Unsettled, with rain spreading in from the southwest for Friday.
Daytime showers in the north and west becoming confined to coastal areas overnight. Meanwhile, cloud and outbreaks of rain will spread into parts of Wales and southwest England during the early hours. Elsewhere, mostly dry with clear spells.
Early rain across Wales and southwest England spreading northeast to all but northern Scotland. Becoming brighter with some heavy showers following from the west. Further rain into southern parts later.
Rain clearing southeast early Saturday, with heavy thundery showers following widely. Drier for Northern Ireland. Heavy rain and strong winds in northwest Sunday and Monday. Becoming very warm and humid.
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This period will tend to see a northwest to southeast split in the weather across the UK, with northwestern parts experiencing spells of rain, which could be heavy at times, as well as some periods of strong wind bringing a risk of coastal gales. By contrast, southern and southeastern parts of the UK should see much drier and warmer weather, which could be hot and rather humid at times, especially early to mid next week. Potential for thunderstorms to develop as any hot, settled weather breaks down from the west. Beyond that, the signals become more mixed although overall the northwest to southeast split will most probably continue. The south and southeast is likely to see some rain but it will be less frequent than in the northwest.
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As we move into early August, the final month of the meteorological summer, confidence is low in the forecast with no one single weather pattern looking to dominate. As is often the case in summer, this could well mean plenty of fine, dry weather, interspersed with occasional rain or thundery outbreaks, leading to marked local variations in rainfall. Temperatures are likely to be above average, perhaps more especially in the south and west.
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