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This Evening and Tonight:
Heavy thundery showers may give some torrential downpours across parts of southern and eastern England overnight, with rain elsewhere in England and Wales. Showers in the far northwest too, but Northern Ireland and southern Scotland mostly staying dry.
Heavy, thundery rain across central and eastern England will clear northeastwards, leaving sunny spells and showers, these heavy in the east. Elsewhere bright spells and showers, especially in the northwest.
Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:
Fresher on Thursday with sunshine and showers, heavy in the north where it will be windy. Dry with sunny spells in the south Friday and Saturday, showers in the north.
Updated at: 1606 on Tue 18 Jun 2019
UK Outlook for Sunday 23 Jun 2019 to Tuesday 2 Jul 2019:
On Sunday most places will start fine, bright, and dry and remain so through much of the day, especially in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures will recover to normal or be locally warm. However, for southwestern and western parts heavy rain and some strong winds should arrive during the day as low pressure moves towards the UK from the southwest. Rain is likely to spread northward and eastwards into Monday bringing unsettled weather more widely for the start of the next week. As we head into late June there are signs that high pressure may become more dominant, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather with temperatures mostly near normal. However, by early July we may see a return to greater influence from Atlantic again, although confidence is low.
Updated at: 1315 on Tue 18 Jun 2019
UK Outlook for Tuesday 2 Jul 2019 to Tuesday 16 Jul 2019:
During the first half of July predictability becomes very low, with mixed signals. However, at present the favored solution is for increased Atlantic mobility through this period, bringing spells of unsettled weather to the UK, generally associated with low pressure systems, interspersed by more settled anticyclonic regimes. This will likely mean that showers or longer spells of rain will affect northwestern parts of the UK, whilst the south and southeast will see more in the way of dry weather: although some thundery outbreaks are likely in the south and southeast as is usual this time of year. Temperatures through the period will probably near or slightly above average.
Updated at: 1326 on Tue 18 Jun 2019
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