Weather and climate change
UK video forecast
UK 5 day weather forecast
Rain in the south clearing to leave sunshine and showers.
This Evening and Tonight:
A rather cloudy but mild evening and night for England and Wales, with the odd spot of rain, and some mist and fog patches. Clearer spells across Scotland and Northern Ireland, with a scattering of blustery showers towards the northwest.
England and Wales starting mostly dry. Brightening up after a murky start. However, outbreaks of rain developing from the southwest, perhaps heavy and thundery. Sunshine further north, with some showers.
Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:
Sunshine and showers on Tuesday. A fresher westerly wind. Showers merging to longer spells of rain in the north on Wednesday, although brighter elsewhere. Mostly dry and bright on Thursday.
UK long range weather forecast
A split in conditions is likely to develop across the UK early in the period. Further rain is expected in north-western areas, which could turn heavy, particularly over higher, westwards-facing ground and strong winds are also possible in these areas. Southern areas, in contrast, are likely to remain much drier with light winds and some clear spells, which could lead to some overnight patches of mist and fog. Temperatures are likely to be above average for many, especially so in the south where some unusually warm temperatures for October are possible. These temperatures are likely to trend downward toward middle of the month, with the northwest-southeast split also slowly becoming less distinct as the weather becomes generally more changeable.
There is the potential for a slightly more settled pattern of weather during the second half of October, particularly for north-western regions which have a higher likelihood than normal for some drier spells. However, some more unsettled weather is also possible with south-eastern areas likely see more rainfall than usual for late October. Temperatures in general are expected to remain above average, with some mild nights also likely, though it could feel chilly in any clear and settled overnight conditions, with occasional mist and fog patches and touches of ground frost possible.