Weather and climate change

Headline:

Heavy rain easing in the north, sunshine and showers elsewhere.

This Evening and Tonight:

Rain at times across Scotland easing by dawn. Further heavy, thundery showers across central UK, particularly affecting northwest England. Southern areas, breezy and becoming mostly dry with clear spells.

Thursday:

Drier across southern areas than recently. Cloud and rain over Scotland moving into Northern Ireland and northern England, turning more showery. Rain and strong winds arriving in the southwest later.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Strong winds and showery rain moving across southern areas through Friday. Elsewhere showers for many, becoming confined to southern areas, with a lot of dry weather. Generally rather cool.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 28 Jul 2021

Changeable conditions continuing to dominate for the start of August, with a mixture of sunny and dry periods, showery periods and the chance of longer spells of rain. At first the south is likely to see the most showers, with the north remaining the driest, but by the end of the period the south and southeast will possibly be the driest and the west and northwest the wettest. There remains a chance for any showers or rain to produce thunderstorms. Temperatures are most likely cooler than average for this time of year, trending to slightly cooler than average or average through the period, with the south and southwest having the best chance of seeing average temperatures.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 28 Jul 2021

As is typical for this time of year, confidence is low for this period. However, there is a tentative sign of more settled conditions developing with higher pressure becoming slightly more likely. This means drier conditions may become more prevalent, although there is still the risk of showers or thunderstorms at times. Temperatures likely to trend to above average, with an increasing chance of hotter spells developing as the month progresses.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 28 Jul 2021