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Lake District

Confidence

High for unsettled weather on this weekend. High for changeable conditions into next week.

  • Saturday
  • Sunday
  • Further outlook

Saturday 21 October 2017

Weather hazards

Gales High likelihood Hide detail

Progress will be impeded by very strong winds. Walking will be difficult and strenuous at times with a potential for one to be blown over in gusts. There can be a marked increase in winds through cols or on exposed ridges and summits. Distances often take longer to cover with compass bearings becoming more difficult to follow accurately.

Storm force winds Low likelihood Show detail

Walking will be very strenuous with any mobility virtually impossible over exposed ground. There is a high likelihood of being blown over or taken off one’s feet, while even standing up may be impossible at times. Basic tasks such as using a map, eating, putting on extra clothing or communication become extremely difficult away from any shelter.

Severe chill effect Low likelihood Show detail

Wind significantly lowers the ‘feels-like’ temperature relative to the actual temperature, with even moderate winds significantly adding to the chilling effect. Strong winds can result in a severe and debilitating wind chill many degrees below the actual temperature. This effect will be enhanced in rain or wet snow. Without protection, prolonged exposure could result in frost nip or frostbite on exposed parts of the body and/or hypothermia.

Poor visibility Low likelihood Show detail

Poor visibility presents challenging route finding conditions. Visibility could be significantly less than 50 metres in all directions with few or no visual references, especially on featureless moors or plateaux. Distances become hard to judge and cliff or cornice edges can be difficult to recognise. These conditions require good navigational skills. There is a risk of white-out conditions when mist or fog is combined with extensive snow cover.

Forecast

Bright start, otherwise cloudy and windy with rain at times.

Weather at 800m

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Light rain Light shower day Heavy rain Heavy rain Heavy rain Heavy rain
30% 50% 70% 70% 70% 80%
Chance of precipitation
1,600 1,800 1,800 2,000 1,900 1,800
Freezing level (m)
The level above which snow is expected to settle or the ground is expected to be frozen

Wind speed and direction (mph) By altitude above mean sea level

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
900m S 44 52 S 48 57 S 47 59 SE 41 51 W 25 32 W 34 43
600m S 38 48 S 39 50 S 38 50 SE 31 40 W 17 22 W 25 34
300m S 14 39 S 17 43 S 17 44 SE 15 37 NW 7 21 W 13 33
Valley SE 10 32 SE 14 39 SE 12 40 SE 10 35 NW 4 20 W 10 33

Temperature (°C) By altitude above mean sea level

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
900m 5 5 5 5 6 6
600m 7 7 7 7 7 8
300m 10 9 9 10 9 9
Valley 11 11 11 11 12 11

Feels like temperature (°C) By altitude above mean sea level

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
900m -2 -3 -2 -1 1 -1
600m 2 0 1 2 4 3
300m 6 5 6 7 8 7
Valley 9 8 9 10 11 9
Sunrise: 07:52   Sunset: 18:02
Moon phase: New

Weather

Partly cloudy in the morning with isolated showers, although clouding over from late morning. The afternoon will be cloudy with periods of rain, these most prolonged and heaviest across the southern fells. Little change into the evening. Best of any afternoon drier conditions likely north of Skiddaw and Blencathra.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

60% in the morning, with many summits in the north free of cloud at first, but cloudier in the south. Becoming 30% in the afternoon with widespread cloud down to 500 to 700 metres, but again the far north may see only patchy cloud.

Visibility

Generally good but becoming rather hazy in rain, and quite poor in any prolonged periods of rain.

Meteorologist's view

A reasonable start but stormy winds on the summits, gusts to 70 mph possible on the very highest tops. Conditions worsening more generally in the afternoon with low cloud, strong winds and drenching rain.

Ground conditions

No adverse ground conditions reported on 21 of Oct

Sunday 22 October 2017

Sunrise: 07:54   Sunset: 17:59
Moon phase: New

Weather

Cloudy and windy with some prolonged rain likely in the morning. Gradually drying up in the afternoon. Notable wind chill, drenching conditions in rain.

Temperature

  • At 800m Plus 3 Celsius.
  • Valley Plus 7 rising to 12 Celsius
  • Freezing level Above the summits.

Visibility

Generally moderate, locally good in shelter in the far south.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

20%, cloud widely down to 500 metres, best chance of breaks across the far south.

Maximum wind speed expected

Northwesterly gales, with gusts 50 to 60 mph.

Monday 23 October 2017

Sunrise: 07:56   Sunset: 17:57
Moon phase: Waxing crescent

Dry start but cloudy weather with some patchy rain likely by afternoon. Less windy than of late.

Tuesday 24 October 2017

Sunrise: 07:58   Sunset: 17:55
Moon phase: Waxing crescent

Likely to be cloudy with the chance of showers. Breezy.

Wednesday 25 October 2017

Sunrise: 08:00   Sunset: 17:53
Moon phase: Waxing crescent

Currently expected to be dry with light winds.

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