Weather and climate change

Headline:

Chilly with clear spells and scattered showers.

This Evening and Tonight:

Rain far southwest clearing southwards overnight. Otherwise showers inland tending to die out but continuing to run into areas exposed to more northerly winds. Central parts seeing best of clear spells and chilly, particularly for northwest England and southwest Scotland.

Wednesday:

Sunny intervals and scattered showers for coastal areas, just odd ones inland. Rain, some heavy, arriving into southeast Scotland and northeast England during afternoon then moving south and west overnight.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Sunny intervals and showers, perhaps more organised rain across the northeast at times. Heavier rain and strong winds spreading quickly eastwards on Friday. Rather cold with patchy overnight grass frost.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 27 Sep 2022

A mixture of sunny spells and showers or longer periods of rain are expected at the start of October. Showers are likely to be heaviest and most frequent across the north and whilst southern and eastern areas may see some rain at times, these areas likely seeing the best of the drier conditions. Winds generally light, but strong in the north and along eastern coasts. Later in the period, we may see a shift towards drier and more settled weather. Some spells of wetter weather remain likely at times; these are most probable in the northwest but could possibly spread to other areas too. Temperatures likely to be close to average throughout or perhaps slightly above average by the end of the period.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 27 Sep 2022

Confidence remains low through this period. Drier and more settled conditions are most likely to start, though some periods of wetter weather remain probable. Later in October, there is an increasing chance of unsettled conditions developing more widely across the UK for a time. Temperatures most likely to be near normal or slightly above normal.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 27 Sep 2022