Rain moving northeast, with showers following this afternoon.
Locally heavy rain across Wales and southwest England first thing spreading northeast to all but northern Scotland where it should remain bright with isolated showers. Becoming brighter for many with heavy showers this afternoon, but further rain in south later.
Rain spreads across south and southeast England this evening, clearing from all but south-easternmost areas by morning. Clear spells and showers elsewhere, but rain lingering across parts of the northwest.
Any remaining rain quickly eases leaving sunny spells and scattered showers. These will give heavy and possibly thundery downpours in places this afternoon, particularly across northeast England and eastern Scotland.
Dry and warm across England and Wales Sunday, but turning wet and windy in northwest. Rain continuing in northwest Monday and occasionally Tuesday, generally dry elsewhere, becoming hot in southeast.
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This period will tend to see a northwest to southeast split in the weather across the UK, with northwestern parts experiencing spells of rain, which could be heavy at times, as well as some periods of strong wind bringing a risk of coastal gales. By contrast, southern and southeastern parts of the UK should see much drier and warmer weather, which could be hot and rather humid at times, especially early to mid next week. Potential for thunderstorms to develop as any hot, settled weather breaks down from the west. Beyond that, the signals become more mixed although overall the northwest to southeast split will most probably continue. The south and southeast is likely to see some rain but it will be less frequent than in the northwest.
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As we move into early August, the final month of the meteorological summer, confidence is low in the forecast with no one single weather pattern looking to dominate. As is often the case in summer, this could well mean plenty of fine, dry weather, interspersed with occasional rain or thundery outbreaks, leading to marked local variations in rainfall. Temperatures are likely to be above average, perhaps more especially in the south and west.
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