Ocean Forecasting Development

Operational ocean forecasting systems are run daily providing our customers with ocean analysis and forecast products. The ocean forecasting development team is responsible for developing, supporting and maintaining the operational ocean systems.

 The Forecast Ocean Assimilation Model FOAM is run for a number of global, regional and shelf seas configurations.  It generates daily ocean analysis and forecast products.  The ocean forecasting development team trial developments to the system and scientifically evaluate the impact on the model simulation.  Following a successful trial, the team implements the changes in the operational systems.
 
The team is also responsible for the maintenance and development of both the Operational Sea surface temperature and sea Ice Analysis OSTIA system and the GHRSST Multi Product Ensemble GMPE.  OSTIA is a SST analysis product that is used for a wide range of applications, including numerical weather prediction and climate monitoring. GMPE is a SST product derived from many international SST analyses, including OSTIA.

Key aims

  • To continually improve the accuracy of the Met Office's ocean forecast systems
  • To provide an accurate analysis of daily SST and sea ice using the OSTIA system
  • To support and maintain the operational ocean systems

Current projects

  • Trials of developments in the FOAM deep ocean and shelf seas configurations
  • Operational implementation of a coupled ocean-atmosphere data assimilation and forecast system 
  • Upgrading the assimilation scheme used in OSTIA to the NEMOVAR variational method
  • Establishing an operational diurnal SST analysis system
  • Involvement in the  MyOcean project, - leading the European NW Shelf Monitoring and Forecasting Centre (MFC) and contributing to the Global MFC and the Ocean and Sea Ice Thematic Assembly Centre (OSI TAC).
  • Generating SST and sea ice reanalyses using the OSTIA system as part of the  ESA SST Climate Change Initiative project.

Last updated: 15 July 2014