Weather and climate change

Headline:

Largely dry but often cloudy.

Today:

Most areas dry but often cloudy. Some sunny spells are possible, these mostly across northeast Scotland, Wales and southwest England. Some light rain and drizzle affecting northwest Scotland where it will be windy with coastal gales.

Tonight:

Remaining mostly dry but largely cloudy, with only brief breaks in the cloud allowing very isolated frost. Windy in the northwest with some heavier rain for northwest Scotland later.

Monday:

A band of increasingly patchy rain will move southwards across Scotland. Continuing mostly cloudy but largely dry elsewhere, and rather cold in the south.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Mostly dry and often cloudy. Rain arriving into the northwest on Wednesday, spreading further southeast during Thursday, and turning increasingly light and patchy. Brighter weather following.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 23 Jan 2022

Rain will clear in the far southeast during the day, however blustery showers will continue for northeastern areas, with a risk of some gales. Otherwise, a fine and dry start to the period with variable cloud, this bringing settled conditions across the south with overnight frost and some morning fog patches in areas with higher elevation. Temperatures likely to be close to average in the south, whereas milder in the north, trending slightly above normal. Settled conditions looking to continue to dominate through the remainder of January, however, rain or showers at times for the north and northwest, with occasional strong winds here. Heading into February there is an increasing likelihood of more unsettled conditions.

Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Sat 22 Jan 2022

Early February is likely to see a continuation of a north/south split with more settled and cloudy weather expected in the south, and generally drier than average, while the north will be more changeable, milder, with some spells of rain. There is an increased likelihood of more unsettled conditions becoming established, with the northwest likely to be the wettest area, but showers or longer spells of rain may spread to most areas at times, with the southeast likely to be the driest. Spells of strong winds are likely to develop more widely at times. Temperatures likely to be near or slightly above average although short lived colder interludes are possible. Any snow likely to be restricted to high ground in the north.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Sat 22 Jan 2022