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Dr Mike Davey

Mike works on ocean and atmosphere variability and predictability.

Mike carries out research on ocean and atmosphere variability and predictability.

Current activities

The processes involved in the El Niño Southern Oscillation cycle and its worldwide impacts are a particular interest. Mike is investigating the behaviour of ENSO in climate models and the the processes underlying ENSO-associated circulation changes and teleconnections. With a PhD student at University College London, the role of subsurface heat storage in the upper ocean in year-to-year climate variability is also being studied using mathematical models. The work involves the comparison of the behaviour of comprehensive numerical climate models with that found in observations, contributing to the assessment of such models. 

Mike also provides advice on various aspects of seasonal to decadal modelling and prediction, contributing to reports on these topics produced by the Met Office.

Career background

Mike joined the Met Office in 1985 as part of a new research group, with which he developed numerical and mathematical models designed to help understand some of the dynamical processes that underlie the behaviour of the climate system on seasonal to interannual timescales.

He progressed to become the leader of the long-range forecast team, whose activities included the development of statistical and dynamical forecast systems and the issuance of forecast products. In that time the first comprehensive coupled ocean-atmosphere global seasonal prediction system, based on Hadley Centre climate models, was built and brought into operation.

Mike has participated in several international projects on various aspects of climate prediction, and has been a member of several World Meteorological Organization and World Climate Research Programme working groups and teams.

In 2003 Mike changed role, to work half-time with the Met Office seasonal prediction group while located in a university research environment, firstly at University College London and (from October 2011) at Cambridge University.

After graduating from Adelaide University, Mike gained a PhD in fluid mechanics at Cambridge University, followed by research posts at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (Boulder, Colorado, USA) and at the University of Washington (Seattle, USA) before joining the Met Office.

External recognition

  • Mike shared in the World Meteorological Organisation Norbert Gerbier-Mumm award in 2006, for work on a multi-model seasonal prediction system.

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