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Measuring the Impact

Space weather diagram

Different aspects of space weather have a variety of impacts on mankind and our technology.

The Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre uses scales developed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). These scales are used world-wide to classify space weather conditions and communicate the impact on people and systems. These are numbered scales similar to those used to describe hurricanes or earthquakes.

They describe the level of disturbance and possible impacts for three types of space weather, radio blackouts (R scale), geomagnetic storms (G scale) and solar radiation storms (S scale).

The level of impact is dependent on the technological systems in use which vary widely across the globe. For example the UK power grid has much shorter and more highly connected transmission lines than those in North America so it is less susceptible to space weather. In 2013 the Royal Academy of Engineering report on extreme space weather reported on the impacts on engineered systems and infrastructures specific to the UK. On the basis of this report and subsequent work with Government and partners, the Met Office developed a UK specific impact scale which is used in our forecasts, alerts and warnings.

Radio Blackouts

The ionosphere is a dynamic part of the upper atmosphere which acts as a reflector for long range, high frequency communications (HF comms). During a solar flare the increase in x-ray radiation from the Sun causes the ionosphere to absorb rather than reflect signals, disrupting communications systems on the sun-lit side of the Earth. The Sun may also emit radio bursts at multiple wavelengths causing various problems for communication and navigation systems. Even during periods of quiet solar activity turbulence in the ionosphere can result in a scattering of electromagnetic waves disrupting navigation systems like Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) often known as Global Positioning System (GPS) and radio bands up to the GHz frequencies. These are referred to as radio blackouts.

Radio Blackout Table

Geomagnetic Storms

Geomagnetic storms are large disturbances in the Earth's magnetic field caused by changes in the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) structure. These changes in the solar wind arise from disturbances on the Sun, such as in powerful coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Their effect can be felt for a number of days. With the right magnetic configuration, increases in solar wind speed and density, large amounts of energy can be transferred into the Earth's geomagnetic system. The ability to predict the magnetic orientation of CMEs as they leave the Sun's surface and the time taken to travel to the Earth are key to improving space weather forecasts.

Geomagnetic Storm Table

Solar Radiation Storms

In association with large solar flares, solar radiation storms may also be released. These storms, consisting of very high energy protons, primarily impact polar regions. This is called polar cap absorption and their main affect is to degrade high frequency communications in these regions.

In space astronauts and satellites can be exposed to increased levels of radiation. Whilst extra-vehicular activity (space walks) can be avoided during a solar storm, satellites could be exposed to excessive and damaging radiation levels. For instance, solar panels can be degraded reducing the life expectancy of the satellite, surface charging can damage the electronics and radiation can result in errors within the computer systems.

Although the atmosphere provides a significant level of protection charging and radiation from space weather events have been shown to occasionally impact ground based systems as well. Similarly aircraft, crews and passengers on high latitude polar routes may on very rare occasions, be exposed to elevated radiation levels.

Solar Radiation Storm Table

Last updated: Oct 7, 2015 11:55 AM