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categories are equiprobable over the 1961-1990 climatology period and are referred to as ‘very dry’, ‘dry’, ‘average’, ‘wet’ and ‘very wet’. Thus, for example, a predicted value of 0.4 for the ‘dry’ category indicates a probability of 0.4 (40%) that the JAS regionally-averaged precipitation
, especially in capturing their timing and spatial distribution. The coupled model also aligns more closely with satellite-based rainfall estimates over ocean regions compared to the uncoupled setup. ❖ For surface wind speed and air temperature, differences between the coupled and uncoupled models
Kenya Meteorological Department made a presentation of review MAM and associated impacts. He pointed out that Rainfall performance was generally poor over most parts of the country and onset was timely for Western Kenya. He added that the onset was disrupted by Tropical Cyclone IDAI; poor temporal
With high pressure over the UK bringing continued settled conditions, temperatures will continue to increase through the end of the week and into the weekend. Friday will be another warm day, with highs of 32°C possible in central England. High cloud will move into the southwest of England. Some
presented in the IPCC AR5, with updated and scenario-dependent projections of the contribution to GMSL change from dynamic ice processes in Antarctica based on (Levermann et al., 2014). Over the 21 st century, these methods provide very similar projections to the recently published IPCC SROCC (Oppenheimer
Cloud types for observers Reading the sky Cloud types for observers Reading the sky Cloud types for obser vers 1 Introduction Clouds are continually changing and appear in an infinite variety of forms. It is possible, however, to define a limited number of characteristic forms observed all over
research. • Collaborative work on model evaluation with the UK and other Unified Modelling partners. • Strong interaction of all three SE Asia partners with UK science community - Met Office and UK Academia Some incremental improvement in rainfall over land in the region Madden-Julian Oscillation impact
, which foundered on the coast of Anglesey with the loss of over 450 lives. The above image shows the original weather chart produced by Met Office founder Robert FitzRoy to depict the Royal Charter Gale in October 1859. FitzRoy’s warning system The wreck gained much coverage in the national press
with the winters of 2016-17 and 2018-19 at around 3°C above the 1981-2010 average (Figure 3). While mild temperatures were spread roughly evenly across the Arctic over the season as a whole (Figure 4a), December was particularly mild in the Siberian seas, and February in the Central Arctic. Figure 3. Average
Record breaking and extreme weather has become increasingly commonplace in the UK as our climate has changed over the last few decades.
decade 2015-2024, the number of months where counties are recording monthly rainfall totals of at least twice the 1991-2020 monthly average has increased by over 50% compared to the number in 1961-1990. As the UK’s climate warms, it is also becoming wetter, with this report showing that the increase
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