Weather and climate change

Headline:

Cloud and drizzle towards west, fine and warm further east.

This Evening and Tonight:

Some rain crossing Scotland, with low cloud, mist and drizzle also spreading to some western areas later. Further south and east, some clear spells, and for southern and central England the chance of some fog patches. Windy in the north.

Friday:

Low cloud and drizzle continuing to affect some areas especially parts of the west and southwest, though some sunshine east of hills. Further east, a better share of warm sunshine.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Mainly fine and warm Saturday. Some rain for the northwest. Scattered showers overnight into Sunday, perhaps heavy in the southeast. Squally band of rain pushes east Sunday and into Monday.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 23 Sep 2021

A cyclonic pattern will likely develop by Tuesday, bringing a mixture of sunshine and showers for much of the UK. In the northwest, these showers are likely to be heavy and possibly thundery whilst in the south they are signalled to be more organised. For the remainder of this period, a rough split in conditions continues. The north and west will see the worst of any unsettled weather, with showers and outbreaks of rain, while the south and east see the best of any drier and sunnier conditions. Some heavier rain and strong winds are likely to be seen at the boundary between these two areas at times also, sometimes spreading into southern areas. Temperatures near average but may rise slightly towards the end of this period.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 23 Sep 2021

Confidence is typically low through this period. Current signals suggest the higher pressure is more likely over the south during this period, giving generally dry and settle conditions. More settled conditions may spread northwards at times. Lower pressure in the north will bring periods of showers or longer spells along with stronger winds. Temperatures most likely around or above average.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 23 Sep 2021