Headline:
Mainly dry tonight. Further heavy rain on Saturday.
This Evening and Tonight:
A few isolated showers, but most places dry with some clear spells for much of the night. Cloud starting to thicken towards morning with spots of rain spreading into Cheshire. Minimum temperature 4 °C.
Saturday:
Rain in Cheshire spreading northeastwards to remaining areas through the morning, becoming heavy and persistent in the afternoon. Strengthening south to southeasterly winds. Maximum temperature 14 °C.
Updated: 1459 on Fri 20 Nov 2009
Forecast for Lake District National Park for Saturday
Persistent rain soon spreading in from the southwest with accompanying gale force winds.
Updated: 1747 on Fri 20 Nov 2009
For more details see Mountain Forecast for the Lake District
Forecast for Peak District National Park for Saturday
Early mist and low cloud clearing for a time, but with intermittent rain in the morning become persistent and at times heavy in the afternoon. Becoming very windy.
Updated: 1748 on Fri 20 Nov 2009
For more details see Mountain Forecast for the Peak District
Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:
Remaining unsettled and often windy with further showers or longer spells of rain, occasionally heavy. A risk of gales at times, perhaps severe in the west on Sunday.
Updated: 1459 on Fri 20 Nov 2009
"UK Outlook for Wednesday 25 Nov 2009 to Friday 4 Dec 2009:
The general weather pattern is not expected to change much during this period with low pressure often dominating. Day to day detail remains uncertain but it is expected to remain very unsettled with further showers or longer periods of rain. Often windy with a risk of gales or severe gales at times, especially in coastal areas exposed to the south or west. Some calmer and quieter periods are also likely however. After the current mild conditions, temperature levels are expected to be generally near the seasonal average, often feeling cold in the strong winds. Showers may also turn wintry over the high ground of Scotland and perhaps other northern areas later. Overnight frosts becoming more widespread in the clearer spells inland.
Updated: 1155 on Fri 20 Nov 2009
"Seasonal forecasting:
Seasonal forecasting is a developing area of meteorology and, although these forecasts are not as accurate as our short-term forecasts, they do demonstrate some skill in predicting what may happen for a season (a three-month period) ahead.
The forecasts provide an estimation of broad trends in temperature and rainfall and will normally be expressed in probabilistic terms, with the more likely outcome highlighted. Information contained in these forecasts can allow business to plan ahead for weather that is forecast to be different from normal.
The main forecast for Winter 2009/10 will be issued in November.
Early indications for Winter 2009/10 - Updated: Tue 29 Sep 2009
Autumn 2009 - Updated: Wed 30 Sep 2009
Summer 2009 - Updated: Wed 29 Jul 2009
Spring 2009 forecast appraisal - Issued: Tue 8 Sep 2009
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