methane and ozone. ECG Bull, 7-10.

Santer, B.D., Penner, J.E., Thorne, P.W., 2006: How well can the observed vertical temperature changes be reconciled with our understanding of the causes of these changes? In Temperature trends in the lower atmosphere: steps for understanding and reconciling differences, T.R. Karl, S.J. Hassol, C.D. Miller, and W.L. Murray (eds.). (A Report by the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research,) Washington, DC.

Scaife A.A., Folland, C.K. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2007: Global climate modelling and the greenhouse effect. Physics World, 20(2), 20-25.

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