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North Grampian - Mountain weather forecast

Weather warnings

Warnings affecting North Grampian over the next 5 days

Confidence

High for mostly dry weather on Thursday then rain after dark. Also high confidence for mostly dry, settled weather to develop on Friday and over weekend. Lower confidence on amounts of hill fog.

  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Further outlook

Thursday 15 November 2018

Weather hazards

Gales High likelihood Hide detail

Gale force winds (gusts over 50mph) make walking difficult and strenuous with a potential to be blown over by gusts. There is often a marked increase in winds through cols or on exposed ridges and summits. Distances can take longer to cover and compass bearings become harder to follow accurately.

Learn more about gales

Storm force winds Medium likelihood Show detail

Storm force winds (gusts over 70mph) make walking very strenuous with any mobility virtually impossible over exposed ground. Where these conditions occur there is a high risk of being blown over and even standing may be impossible at times with a risk of being blown off one’s feet. Basic tasks such as using a map, eating, putting on extra clothing or communication become extremely difficult away from any shelter.

Learn more about storm force winds

Poor visibility Medium likelihood Show detail

Poor visibility presents challenging route finding conditions. Visibility could be significantly less than 50 metres in all directions with few or no visual references, especially on featureless moors or plateaux. Distances become hard to judge and cliff or cornice edges can be difficult to recognise. These conditions require good navigational skills. There is a risk of white-out conditions when mist or fog is combined with extensive snow cover.

Learn more about poor visibility

Severe chill effect Low likelihood Show detail

Wind significantly lowers the ‘feels-like’ temperature relative to the actual temperature, with even moderate winds significantly adding to the chilling effect. Strong winds can result in a severe and debilitating wind chill many degrees below the actual temperature. This effect will be enhanced in rain or wet snow. Without protection, prolonged exposure could result in frost nip or frostbite on exposed parts of the body and/or hypothermia.

Learn more about severe chill effect

Headline

Mainly dry, rather cloudy and staying very windy on the tops.

Weather

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Weather at 800m Light rain Fog Sunny intervals Sunny intervals Partly cloudy night Light shower night
Chance of precipitation at 800m 20% 20% 00% 00% 00% 40%

Wind speed and direction

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1300m S 48 60 S 42 52 S 45 58 S 48 64 S 50 66 SW 40 53
900m S 54 64 S 48 58 S 45 60 S 47 63 S 44 59 SW 35 47
600m S 33 45 S 30 43 S 29 50 S 27 49 S 26 47 SW 21 37
300m S 13 33 S 15 37 S 15 40 S 15 39 S 17 43 SW 13 33
Glen SW 5 25 S 8 29 S 10 32 S 10 35 S 10 35 SW 6 24

Temperature

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1300m 5 ° 4 ° 3 ° 1 ° 3 ° 2 °
900m 8 ° 7 ° 7 ° 5 ° 6 ° 5 °
600m 10 ° 9 ° 9 ° 8 ° 8 ° 7 °
300m 11 ° 11 ° 11 ° 10 ° 10 ° 9 °
Glen 12 ° 12 ° 13 ° 11 ° 12 ° 10 °

Feels like temperature

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1300m -3 ° -3 ° -5 ° -8 ° -6 ° -7 °
900m 2 ° 1 ° 0 ° -2 ° -1 ° -2 °
600m 5 ° 5 ° 4 ° 3 ° 4 ° 3 °
300m 9 ° 8 ° 9 ° 7 ° 7 ° 6 °
Glen 11 ° 10 ° 10 ° 8 ° 9 ° 7 °

Freezing level

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Freezing level i 2,400 m 2,300 m 1,900 m 2,100 m 2,100 m 1,700 m
Sunrise: 07:56
Sunset: 16:02
Moon phase: First quarter

Weather

Cloudy overnight with patchy drizzle and extensive hill fog. Cloudy, damp start to Thursday but most areas becoming dry. Clouds breaking to give some sunshine towards the north and east of area. Rain will reach western areas after dark extending to all parts during the evening.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

30% overnight and at first on Thursday, mainly northern Cairngorms. Improving 70% during the day, reducing again after dark. There will be extensive cloud cover around 500 to 600m lifting and breaking for a time during the day.

Visibility

Moderate or poor in drizzle but improving good in many areas during the day with hills in the near to middle distance becoming clearly visible.

Met Office Aberdeen meteorologist's view

Staying very windy on the tops and although mild at lower levels, cold air on the tops will result in a significant chill effect.

Friday 16 November 2018

Sunrise: 07:58
Sunset: 16:00
Moon phase: First quarter

Weather

Another cloudy, damp start across much of the North Grampian area. Early drizzle soon dying out and the clouds lifting and breaking to give some sunshine.

Maximum wind speed expected

Strong to gale force southerly winds on the tops although speeds a little lower than previous 2 days. Average speeds will be about 30 to 40mph and gusts 50 to 60mph.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

30% at first improving 80% in the afternoon. Extensive cloud cover around 500 to 600m graudally lifting and breaking although lingering over some hills in south of area.

Temperature

  • At 800m Plus 5 Celsius.
  • Glen 6 Celsius rising to 12 Celsius.
  • Freezing level Staying above the summits.

Visibility

Misty at first becoming good across many hills by afternoon although staying rather hazy in south.

Saturday 17 November 2018

Sunrise: 08:00
Sunset: 15:58
Moon phase: First quarter

Dry with extensive cloud cover at first then sunny spells developing. Strong to gale force southeasterly winds on the summits.

Sunday 18 November 2018

Sunrise: 08:02
Sunset: 15:56
Moon phase: Waxing gibbous

Dry weather continuing with sunny spells. Staying windy on the tops with strong to gale force southeast winds.

Monday 19 November 2018

Sunrise: 08:04
Sunset: 15:55
Moon phase: Waxing gibbous

Rather cloudy towards south and east of area with a few light showers, possibly turning wintry on the higher tops with strong southeast winds. Best of sunshine in west and north of area.

Issued at:
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Includes the North and West Cairngorms National Park, Monadhliath, Ben Alder, Creag Meagaidh, Loch Ericht and Loch Rannoch.

The North Grampian region includes a large part of the Cairngorm National Park and the Balmoral Estate, the Scottish home of the Royal family since 1852. Five of the UK's six highest mountains lie inside Cairngorm National park, and there are 55 Munros (mountains over 3,000 ft). You will also find three of Scotland’s five ski centres including the Glenshee Ski Centre, the largest in the UK. The centre extends across four mountains, Glas Maol the largest at 1,068 metres and Carn Aosda the smallest at 917 metres, and includes 36 different ski runs.

Most people agree that Creag Meagaidh in Glen Spean is where the east highlands meet the west highlands. It is also this location which provides one of the area's most popular activities - ice climbing. This is thanks to its vast plateau from which five Munros (that seem almost made for climbing) stretch out. Seeing as plenty is on offer for visitors and it is crammed in a relatively small area, it should come as no surprise that the Creag Meagaidh area has been praised as offering all that is good about the Highlands in a single nature reserve.

For snow and avalanche hazard forecasts please visit Sportscotland Avalanche Information Service

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