Met Office: Spring 2009 forecast appraisal

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Spring 2009 forecast appraisal

The forecast appraisal refers to the spring forecast issued in February 2009. To see an assessment of the weather experienced across the UK see the spring 2009 summary.

Spring 2009 forecast appraisal
		Prediction	Ourcome
	Europe mean temperature	Western Europe: more likely to be near or below average, cooler than Spring 2008. Eastern Europe: more likely to be near or above average.	Western Europe: above average and warmer than Spring 2008 in most regions. Eastern Europe: above average in most regions.
UK mean temperature	More likely near or below average.	Above average — see Spring 2009 summary.
	Europe precipitation totals	Northern Europe: more likely average or below average. Southern Europe and central Mediterranean: more likely average or above average.	Northern Europe: average or below average in most regions. Average or above average over most of the Mediterranean basin. However, Iberia and parts of south-eastern Europe had average or below average rainfall.
UK precipitation totals	More likely average or below average.	Average — see Spring 2009 summary.

Spring 2009 forecast appraisal

Prediction

Ourcome

Sping 2009 mean temperature difference from long term average (1971-2000)

Europe mean temperature

Western Europe: more likely to be near or below average, cooler than Spring 2008.

Eastern Europe: more likely to be near or above average.

Western Europe: above average and warmer than Spring 2008 in most regions.

Eastern Europe: above average in most regions.

UK mean temperature

More likely near or below average.

Above average — see Spring 2009 summary.

Sping 2009 precipitation percentage of long term average (1971-2000)

Europe precipitation totals

Northern Europe: more likely average or below average.

Southern Europe and central Mediterranean: more likely average or above average.

Northern Europe: average or below average in most regions.

Average or above average over most of the Mediterranean basin. However, Iberia and parts of south-eastern Europe had average or below average rainfall.

UK precipitation totals

More likely average or below average.

Average — see Spring 2009 summary.

*Areas are defined as: Northern Europe, 48°–75°N / 10°W–40°E; Southern Europe, 30°–48°N / 10°W–40°E; Western Europe, 10°W–20°E / 30°–75°N; Eastern Europe, 20°E–40°E / 30°–75°N.