Weather and climate change

Headline:

Unsettled with rain or showers for most.

This Evening and Tonight:

Showers slowly dying out through the course of this evening, with low cloud or fog patches developing in places. Further rain reaching the far southwest later. Mild for most.

Saturday:

Outbreaks of rain moving northeastwards across much of England and Wales. Sunny spells and scattered showers for Scotland and Northern Ireland. Staying chilly and murky across eastern Scotland.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

A changeable period with most places experiencing rain or showers at times, in-between drier, more settled spells. Monday the most unsettled day. Temperatures mainly near or a little above average.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 5 May 2023

On Wednesday, sunny spells and showers, heavy in places with a risk of hail and thunder. Later in the week showers will become confined to north and eastern areas, whereas the southwest will be drier and brighter. Rain is then expected to return from the west and spread across most areas, becoming heaviest in the northwest. Winds generally light to moderate, increasing in western areas over the weekend. A north-south split is most likely to develop over the weekend. High pressure towards the southwest would increase the likelihood of dry and sunny conditions here, whereas lower pressure to the northeast would result in more unsettled conditions with occasional rain and showers. Stronger winds most likely in the north. Temperatures are likely to be close to or above normal.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 5 May 2023

Confidence during this period is typically low, but changeable weather appears to be the most likely outcome at this time. Most areas will likely see some spells of unsettled weather, as well as periods of drier and brighter weather. Above average temperatures are slightly more likely than below average.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 5 May 2023