Weather and climate change

Headline:

Wet and windy weather, focused in the west. Mild.

This Evening and Tonight:

Spells of wet, windy weather for many western and northern areas, the rain heavy especially on hills. Some eastern and southern regions seeing much less rain, even odd cloud breaks. Very mild, although northwest Britain somewhat clearer and chillier later.

Friday:

Rain clearing many northern and central parts, where turning much brighter, just a few showers across northern Scotland. Rain lingering across the south, returning north later. Very mild in south.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Continuing to be very unsettled and often windy with heaviest rain likely on high ground in the west. Generally brighter, showery and colder conditions extending to all areas on Monday.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Thu 29 Oct 2020

Following the very unsettled period we are now in, conditions across the UK are expected to become less unsettled early next week. By next Tuesday, most places will have a mixture of sunny spells and showers, the heaviest and most frequent of these showers likely in the west. By the middle of next week, generally much drier, brighter more settled conditions are likely to be established across much of the UK. As winds fall light for many, overnight frost and morning fog will become more prevalent and it will be colder generally. More changeable windier conditions may persist in the far north. Generally quiet conditions will probably persist through the following weekend although it may start to become somewhat more changeable again as we go into mid November.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Thu 29 Oct 2020

Settled weather is likely to continue until the middle of November, with high pressure looking to dominate. This will bring generally dry conditions, especially for the south with any wet and windy weather being mostly confined to the north. Confidence is currently low for the second half of November but current signals suggest an autumnal setup with colder conditions developing and more frequent showers, with the heaviest of these showers affecting the east and northeast of the UK. Another spell of drier, more settled conditions is possible towards the end of November, but confidence remains low for this. Despite the settled conditions in the south temperatures are expected to be lower than average for the time of year, whereas they will be closer to normal in the north.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Thu 29 Oct 2020