Weather and climate change

Headline:

Mostly fine and dry, turning more unsettled in the west.

Today:

Any early morning mist will quickly clear leaving another day with plenty of sunshine for most. Feeling very warm, locally hot. Skies turning hazy across the west with an increasing chance of showers across Northern Ireland, Wales and the southwest.

Tonight:

Most places remaining dry with clear spells, however cloud will continue to build in with showers, locally heavy and thundery developing across western areas, and particularly Northern Ireland. Feeling humid.

Saturday:

A bright but hazy day for many. A continued risk of showers across western areas, and these spreading eastwards across southern England at times. Feeling very warm and humid.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Continuing to feel very warm and humid with an increasing chance of thunderstorms almost anywhere throughout the period. Cloudier than recently, but most places seeing decent sunny spells.

Updated: 05:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 16 Jun 2023

There could still be a few thunderstorms in the southeast at first, otherwise many places should be dry and fine with light winds, and temperatures above average with high pressure in charge. Atlantic weather systems will gradually encroach into north western areas with time, but southern and eastern parts should remain largely fine, with temperatures widely above average, and possibly becoming very warm at times in the south and east - though always the outside chance here of a thunderstorm. The cloudier conditions in the northwest could spread further southeast at times towards the end of the period, perhaps bringing some rain with it, but this will remain most frequent over Western Scotland and Northern Ireland where temperatures will be closer to average.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 16 Jun 2023

A more settled end to June is suggested under the influence of high pressure with reduced rainfall across the UK, though parts of the northwest may retain slightly more precipitation than normal. Predictions for July are still subject to many uncertainties; the current indications are for a diagonal split across the UK, with the slightly drier conditions than average in the north and east and slightly wetter conditions than average in the south and west. Temperatures, however, are generally more likely to stay above average for through the period.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 15 Jun 2023