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North Grampian - Mountain weather forecast

Weather warnings

Warnings affecting North Grampian over the next 5 days

Confidence

High becoming low on Monday due to uncertainties regarding how far north and how quickly a frontal system bringing rain, snow and milder air pushes northwestwards across Scotland.

  • Saturday
  • Sunday
  • Further outlook

Saturday 18 November 2017

Weather hazards

Gales High likelihood Hide detail

Progress will be impeded by very strong winds. Walking will be difficult and strenuous at times with a potential for one to be blown over in gusts. There can be a marked increase in winds through cols or on exposed ridges and summits. Distances often take longer to cover with compass bearings becoming more difficult to follow accurately.

Learn more about gales

Severe chill effect High likelihood Show detail

Wind significantly lowers the ‘feels-like’ temperature relative to the actual temperature, with even moderate winds significantly adding to the chilling effect. Strong winds can result in a severe and debilitating wind chill many degrees below the actual temperature. This effect will be enhanced in rain or wet snow. Without protection, prolonged exposure could result in frost nip or frostbite on exposed parts of the body and/or hypothermia.

Learn more about severe chill effect

Poor visibility Medium likelihood Show detail

Poor visibility presents challenging route finding conditions. Visibility could be significantly less than 50 metres in all directions with few or no visual references, especially on featureless moors or plateaux. Distances become hard to judge and cliff or cornice edges can be difficult to recognise. These conditions require good navigational skills. There is a risk of white-out conditions when mist or fog is combined with extensive snow cover.

Learn more about poor visibility

Blizzards Low likelihood Show detail

Blizzards and whiteouts present challenging and serious conditions due to a combination of falling or blowing snow, strong winds and cold temperatures. They can be highly disorientating, often resulting in near-zero visibility with limited or no visual references and no distinction between ground and sky. Cliff edges and cornices may not be apparent, even close up. These conditions require very good navigational skills.

Learn more about blizzards

Storm force winds Low likelihood Show detail

Walking will be very strenuous with any mobility virtually impossible over exposed ground. There is a high likelihood of being blown over or taken off one’s feet, while even standing up may be impossible at times. Basic tasks such as using a map, eating, putting on extra clothing or communication become extremely difficult away from any shelter.

Learn more about storm force winds

Forecast

Snow showers dying out then brightening up. Very cold and windy

Weather

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Weather at 800m Light snow shower night Light snow shower day Sunny intervals Sunny intervals Partly cloudy night Light snow
Chance of precipitation at 800m 80% 60% 20% 20% 40% 70%

Wind speed and direction

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1100m NW 36 45 NW 38 46 NW 39 50 NW 36 46 NW 35 44 NW 32 41
900m W 27 33 W 24 31 W 25 37 W 22 33 W 22 32 W 22 30
600m W 14 20 W 16 23 W 15 27 W 13 24 W 12 22 W 12 21
300m NW 8 21 SW 5 12 W 7 18 SW 6 17 W 6 15 W 5 14
Glen NW 6 25 W 3 22 W 7 22 W 7 22 W 5 19 W 5 16

Temperature

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1100m -6 ° -7 ° -6 ° -6 ° -6 ° -6 °
900m -3 ° -3 ° -3 ° -3 ° -3 ° -3 °
600m -1 ° -1 ° 0 ° 0 ° 0 ° -1 °
300m 1 ° 1 ° 2 ° 2 ° 2 ° 2 °
Glen 1 ° 1 ° 4 ° 4 ° 2 ° 2 °

Feels like temperature

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1100m -17 ° -18 ° -18 ° -17 ° -17 ° -16 °
900m -12 ° -12 ° -11 ° -10 ° -11 ° -10 °
600m -7 ° -7 ° -6 ° -5 ° -5 ° -6 °
300m -3 ° -2 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 °
Glen -4 ° -1 ° 0 ° 0 ° -2 ° -2 °

Freezing level

06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Freezing level i 400 m 300 m 300 m 400 m 400 m 500 m
Sunrise: 08:02
Sunset: 15:56
Moon phase: New

Weather

Snow showers will die out through the morning with long sunny spells developing but some poor walking conditions are still possible with lying snow blowing and drifting in the very strong winds. Scattered showers are expected to arrive in the evening, turning increasingly to rain below about 600m.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

Around 25% at dawn with periods of cloud above 600-800m, becoming 90% through the morning as cloud breaks up and lifts from the summits. Cloud down to 600m at times in the evening as more showers arrive.

Visibility

Poor in snow showers early and late in the day and near zero in temporary blizzards and blowing or drifting snow, otherwise mainly very good or excellent with some good views of recently snow covered hills possible.

Met Office Aberdeen meteorologist's view

Gusts over ridges and summits around 70mph in the morning but slowly easing. Severe wind chill expected all day.

Sunday 19 November 2017

Sunrise: 08:04
Sunset: 15:55
Moon phase: New

Weather

A few light snow showers, these falling as rain below about 600m, possible at first but generally a bright day with some decent spells of sunshine. Cloud will increase through the evening with sleet or snow arriving from the southwest later.

Temperature

  • At 800m Around minus 3 Celsius
  • Glen Around minus 3 Celsius at dawn rising to plus 6 Celsius by day
  • Freezing level Around 600m

Visibility

Very good or excellent falling poor in snow showers and very poor in any drifting or blowing snow.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

Around 60% in north with periods around 600m in or near showers but nearer 75% in south with occasional cloud above 750m. Becoming 10% in the evening.

Maximum wind speed expected

Northwesterly around 30mph gusting 40mph gradually backing westerly and decreasing 20mph.

Monday 20 November 2017

Sunrise: 08:06
Sunset: 15:53
Moon phase: New

Rather cloudy with a little snow at first but becoming drier with sunny spells expected to develop. Strengthening easterly or northeasterly winds. Freezing level around 600m.

Tuesday 21 November 2017

Sunrise: 08:08
Sunset: 15:52
Moon phase: New

Bright morning but cloud and snow spreading northeast in afternoon, the snow turning increasingly to rain at lower levels later. Strong easterly winds. Freezing level around 600m rising 900m later.

Wednesday 22 November 2017

Sunrise: 08:10
Sunset: 15:50
Moon phase: Waxing crescent

Heavy rain and summit snow expected to clear to sunshine and showers. Winds becoming strong to gale force southwesterly with freezing levels rising to 1200m.

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Includes the North and West Cairngorms National Park, Monadhliath, Ben Alder, Creag Meagaidh, Loch Ericht and Loch Rannoch.

The North Grampian region includes a large part of the Cairngorm National Park and the Balmoral Estate, the Scottish home of the Royal family since 1852. Five of the UK's six highest mountains lie inside Cairngorm National park, and there are 55 Munros (mountains over 3,000 ft). You will also find three of Scotland’s five ski centres including the Glenshee Ski Centre, the largest in the UK. The centre extends across four mountains, Glas Maol the largest at 1,068 metres and Carn Aosda the smallest at 917 metres, and includes 36 different ski runs.

Most people agree that Creag Meagaidh in Glen Spean is where the east highlands meet the west highlands. It is also this location which provides one of the area's most popular activities - ice climbing. This is thanks to its vast plateau from which five Munros (that seem almost made for climbing) stretch out. Seeing as plenty is on offer for visitors and it is crammed in a relatively small area, it should come as no surprise that the Creag Meagaidh area has been praised as offering all that is good about the Highlands in a single nature reserve.

For snow and avalanche hazard forecasts please visit Sportscotland Avalanche Information Service

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