Extreme event alert and response

The Met Office was founded in the 19th century because of the need to foresee extreme storms and mitigate loss

The tradition continues. These days the skill of the Unified Model, based on understanding the North Atlantic Oscillation and its underlying causes (Scaife et al., 2014) enables us to predict a significant event five days before impact.

Building on this understanding we offer early storm alerts, and a near real-time impact analysis throughout the event.

Commercial services include alerts, forecast footprints and tracks and storm pattern matching for European Windstorms. Met Office footprints are downscaled and adjusted for topography, and post-event analysis is recalibrated against observations for the best possible representation of severe storms.

For more information, please contact the team on 01392 885680 or peril@metoffice.gov.uk

Last updated: 13 November 2014

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