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Met Office Hadley Centre refereed publications 2007/2008

Allen, M., Pall, P., Stone, D., Stott, P., Frame, D., Min, S.-K., Nozawa, T., Yukimoto, S., 2007. Scientific challenges in the attribution of harm to human influence on climate. University of Pennsylvania Law Review, 155(6), 1,353-1,400.

Arguez, A. et al. (159 authors including Kennedy, J.,) 2007: Supplement to State of the Climate in 2006. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 88, s1-s135. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-88-6-StateoftheClimate.

Baines, P.G. and Folland, C.K., 2007: Evidence for a rapid global climate shift across the late 1960s. J Clim, 20(12), 2,721-2,744. doi: 10.1175/JCLI4177.1.

Baldwin, M., et al (19 authors including Butchart, N. and Thompson, D.), 2007: Chapter 5: Climate-ozone connections. In Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2006, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project Report No. 50. World Meteorological Organization.

Banks, H.T., Stark, S. and Keen, A.B., 2007: The adjustment of the coupled climate model HadGEM1 towards equilibrium and the impact on global climate. J Clim, 20(23), 5815-5826. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1688.1.

Bell, V.A., Kay, A.L., Jones, R.G. and Moore, R.J., 2007: Use of a grid-based hydrological model and regional climate model outputs to assess changing flood risk. Int J Climatol, 27(12), 1,657-1,671. doi: 10.1002/joc.1539.

Bengtsson, L. et al., (16 authors including Folland, C.K., Gordon, C., Rayner, N., Thorne, P.W.), 2007: The need for a dynamical climate reanalysis. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 88(4), 495-501. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-88-4-495.

Bernie, D.J., Guilyardi, E., Madec, G., Slingo, J.M. and Woolnough, S.J., 2007: Impact of resolving the diurnal cycle in an ocean-atmosphere GCM. Part 1: A diurnally forced OGCM. Clim Dyn,29(6) 575-590. doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0249-6.

Betts, R., Boucher, O., Collins, M., Cox, P.M., Falloon, P., Gedney, N., Hemming, D.L., Huntingford, C., Jones, C.D., Sexton, D. and Webb, M., 2007: Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide. Nature, 448, 1,037-1,041. doi: 10.1038/nature06045.

Betts, R.A., Sanderson, M., Woodward, S., 2008: In Climate change and the fate of the Amazon: Effects of large-scale Amazon forest degradation on climate and air quality through fluxes of carbon dioxide, water, energy, mineral dust and isoprene. Special Issue of Philos Trans R Soc, B, 363(1498), 1,873-1,880. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.0027.

Betts, R.A., Yadvinder, M., Roberts, J.T., 2008: In Climate change and the fate of the Amazon: Review: The future of the Amazon: new perspectives from climate, ecosystem and social sciences. Philos Trans R Soc, B., 363(1498), 1,729-1,735. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2008.0011.

Bindoff, N.L. et al. (13 authors including Gregory, J.M.), 2007: Observations: Oceanic climate change and sea level. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller, (eds.)). Cambridge University Press.

Boucher, O. and Reddy, M.S., 2007: Climate trade-off between black carbon and carbon dioxide emissions. Energy Policy, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2007.08.039.

Bougamont, M., Bamber, J.L., Ridley, J., Gladstone, R.M., Greuell, W., Hanna, E., Payne, A.J., and Rutt, I., 2007: The impact of model physics on estimating the surface mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L17501. doi:10.1029/2007GL030700.

Braconnot, P. et al. (21 authors including Hewitt, C.D.), 2007: Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum. Part 1: experiments and large scale features. Climate of the Past, 3, 261-277.

Braconnot, P. et al. (20 authors including Hewitt, C.D.), 2007: Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum. Part 2: feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high latitudes heat budget. Climate of the Past, 3, 279-296.

Brown, S.J., Caesar, J. and Ferro, C.A.T., 2008: Global changes in extreme daily temperature since 1950. J Geophys Res, 113, D05115. doi:10.1029/2006JD008091.

Brown, J., Collins, M., Tudhope, A.W. and Toniazzo, T., 2008: Modelling mid-Holocene tropical climate and ENSO variability: Towards constraining predictions of future climate change with palaeo-data. Clim Dyn, 30(1), 19-36. doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0270-9.

Burke, E. and Brown, S., 2008: Evaluating uncertainties in the projection of future drought. J Hydrometeorol, 9, 292-299. doi:10.1175/2007JHM929.1.

Christensen, J.H. (17 authors including Jones, R.), 2007: Regional Climate Projections. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller, (eds)). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Christidis, N., Stott, P.A., Brown, S., Karoly, D.J. and Caesar, J., 2007: Human Contribution to the Lengthening of the Growing Season during 1950-1999. J Clim, 20(21), 5,441-5,454. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1568.1.

Collins, M., 2007: Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change. Philos Trans R Soc, A, 365(1857), 1957-1970. doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2068.

Collins, M., Brierley, C. M., MacVean, M., Booth, B.B.B. and Harris, G.R., 2007: The Sensitivity of the Rate of Transient Climate Change to Ocean Physics Perturbations J Clim, 20(10), 2,315-2,320. doi: 10.1175/JCLI4116.1.

Collins, W., Colman, R., Haywood, J.M., Manning, M. and Mote, P., 2007: The physical science behind climate change. Scientific American, 297, 2.

Cook P. A., et al. (22 authors including O'Connor, F.M.) 2007: Forest fire plumes over the North Atlantic: p-TOMCAT model simulations with aircraft and satellite measurements from the ITOP/ICARTT campaign. J Geophys Res, 112, D10S43. doi: 10.1029/2006JD007563.

Cook, J., Highwood, E.J., Coe, H., Formenti, P., Haywood, J.M. and Crosier, J., 2007: A comparison of aerosol optical and chemical properties over the Adriatic and Black Seas during summer 2004: Two case-studies from ADRIEX, QJR Meteorol Soc, 133(S1), 33-45. doi: 10.1002/qj.93.

Cowling, S. A., Shin, Y., Pinto, E. and Jones, C. D., 2008: Water recycling by Amazonian vegetation: coupled versus uncoupled vegetation-climate interactions. Philos Trans R Soc London, 363, 1,865-1,871.

Cowling, S. A., Cox, P. M., Jones, C. D., Maslin, M. A., Peros, M., Spall, S. A., 2008: Simulated glacial and interglacial vegetation across Africa: implications for species phylogenies and trans-African migration of plants and animals. Global Change Biol. 14, 827-840.

Damski, J., Thoelix, L., Backman, L., Kaurola, J., Taalas, P., Austin, J., Butchart, N., Kulmala, M., 2007: A chemistry-transport model simulation of middle atmospheric ozone from 1980 to 2019 using coupled chemistry GCM winds and temperatures. Atmos Chem and Phys, 7(9), 2,165-2,181.

Deque, M., Rowell, D.P., Luthi, D., Giorgi, F., Christensen, J.H., Rockel, B., Jacob, D., Kjellstrom, E., de Castro, M. and van den Hurk, B., 2007: An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: assessing uncertainties in model projections. Climatic Change, 81, Supp. 1, 53-70. doi 10.1007/s10584-006-9228-x.

Donlon, C., et al (26 authors including Rayner, N.), 2007: The Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment High-resolution Sea Surface Temperature Pilot Project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 88(8), 1,197-1,213. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-88-8-1197.

Donlon, C.J., Robinson, I.S., Reynolds, M., Wimmer, W., Fisher, G., Edwards, R. and Nightingale,T.J., 2008: An Infrared Sea Surface Temperature Autonomous Radiometer (ISAR) for Deployment aboard Volunteer Observing Ships (VOS). J Atmos Oceanic Technol, 25(1), 93-113. doi: 10.1175/2007JTECHO505.1.

Drost, F., Renwick, J., Bhaskaran, B., Oliver, H., McGregor, J., 2007: Features of the Zonal Mean Circulation in the Southern Hemisphere during the Last Glacial Maximum. J Geophys Res 112, D02101. doi:10.1029/2005JD006811.

Drost, F., Renwick, J., Bhaskaran, B., Oliver, H. and McGregor, J., 2007: Variability of the atmospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere during the last glacial maximum. J Geophys Res, 112, D10101. doi:10.1029/2005JD006970.

Drost, F., Renwick, J., Bhaskaran, B., Oliver, H. and McGregor, J., 2007: Simulation of New Zealand's climate using a high resolution nested regional climate model. Int J Climatol 27(9), 1,153-1,169. doi: 10.1002/joc.1461.

Drost, F., Renwick, J., Bhaskaran, B., Oliver, H. and McGregor, J., 2007: A simulation of New Zealand's climate during the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews, 26(19-21), 2,505-2,525. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.06.005.

Eyring, V. et al (40 authors including Butchart, N.) 2007: Multimodel projections of stratospheric ozone in the 21st century. J Geophys Res, 112, D16303. doi:10.1029/2006JD008332.

Forster, P. et al., (15 authors including Betts, R. and Haywood, J.M.), 2007: Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Good, P., Lowe, J.A., Collins, M. and Moufouma-Okia, M., 2008: In Climate change and the fate of the Amazon: An objective tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature gradient index for studies of south Amazon dry-season climate variability and change. Special issue, Philos Trans R Soc, B., 363(1498), 1,761-1,766. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.0024.

Gregory, J.M. and Webb, M. J., 2008: Tropospheric adjustment induces a cloud component in CO2 forcing. J Clim, 21(1), 58-71. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1834.1.

Gullison, R.E., Frumhoff. P.C., Canadell, J.G., Field, C.B., Nepstad, D.C., Hayhoe, K., Avissar, R., Curran, L.M., Friedlingstein, P., Jones, C.D., Nobre, C., 2007: Tropical forests and climate policy. Science, 316, 985-986. doi: 10.1126/science.1136163.

Hardiman S.C., Butchart, N., Haynes, P.H., Hare, S.H.E., 2007: A note on forced versus internal variability of the stratosphere. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L12803. doi:10.1029/2007GL029726.

Harrison, R.G., Jones, C.D. and Hughes, J.K., 2008. Competing roles of rising CO2 and climate change in the contemporary European carbon balance. Biogeosciences 5, 1-10.

Haylock, M.R., Jones, P.D., Allan, R.J. and Ansell, T.J., 2007: Decadal changes in 1870-2004 Northern Hemisphere winter sea level pressure variability and its relationship with temperature. J Geophys Res, 112, D11103. doi:10.1029/2006JD007291.

Haynes, J. M., Marchand, R.T., Luo, Z., Bodas-Salcedo, A. and Stephens, G.L., 2007: A Multi-Purpose Radar Simulation Package: QuickBeam. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 88(11), 1,723-1,727. doi:10.1175/BAMS-88-11-1723.

Haywood, J.M. and Schulz, M., 2007: The reduction of uncertainty in estimates the anthropogenic radiative forcing of climate between IPCC (2001) and IPCC (2007). Geophys Res Lett, 34, L20701. doi:10.1029/2007GL030749.

Hegerl, G.C., Zwiers, F.W., Braconnot, P., Gillett, N.P., Luo, Y., Orsini, J.A.M., Nicholls, N., Penner, J.E., and Stott, P.A., 2007: Understanding and attributing climate change. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H.L. Miller, (eds))., Cambridge University Press.

Highwood, E.J. et al (17 authors including Haywood, J.M.), 2007: Aerosol Direct Radiative Impact Experiment (ADRIEX) overview. QJR Meteorol Soc, 133(S1), 3-15. doi: 10.1002/qj.89.

Huntingford, C., Fisher, R.A., Mercado, L., Booth, B.B.B., Sitch, S., Harris, P.P., Cox, P.M., Jones, C.D., Betts, R.A., Yadvinder, M., Harris, G.R., Collins, M. and Moorcroft, P., 2008: Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon 'dieback'. Philos Trans R Soc, B, 363(1498), 1,849-1,855. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.0028.

IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability.Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson (eds.)), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Jenkins G.J., Perry M.C. and Prior M.J.O., 2007: The climate of the United Kingdom and recent trends. UKCIP08 scientific report, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter EX1 3PB.

Jones, A., Haywood, J.M. and Boucher, O., 2007: Aerosol forcing, climate response and climate sensitivity in the Hadley Centre climate model. J Geophys Res, 112, D20211, doi:10.1029/2007JD008688.

Jones, G.S., Stott, P.A. and Christidis, N., 2008: Human contribution to rapidly increasing frequency of very warm Northern Hemisphere summers. J Geophys Res, 113, D02109. doi:10.1029/2007JD008914.

Joshi, M.M., Gregory, J.M., Webb, M.J., Sexton, D.M.H. and Johns, T.C., 2007. Mechanisms for the land/sea warming contrast exhibited by simulations of climate change. Clim Dyn, 30(5), 455-465. doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0306-1.

Kendon, E.J., Rowell, D.P., Jones, R.G. and Buonomo, E., 2008: Robustness of future changes in local precipitation extremes. J Clim, 21, 4,280-4,297. doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2082.1.

Kennedy, J.J., Titchner, H.A., Hardwick, J., Beswick, M. and Parker, D.E., 2007: Global and regional climate in 2006. Weather, 62 (9), 232-242. doi: 10.1002/wea.119.

Kent, E., Woodruff, S., Rayner, N., Arbetter, T., Folland, C., Koek, F., Parker, D., Reynolds, R., Saunders, R., Smolyanitsky, V., Worley, S. and Yoshida, T., 2007: Advances in the use of historical marine climate data. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 88(4), 559-564. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-88-4-559.

Kiktev, D., Caesar, J., Alexander, L., Shiogama, H. and Collier, M., 2007: Comparison of observed and multi-modeled trends in annual extremes of temperature and precipitation. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L10702, doi: 10.1029/2007GL029539.

Liang X.-Z., Kunkel, K.E., Meehl, G.A., Jones, R.G. and Wang, J.X.L., 2008: Regional climate models downscaling analysis of general circulation models present climate biases propagation into future change projections. Geophys Res Lett, 35, L08709. doi:10.1029/2007GL032849.

Lynch, A.H., Beringer, J., Kershaw, P., Marshall, A., Mooney, S., Tapper, N., Turney, C. and Van Der Kaars, S., 2007. Using the palaeorecord to evaluate climate and fire interactions in Australia. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 35, 215-239. doi:10.1146/annurev.earth.35.092006.145055.

Marshall, A.G., Alves, O. and Hendon, H., 2008: An enhanced moisture convergence-evaporation feedback mechanism for MJO air-sea interaction. J Atmos Sci, 65(3), 970-986. doi: 10.1175/2007JAS2313.1.

McCarthy, M.P, Titchner, H.A., Thorne, P.W., Tett, S.F.B. , Haimberger, L., Parker, D.E., 2008: Assessing bias and uncertainty in the HadAT-adjusted radiosonde climate record. J Clim, 21(4), 817-832. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1733.1.

Meehl, G.A. et al. (14 authors including Collins, W.D., Gregory, J.M., Murphy, J.M.), 2007: Global climate projections. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller, (eds.)), Cambridge University Press.

Merchant, C.J. et al. (19 authors including, Saunders, R.W., Rayner, N.A., Kennedy, J., O'Carroll, A.G., Tett, S.), 2007: Deriving a sea surface temperature record suitable for climate change research from the along-track scanning radiometers. Advances in Space Research, 41(1), 1-11. doi: 10.1016/j.asr.2007.07.041.

Murphy, J.M., Booth, B.B.B., Collins, M., Harris, G.R., Sexton, D. and Webb, M., 2007: A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles. Philos Trans R Soc, A, 365(1857), 1,993-2,028. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2077.

Osborne, S.R., Haywood J.M. and Bellouin, N., 2007: In-situ and remote sensing measurements of the mean microphysical and optical properties of industrial pollution aerosol during the Aerosol Direct Radiative Impact Experiment (ADRIEX), QJR Meteorol Soc, 133(S1), 17-32.doi: 10.1002/qj.92.

Otto-Bliesner, B., Hewitt, C.D., Marchitto, T.M., Brady, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Murakami, S. and Weber, S.L., 2007: Last glacial maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: PMIP2 model intercomparisons and data constraints. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L12706. doi:10.1029/2007GL029475.

Palmer, M.D., Haines, K., Tett, S.F.B. and Ansell, T.J., 2007: Isolating the signal of ocean global warming. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L23610. doi: 10.1029/2007GL031712.

Palmer, M.D., Naveira Garabato, A.C., Stark, J.D., Hirschi, J.J-M. and Marotzke, J., 2007: The Influence of Diapycnal Mixing on Quasi-Steady Overturning States in the Indian Ocean. J Phys Ocean, 37(9), 2,290-2,303. doi: 10.1175/JPO3117.1.

Parker, D., Folland, C., Scaife, A., Knight, J., Colman, A., Baines, P. and Dong, B., 2007: Decadal to multidecadal variability and the climate change background, J Geophys Res 112, D18115. doi:10.1029/2007/JD008411.

Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof J.P. and Co-authors, 2007: Technical Summary. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, (eds.)), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

Philipp, A., Jacobeit, J., Della-Marta, P.M., Wanner, H., Fereday, D.R., Jones, P.D. and Moberg, A., 2007: Long term variability of daily North Atlantic-European pressure patterns since 1850 classified by simulated annealing clustering. J Clim, 20(16), 4,065-4,095. doi: 10.1175/JCLI4175.1.

Pope, V., Brown, S., Clark, R., Collins, M., Collins, W., Dearden, C., Gunson, J., Harris, G., Jones, C., Keen, A., Lowe, J., Ringer, M., Senior, C., Sitch, S., Webb, M. and Woodward, S., 2007: The Met Office Hadley Centre climate modelling capability: the competing requirements for improved resolution, complexity and dealing with uncertainty. Philos Trans R Soc, A, 365(1860), 2,635-2,657. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2087.

Prior, J. and Beswick, M., 2007: The record-breaking heat and sunshine of July 2006. Weather, 62(7), 174-182. doi: 10.1002/wea.101.

Quaas, J., Boucher, O., Bellouin, N. and Kinne, S., 2008: Satellite-based estimate of the combined direct and indirect aerosol climate forcing, J Geophys Res, 113, D05204. doi:10.1029/2007JD008962.

Rae, J.G.L., Johnson, C.E., Bellouin, N., Boucher, O., Haywood, J.M. and Jones, A., 2007: Sensitivity of global sulphate aerosol production to changes in oxidant concentrations and climate. J Geophys Res, 112, D10312. doi:10.1029/2006JD007826.

Randall, D.A. et al. (13 authors including Wood, R.A.), 2007: Climate Models, Their Evaluation Climate Change 2007: In The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. C. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller (eds.)) Cambridge University Press. Met Office Hadley Centre contributing authors: Graham, R., Gregory, J.M., Ingram, W., Murphy, J.M., Roberts, M., Smith, D., Webb, M.

Reddy, M.S. and Boucher, O., 2007: Climate impact of black carbon emitted from energy consumption in the world's regions. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L11802. doi:10.1029/2006GL028904.

Ridley, J., Lowe, J. and Simonin, D., 2008: The demise of Arctic sea ice during stabilisation at high greenhouse gas concentrations. Clim Dyn, 30(4), 333-341. doi 10.1007/s00382-007-0291-4.

Ridley, J., Lowe, J., Brierley, C. and Harris, G., 2007, Uncertainty in the sensitivity of Arctic sea ice to global warming in a perturbed parameter climate model ensemble. Geophys Res Lett, 34, L19704. doi:10.1029/2007GL031209.

Ringer, M.A. and Healy, S.B., 2008: Monitoring twenty-first century climate using GPS radio occultation bending angles. Geophys Res Lett, 35, L05708. doi:10.1029/2007GL032462.

Rougier, J. and Sexton, D.M.H., 2007: Inference in ensemble experiments. Philos Trans R Soc, A, 365(1857), 2,133-2,144. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2071.

Sanderson M.G., Collins W.J., Hemming D.L. and Betts R.A., 2007: Stomatal conductance changes due to increasing carbon dioxide levels: Projected impact on surface ozone levels. Tellus B, 3, 404-411. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00277.

Santer, B.D. et al. (14 authors including Stott, P.A.), 2007: Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104(39), 15,248-15,253. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0702872104.

Scaife A.A., Folland, C.K., Alexander, L., Moberg, A. and Knight, J.R., 2008: European climate extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J Clim, 21(1), 72-83. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1631.1.

Sensoy, S., Peterson, T.C., Alexander, L.V. and Zhang, X., 2007: Meeting summary: Workshop on enhancing Middle East climate change monitoring and indices. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 88(8), 1,249-1,254. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-88-8-1249.

Sitch, S, Cox, P.M., Collins, W.J., Huntingford, C., 2007: Indirect radiative forcing of climate change through ozone effects on the land-carbon sink, Nature, 448, 791-795. doi:10.1038/nature06059.

Smith, D.M., Cusack, S., Colman, A.W., Folland, C.K., Harris, G.R. and Murphy, J.M., 2007: Improved surface temperature prediction for the coming decade from a global climate model. Science, 317, 796-799. doi:10.1126/science.1139540.

Stier, P., Seinfeld, J., Kinne, S. and Boucher, O., 2007: Aerosol absorption and radiative forcing. Atmos Chem and Phys, 7(19), 5,237-5,261.

Stott, P.A. and Forest, C.E., 2007: Ensemble climate predictions using climate models and observational constraints. Philos Trans R Soc, A, 365(1857), 2029-2052. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2075.

Stott, P.A., Huntingford, C., Jones, C.D. and Kettleborough, J.A., 2008. Observed climate change constrains the likelihood of extreme future global warming. Tellus B, 60(1), 76-81. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00329.x.

Struthers, H., Allan, W., Lowe, D.C., Bhaskaran, B., 2007: A comparison of the transport of long lived atmospheric trace gas species from two advection schemes incorporated into an atmospheric general circulation model. Tellus B, 59(4), 685-697. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00295.x.

Taylor, K.E., Crucifix, M., Braconnot, P., Hewitt, C.D., Doutriaux, C., Broccoli, A.J., Mitchell, J.F.B. and Webb, M.J., 2007: Estimating shortwave radiative forcing and response in climate models. J Clim, 20(11), 2530-2543. doi: 10.1175/JCLI4143.1.

Thorne, P.W., Parker, D.E., Santer, B.D., McCarthy, M.P., Sexton, D.M.H., Webb, M.J., Murphy, J.M., Collins, M., Titchner, H.A. and Jones, G.S., 2007: Tropical vertical temperature trends: a real discrepancy? Geophys Res Lett, 34, L16702, doi:10.1029/2007GL029875.

Toniazzo, T., Collins, M. and Brown, J., 2008: The variation of ENSO characteristics associated with atmospheric parameter perturbations in a coupled model. Clim Dyn, 30(6), 643-656. doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0313-2.

Trenberth, K.E., (12 authors including Parker, D.), 2007: Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change. Chapter 3. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H.L. Miller, (eds.)). Met Office Hadley Centre Contributing authors: L.V. Alexander, R.J. Allan, C.K. Folland, J.J. Kennedy and P.W. Thorne. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Vellinga, M. and Wu, P., 2008: Relations between northward ocean and atmosphere energy transports in a coupled climate model. J Clim, 21(3), 561-583. doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1754.1.

Vellinga, M., R. Dickson and R. Curry, 2008: The changing view on how freshwater impacts the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. In Arctic-Subarctic Ocean Fluxes (R.R. Dickson and J. Meincke, (eds.)) Springer.

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