Updated 7 May 2008
The forecast appraisal is based on the winter forecast issued in November 2007. To see an assessment of the weather experienced across the UK during Winter 2007/8 see the Winter 2007/8 summary.
| Winter forecast 2007/8 appraisal | ||
|---|---|---|
| Prediction | Outcome | |
| European mean temperature | Headline: most likely warmer than average over much of Europe but colder than last winter in most regions. | Warmer than average over most regions (but colder than average in parts of eastern Europe and the central Mediterranean). Winter 2007/8 was colder than winter 2006/7 over most of Europe, but not in the far north and parts of Iberia. |
| UK mean temperature | Headline: Most likely warmer than average, but colder than last winter. Highest probability of cold spells in early winter. |
Warmer than average and colder than last winter. The coldest spell occurred in December (in terms of UK daily mean temperature). |
| European precipitation totals | Most likely above average for northern Europe; below average for southern Europe. | Above average or near average over much of northern Europe, below average over much of southern Europe. |
| UK precipitation totals | Headline: Most likely average or above average
Specific forecast probabilities: Wetter than average: 35% Near average: 35% Drier than average: 30% |
Above average. |
![]() Forecast probability for temperature above/below 1971-2000 average. |
![]() Observed temperature difference from 1971-2000 average. |
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