Weather and climate change

Headline:

Showery rain in the north. Drier with clear spells elsewhere.

This Evening and Tonight:

The band of showery rain will continue northeastwards, becoming confined to parts of Scotland later in the night. Otherwise, clear spells with showers easing for most. However, there will be further showers arriving into the southwest later in the night.

Sunday:

A breezy day with sunny spells and showers, these will be heavy at times. Thicker cloud and more persistent showery rain over northern Scotland at first will clear away northwards.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Sunshine and showers for many on Monday. After a dry and bright start on Tuesday, heavy and thundery showers will arrive during the afternoon and move north overnight into Wednesday.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 15 Jun 2019

Low pressure likely to be dominant to the west or northwest, with frontal systems periodically affecting the UK. Windy conditions are likely at times, especially in the northwest. The changeable conditions are likely to bring bands of rain at times, these most frequently in the north and west. Brighter and showery periods are likely in-between. The south and southeast should have more in the way of drier and settled weather, but with the risk of thundery plumes being drawn northwards from the continent into southern parts of the UK at times. Temperatures will be mostly near normal, but warm at times in the east. Sometimes rather cool in the northwest. There are signs that high pressure may become more dominant by late-June, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 15 Jun 2019

Although uncertain, the most likely weather for the end of June could well be a continuation of mostly dry and warm weather for the southeast of the UK, with light winds. Windier and wetter weather is likely at times in the northwest but there will be drier spells here too. Into July, conditions will be similar, with showers or longer spells of rain at times, although the south and southeast will probably see the warmest and driest weather, with occasional thundery outbreaks. Temperatures will be near or slightly above the average for the time of year.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 15 Jun 2019