UK weather

Headline:

Often cloudy during the coming days.

Today:

Locally cold start in the north, with the best of the sunshine here. Cloudier, breezier and cooler farther south with the odd shower, though fewer than recently. Rather cold in the south, otherwise temperatures near average.

Tonight:

A cloudy night for many, with the odd shower. Clearer skies in the west and northwest may allow some frost and fog, while it stays milder farther east under cloud.

Thursday:

Brisk easterly winds across the south with isolated showers, heaviest near southwest England later. Northern and northwestern areas see the brightest conditions, though fog may linger. Rather chilly further south

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Often cloudy through the weekend with frost and fog at times. Showers continuing, light in eastern areas but locally heavy in the southwest. Temperatures near average, feeling near coasts.

High pressure begins to migrate away to the east allowing frontal systems to attempt to progress into the UK from the southwest, although exactly how much progress into the UK this makes is uncertain. However there is a greater chance that at least the southern half of the UK will see a change to milder and wetter conditions, at least for a time, while the north is more likely to remain drier. Toward the end of next week we may start to see some colder conditions spread from the north to much of, if not all of the UK, but while the nature of this colder outbreak is very uncertain , it could bring some wintry showers to the northern UK briefly, with the south trending drier once again.

During the second half of November, there is an increasing chance of changeable or more unsettled conditions developing, with spells of rain and the potential for strong winds at times. The extent and location of the wettest and windiest weather is very uncertain at this range, with northern and western areas generally most favoured, but there is a chance the wettest conditions could become more focussed across southern parts for a time. Towards the end of November, whilst confidence is very low in the overall weather patterns, there may be a tendency for the tracks of Atlantic lows to shift farther south. Temperatures are likely to be near or above average for much of the period, although colder interludes remain possible, perhaps more especially later in the period.