Tropical cyclone forecast error charts - southern hemisphere

The graphs below show a variety of measures of forecast errors and forecast skill for the Met Office global model forecasts of tropical cyclones in the southern hemisphere.

For those not familiar with the types of error statistics used in tropical cyclone forecast assessment and their sign conventions a diagrammatic explanation is available.

Southern hemisphere forecast positional errors .

Southern hemisphere 5-year running mean positional errors .

Southern hemisphere track forecast skill .

Southern hemisphere 5-year running mean skill scores .

Southern hemisphere cross-track errors .

Southern hemisphere along-track errors .

Southern hemisphere intensity skill scores .

Southern hemisphere 3-year running mean intensity skill scores .

Last updated: 11 January 2013