UK weather

Headline:

Staying settled with a few blustery showers.

Today:

Showers across the far north and eastern areas, heaviest in the far southeast. Elsewhere, mainly dry with sunny spells. Temperatures near average, though brisk northeasterly winds will make it feel cold in the east and southeast.

Tonight:

Cloudier across many eastern areas and the far north with a few blustery showers. Elsewhere, mainly dry with clear spells. Patchy fog and local frost are possible in the northwest.

Tuesday:

Mist and fog patches in the north clearing. Otherwise, variable cloud with scattered light showers, most frequent in the far southeast. Moderate winds in the south. Temperatures near normal.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Variable cloud through the period with a few light showers. Most places stay dry. Cold starts in the north with occasional mist and fog. Turning colder by Friday.

High pressure is likely to dominate conditions across much of the UK initially, with large amounts of cloud at times but any amounts of rain or drizzle tending to be small. Quite breezy in the south, but a greater chance of some fog patches in northern areas where winds will be lighter. As the high pressure begins to migrate away to the east, frontal systems may attempt to bring some occasional rain to parts of the southwest and/or northwest at times, though exactly how much progress into the UK this makes is uncertain. In any case, rainfall is likely to be below average in many areas for this period as a whole, with temperatures initially a little below average before returning to near or slightly above average.

During the second half of November, there is an increasing chance of changeable or more unsettled conditions developing, with spells of rain and the potential for strong winds at times. The extent and location of the wettest and windiest weather is very uncertain at this range, with northern and western areas generally most favoured, but there is a chance the wettest conditions could become more focussed across southern parts for a time. Towards the end of November, whilst confidence is very low in the overall weather patterns, there may be a tendency for the tracks of Atlantic lows to shift farther south. Temperatures are likely to be near or above average for much of the period, although colder interludes remain possible, perhaps more especially later in the period.