Go to Met Office homepage Weather warning issued - go to UK severe weather warnings

Tropical cyclone forecast error charts

For those not familiar with the types of error statistics used in tropical cyclone forecast assessment and their sign conventions a diagrammatic explanation is available.

Met Office verses ECMWF

Forecast data from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are routinely retrieved and run through the Met Office tropical cyclone track verification system. The graphs below show annual global comparisons of Met Office and ECMWF forecast track errors for homogeneous samples.

Global tropical cyclone track forecast errors chart T+24 to T+72

Global tropical cyclone track forecast errors chart T+96 to T+144

Difference in global tropical cyclone track forecast errors chart

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2008

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2007

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2006

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2005

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2004

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2003

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2002

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2001

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 2000

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 1999

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 1998

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 1997

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 1996

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 1995

 

Global tropical cyclone forecast errors chart for 1994

Related internet links

Tropical cyclone FAQ

The Met Office is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.