Weather and climate change

Headline:

Chilly with clear spells and scattered showers.

This Evening and Tonight:

Clear spells for many but showers continuing in areas exposed to the northwest, some running inland from the northern Irish Sea across the Midlands. Heavier showers affecting northeastern Scotland later. Breezy, perhaps with gales near northern coasts, and chilly.

Tuesday:

A mix of sunshine and showers, heaviest in northeast Scotland, and quite frequent in areas exposed to the northwesterly winds, particularly into the Midlands. Feeling chilly, although winds slowly easing.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Sunny intervals and showers, perhaps more organised rain across the northeast at times. Heavier rain and strong winds spreading quickly eastwards on Friday. Rather cold with patchy overnight grass frost.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 26 Sep 2022

We are likely to see an unsettled start to October with low pressure to the north of the UK. This would bring a mixture of sunny spells and showers or longer periods of rain. Showers are likely to be heaviest and most frequent across the north and whilst southern and eastern areas are likely to see some rain at times, these areas likely seeing the best of the drier conditions. Widely windy with a risk of gales at times, most probably across the north and northwest. We may then see a shift towards more settled weather later on in the period with drier conditions becoming more prevalent, especially in the south. Temperatures likely to be close to average throughout or maybe slightly above average by the end of the period.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 26 Sep 2022

Confidence is low through this period, but the most likely scenario is for drier and more settled conditions. Some periods of wetter weather remain likely, these most probable in the northwest, but also possibly spreading further south at times. Temperatures most likely to be near normal or slightly above normal.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 26 Sep 2022