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North Grampian - Mountain weather forecast

Weather warnings

Warnings affecting North Grampian over the next 5 days

Confidence

High for generally mild type, low for cloud details especially on Friday.

  • This evening
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Further outlook

Monday 18 February 2019

Sunset: 17:21
Moon phase: Full

Cloudy with frequent showers at first these of snow above 800m and bringing temporary blizzard conditions to the higher Munro tops. These showers becoming less frequent later in the evening with some clear intervals, with the far east of the area becoming dry.

Tuesday 19 February 2019

Weather hazards

Severe chill effect High likelihood Hide detail

Wind significantly lowers the ‘feels-like’ temperature relative to the actual temperature, with even moderate winds significantly adding to the chilling effect. Strong winds can result in a severe and debilitating wind chill many degrees below the actual temperature. This effect will be enhanced in rain or wet snow. Without protection, prolonged exposure could result in frost nip or frostbite on exposed parts of the body and/or hypothermia.

Learn more about severe chill effect

Poor visibility High likelihood Show detail

Poor visibility presents challenging route finding conditions. Visibility could be significantly less than 50 metres in all directions with few or no visual references, especially on featureless moors or plateaux. Distances become hard to judge and cliff or cornice edges can be difficult to recognise. These conditions require good navigational skills. There is a risk of white-out conditions when mist or fog is combined with extensive snow cover.

Learn more about poor visibility

Blizzards Low likelihood Show detail

Blizzards and whiteouts present challenging and serious conditions due to a combination of falling or blowing snow, strong winds and cold temperatures. They can be highly disorientating, often resulting in near-zero visibility with limited or no visual references and no distinction between ground and sky. Cliff edges and cornices may not be apparent, even close up. These conditions require very good navigational skills.

Learn more about blizzards

Heavy snow Low likelihood Show detail

Heavy snow can lead to rapid changes in underfoot conditions and paths may become treacherous or hidden. It also brings very poor visibility and often makes navigation much more challenging. When deep snow accumulates progress is often time consuming and strenuous, significantly affecting the distance one can travel on foot. Deep drifts can develop if snow is combined with strong winds. A heightened avalanche risk is possible and avalanche reports should be consulted where available.

Learn more about heavy snow

Gales Low likelihood Show detail

Gale force winds (gusts over 50mph) make walking difficult and strenuous with a potential to be blown over by gusts. There is often a marked increase in winds through cols or on exposed ridges and summits. Distances can take longer to cover and compass bearings become harder to follow accurately.

Learn more about gales

Heavy persistent rain Low likelihood Show detail

Heavy and persistent rain can lead to drenched clothing and footwear with waterproofs often becoming soaked through, especially if accompanied by strong winds. This can lead to significant loss of body heat and an increased likelihood of hypothermia. Terrain may turn increasingly boggy underfoot while streams can flood and become impassable. There may also be a risk of flooding in valleys or glens. If there is snow cover, a heightened avalanche hazard is possible and avalanche reports should be consulted where available.

Learn more about heavy persistent rain

Headline

Bright or sunny spells and a few passing showers, of snow on the tops. Then more persistent cloud, rain and summit snow setting in towards dusk, with southerly summit gales.

Weather

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Weather at 800m Partly cloudy night Light snow shower night Partly cloudy night Sunny intervals Light snow shower day Cloudy Light snow Heavy snow
Chance of precipitation at 800m 00% 30% 20% 20% 30% 20% 60% 80%

Wind speed and direction

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1300m W 28 38 W 28 38 W 26 36 W 19 26 SW 17 24 S 18 26 S 24 33 S 30 41
900m W 21 30 W 21 29 W 20 28 SW 15 21 SW 15 21 S 16 22 S 23 32 S 28 39
600m W 15 25 W 14 24 W 13 22 SW 11 18 SW 11 18 SW 10 17 S 15 26 S 19 33
300m W 7 18 W 7 18 W 7 17 SW 6 16 SW 7 15 SW 5 13 S 5 14 S 8 20
Glen W 5 19 W 5 20 W 5 17 SW 4 13 SW 6 15 SW 5 13 S 5 15 S 5 16

Temperature

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1300m -4 ° -4 ° -4 ° -3 ° -3 ° -3 ° -4 ° -3 °
900m -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° -1 ° 0 ° 1 ° 0 ° 0 °
600m 2 ° 1 ° 1 ° 2 ° 3 ° 3 ° 2 ° 3 °
300m 3 ° 3 ° 2 ° 3 ° 5 ° 6 ° 4 ° 4 °
Glen 4 ° 3 ° 3 ° 3 ° 7 ° 7 ° 5 ° 5 °

Feels like temperature

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Altitude above mean sea level
1300m -12 ° -13 ° -12 ° -11 ° -9 ° -10 ° -12 ° -12 °
900m -7 ° -8 ° -8 ° -7 ° -5 ° -5 ° -7 ° -7 °
600m -3 ° -4 ° -4 ° -3 ° -1 ° 0 ° -2 ° -3 °
300m 1 ° 0 ° -1 ° 0 ° 3 ° 4 ° 2 ° 1 °
Glen 2 ° 0 ° 0 ° 1 ° 4 ° 5 ° 3 ° 3 °

Freezing level

00:00 03:00 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00
Freezing level i 800 m 700 m 700 m 800 m 900 m 900 m 900 m 900 m
Sunrise: 07:35
Sunset: 17:24
Moon phase: Full

Weather

Clear then sunny intervals and a few passing showers these of snow above 800m. Then more persistent cloud, rain and summit snow setting in towards dusk, with strong summit winds perhaps bringing temporary blizzard conditions, though the snow turning to rain at all levels by midnight.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

40% with broken cloud at 750-900m, falling 10% in the evening as cloud becomes overcast, and bases fall to 450-600m.

Visibility

Mostly good away from cloud and showers by day but falling poor in the evening in snow and blowing snow.

Met Office Aberdeen meteorologist's view

Highest wind speeds and chill effect in pre-dawn and post-dusk period, when it could reach 55mph on the highest tops.

Wednesday 20 February 2019

Sunrise: 07:32
Sunset: 17:26
Moon phase: Full

Weather

Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, some heavy in the west towards Ben Alder and Loch Ericht in the morning. Then turning more showery from mid afternoon the cloud more readily breaking towards Strathdon and the showers dying out later in the evening with some clear spells in most areas.

Maximum wind speed expected

Southerly 40 gusts 55mph in early hours veering southwest increasing 55 gusts 75mph in the morning, easing 40 gusts 50mph later in the evening.

Chance of cloud-free mountain/hill tops at 800m

10-20% with best chance towards Lecht improving to 70% in the evening as cloud becomes well broken leaving some capping cloud on the tops.

Temperature

  • At 800m Plus 4 Celsius
  • Glen Plus 8 Celsius falling Plus 4 later in evening
  • Freezing level Above summits, falling to 1100m later in the evening.

Visibility

Poor in the morning and early afternoon in rain and drizzle then improving to mainly good late afternoon and evening away from cloud and any showers.

Thursday 21 February 2019

Sunrise: 07:30
Sunset: 17:28
Moon phase: Waning gibbous

Mostly cloudy, some hill fog, and a little light rain or drizzle at times though mainly dry. Brighter to the north of the Cairrngorms. Freezing level above summits. South to southwesterly gales.

Friday 22 February 2019

Sunrise: 07:27
Sunset: 17:31
Moon phase: Waning gibbous

Rather cloudy though a better chance of some bright or sunny spells developing. Severe southwest gales on the tops but freezing levels well above the summits.

Saturday 23 February 2019

Sunrise: 07:24
Sunset: 17:33
Moon phase: Waning gibbous

Dry with well broken cloud allowing some sunny spells. Severe southerly gales on the tops, but temperature levels exceptionally mild.

Issued at:
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Includes the North and West Cairngorms National Park, Monadhliath, Ben Alder, Creag Meagaidh, Loch Ericht and Loch Rannoch.

The North Grampian region includes a large part of the Cairngorm National Park and the Balmoral Estate, the Scottish home of the Royal family since 1852. Five of the UK's six highest mountains lie inside Cairngorm National park, and there are 55 Munros (mountains over 3,000 ft). You will also find three of Scotland’s five ski centres including the Glenshee Ski Centre, the largest in the UK. The centre extends across four mountains, Glas Maol the largest at 1,068 metres and Carn Aosda the smallest at 917 metres, and includes 36 different ski runs.

Most people agree that Creag Meagaidh in Glen Spean is where the east highlands meet the west highlands. It is also this location which provides one of the area's most popular activities - ice climbing. This is thanks to its vast plateau from which five Munros (that seem almost made for climbing) stretch out. Seeing as plenty is on offer for visitors and it is crammed in a relatively small area, it should come as no surprise that the Creag Meagaidh area has been praised as offering all that is good about the Highlands in a single nature reserve.

For snow and avalanche hazard forecasts please visit Sportscotland Avalanche Information Service

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