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Lake District

Confidence

High for cold, generally settled conditions through into the weekend. Lower concerning risk of snow early next week.

  • This evening
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Further outlook

Wednesday 21 February 2018

Sunrise: 07:22   Sunset: 17:33
Moon phase: Waxing crescent

Dry and mostly clear. Light easterly winds.

Thursday 22 February 2018

Weather hazards

Severe chill effect Low likelihood Hide detail

Wind significantly lowers the ‘feels-like’ temperature relative to the actual temperature, with even moderate winds significantly adding to the chilling effect. Strong winds can result in a severe and debilitating wind chill many degrees below the actual temperature. This effect will be enhanced in rain or wet snow. Without protection, prolonged exposure could result in frost nip or frostbite on exposed parts of the body and/or hypothermia.

Poor visibility Low likelihood Show detail

Poor visibility presents challenging route finding conditions. Visibility could be significantly less than 50 metres in all directions with few or no visual references, especially on featureless moors or plateaux. Distances become hard to judge and cliff or cornice edges can be difficult to recognise. These conditions require good navigational skills. There is a risk of white-out conditions when mist or fog is combined with extensive snow cover.

Headline

Dry, cold with long clear or sunny spells. Freshening southerly winds.

Weather at 800m

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Clear night Clear night Sunny day Sunny day Sunny intervals Sunny intervals Partly cloudy night Partly cloudy night
00% 00% 00% 00% 00% 00% <05% <05%
Chance of precipitation
500 400 300 400 400 400 300 200
Freezing level (m)
The level above which snow is expected to settle or the ground is expected to be frozen

Wind speed and direction (mph) By altitude above mean sea level

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
900m SE 11 16 SE 11 17 SE 12 18 SE 15 22 S 17 24 S 16 22 S 16 22 S 18 26
600m SE 14 19 SE 14 20 SE 14 21 SE 16 24 S 16 23 S 14 22 S 14 21 S 17 26
300m SE 6 13 SE 6 13 SE 6 14 SE 8 16 S 11 21 S 10 20 S 7 16 S 9 20
Valley SE 6 13 SE 4 11 SE 4 10 SE 6 13 S 8 17 S 7 16 S 4 12 SE 5 14

Temperature (°C) By altitude above mean sea level

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
900m -2 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -4 -4
600m 0 -1 -2 -2 -1 0 -2 -2
300m 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0
Valley 3 2 2 3 5 5 3 2

Feels like temperature (°C) By altitude above mean sea level

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
900m -7 -8 -9 -10 -10 -10 -11 -12
600m -5 -6 -7 -8 -7 -6 -7 -9
300m -2 -3 -4 -3 -2 -2 -3 -5
Valley 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 -1
Sunrise: 07:19   Sunset: 17:35
Moon phase: First quarter

Weather

Dry and clear overnight. A fine dry day then follows with almost unbroken sunshine through the morning. Cloud increases a little through the afternoon, especially across southern and eastern fells. Little change through the evening.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

Close to 100% through much of the day with just small amounts of cloud below summit level, although across southern and eastern fells chances fall to around 75% for the afternoon and evening with occasional cloud above 750m. During the evening chances across southern and eastern fells fall further with periods of cloud around 450m developing.

Visibility

Good or very good with distant hills rather hazy.

Meteorologist's view

Increasing chill effect as winds increase.

Ground conditions

Wednesday 21 February. Location : Helvellyn summit at 1330. A stunning day out on the Lakeland Fells with wall to wall sunshine, zero wind and a birthday cake on the summit!Freezing temperatures overnight had refrozen the wet snowpack at all levels giving good conditions for walking and climbing. Throughout the day the surface of the snowpack on south facing slopes softened in the strong sunlight but generally it remained frozen and icy with serious consequences for any slip not quickly arrested. The snow level remains around 500m with good coverage on most slopes from 700m upwards especially east and north facing aspects. South facing slopes such as the Red Tarn approach to Catstye Cam are almost bare to summit level. There are harder patches of snow and ice on popular routes and paths where it has been compacted. The crest of Striding Edge is now mainly bare rock although the sides and the exit on to the plateau are still snow covered and crampons and an ice axe were essential for safe progression.Swirral Edge receives slightly less direct sunlight and is still in full winter condition. In descent it felt more serious than the spring like conditions found on Striding Edge.The summit plateau is a mixture of hard snow and bare ground with just the lightest of rime on the summit rocks. Cornices above S to E to N slopes are large and have slumped and in some cases collapsed during yesterdays thaw. The cooler temperatures have now stabilised them somewhat but they remain weak and should be given a wide berth. Avalanche debris was noted on the E face of Helvellyn and in Nethermost & Brown Coves.Full winter clothing and equipment including ice axe and crampons and the ability to use them are currently required to safely enjoy the Lakeland fells Temperature: plus 3.0 C. Maximum wind speed 2.8 mph. Wind chill 3.0 C Average wind speed: 1.4 mph.

Friday 23 February 2018

Sunrise: 07:17   Sunset: 17:37
Moon phase: First quarter

Weather

Another cold, fine and mostly dry day with some long spells of sunshine, especially across northern and western fells. Cloudier at times across the south and east with perhaps a few snow flurries.

Maximum wind speed expected

Southeasterly 15-20mph, with gusts 30-35mph over ridges and summits giving a significant chill effect.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

Around 90% across northern and western fells. Around 40% across the south and east at first and again later with periods above 450m, rising to nearer 75% by day as cloud becomes occasional above 750m.

Temperature

  • At 800m Around minus 4 Celsius
  • Valley Around minus 2 Celsius at dawn rising to plus 6 Celsius by day
  • Freezing level 300m or less

Visibility

Good or very good, perhaps falling to several kilometres in snow flurries.

Saturday 24 February 2018

Sunrise: 07:15   Sunset: 17:39
Moon phase: First quarter

Remaining cold and mostly dry with long clear or sunny spells, cloudier at times across southern and eastern fells. Occasionally strong easterly or southeasterly winds. Freezing level 300m or less.

Sunday 25 February 2018

Sunrise: 07:13   Sunset: 17:41
Moon phase: First quarter

Some clear or sunny spells, especially across western fells, but eastern fells generally cloudier with perhaps a few snow flurries. Strong easterly winds. Freezing level 300m or less.

Monday 26 February 2018

Sunrise: 07:10   Sunset: 17:43
Moon phase: Waxing gibbous

Generally cloudier, still some clear or sunny spells in west, with outbreaks of mainly light snow. Occasionally strong easterly then northeasterly winds. Freezing level 300m or less.

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