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, which means the simulation will take longer unless a more powerful computer is available. A large factor in the progress in weather forecasts over recent decades has been the amazing improvements in computer technology and the ability of our models to make efficient use of this power. Over the next

, and the 12th fastest rate of June sea ice loss in the satellite record. The rate of ice loss increased abruptly at the end of the month, and the period 27th June – 10th July saw the highest 2-week rate of ice loss in the satellite record. June 2020 was another unsettled, stormy month over most of the Arctic

was just over seven degrees. By contrast 2014, which was the warmest year in the series, saw an average temperature approaching ten degrees Celsius.” Beginning with the hottest, the top ten warmest years in sequence are: 2014; 2006; 2011; 2007; 2017; 2003; 2018; 2004; 2002; and 2005. Beginning

spots rain are expected over higher ground in parts of Wales, north west England, Western Scotland, and Northern Ireland.   Weekend A low-pressure system passing passing to the north of the UK will bring thickening cloud, heavy rain and strengthening winds to Scotland and Northern Ireland as we go

A cold and windy Polar maritime airmass, with its origins over northern Canada, has moved across the UK bringing a real taste of winter.  A number of National Severe Weather Warnings have been issued for wind and snow.  The heaviest and most frequent snow showers today are likely across northern

A northerly airflow will bring cold arctic air to the UK from Sunday and into early next week, with snow showers focused across northern areas of Scotland and Northern Ireland. Through the middle of next week, with cold air firmly in place over the UK, there’s a chance of disruptive snow for some

of eastern Scotland and over higher ground in northeastern England. Areas such as Dartmoor and Bodmin Moor in the southwest have also seen rain turning to snow and accumulating as it bumps into the cold air covering the UK; some sleet and snow is falling to lower levels too but mostly not settling

the spatial extent and distribution of rainfall over a wide geographical area. “The most intense rainfall events are often highly localised and can therefore be missed or under-sampled by rain gauge networks, and whilst their occurrence can be forecast with skill, it is often not currently possible

Colder conditions With an emphasis on rainfall over the last few days, the focus for the UK forecast for the weekend and the early part of next is colder conditions and associated wintry hazards. National Severe Weather Warning A number of National Severe Weather Warnings are in place over

and strong winds to western and northern areas, including Storm Freya on the 3rd and Storm Gareth on the 12th/13th. Some very large rainfall accumulations arose over upland areas of North Wales and northern England. The second half of the month was much more settled, with high pressure over the near