For Europe, including the UK, there is no clear signal for the amounts of rainfall.
We base our average rainfall on measurements over the whole season for the years 1971–2000. The UK average for September to November is 335 mm.
For the rest of autumn, temperatures are likely to be average or above average over most of Europe, including the UK.
As you would expect, temperatures can vary quite widely over the autumn. So we take an average for the whole season and measure against that. The UK average for September to November from 1971–2000 is 9.2 °C.
This is the last forecast update for autumn. Climate summaries for the UK showing observed conditions for Autumn 2009 will be issued in November and December.
The forecast for Winter 2009 will be issued in November.
We use global forecasting models and statistical methods. Read more…
Issued:
30 September 2009