Met Office

Tropical cyclone forecast error charts - southern hemisphere

The graphs below show a variety of measures of forecast errors and forecast skill for the Met Office global model forecasts of tropical cyclones in the southern hemisphere.

For those not familiar with the types of error statistics used in tropical cyclone forecast assessment and their sign conventions a diagrammatic explanation is available.

Southern hemisphere forecast positional errors : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Southern hemisphere 5-year running mean positional errors : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Southern hemisphere track forecast skill : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Southern hemisphere 5-year running mean skill scores : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Southern hemisphere cross-track errors : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Southern hemisphere along-track errors : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Southern hemisphere intensity skill scores : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Southern hemisphere 3-year running mean intensity skill scores : This link opens in a new window . Enlarge image Enlarge

Last Updated: 11 January 2013

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