Weather and climate change

Headline:

Rain across parts of southwest UK gradually decaying, showers elsewhere.

This Evening and Tonight:

Showers dying out for most of the UK though still some rain for parts of central and southern England and south Wales. Cool in the north, with mist and low cloud developing over some northeastern areas.

Friday:

Mostly dry and fine but fairly cloudy for eastern and northern parts. Wales, southern England and Northern Ireland seeing sunny spells and showers - heavy and thundery in Northern Ireland.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Showers developing widely each day, some of which will be heavy with a risk of thunder, especially in the south. Temperatures still on the cool side.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 13 May 2021

Continuing unsettled and rather cool with showers developing on most days. Each day the showers are likely to be locally heavy with the risk of thunder, perhaps parts of the south most prone to these on Monday. It's likely to be breezy at times too, especially around coastal areas in the west. Temperatures look to remain rather below average across the country, although in any sunshine and lighter winds it will feel quite pleasant. Where winds fall light and skies clear it is still possible we could see some overnight frost in sheltered, prone locations. Perhaps beginning to turn rather more settled toward the end of the period, but this very uncertain at this stage.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 13 May 2021

Confidence is low for this outlook as is typical of late spring and early summer. However perhaps a trend to rather more settled conditions as we move into early June with more in the way of dry weather and sunshine. With this we are likely to see a recovery in temperature too, although at this stage there is no strong signal for any very warm weather.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 13 May 2021