Weather and climate change

Headline:

Some heavy showers in southeast, sunnier and warm in northwest.

This Evening and Tonight:

Heavy showers and thunderstorms in parts of southern England slowly fading though the odd one lingering, while heavier bursts of rain affect parts of the southeast later. Northeastern areas seeing low cloud spreading inland again, while the northwest mostly clear.

Sunday:

The southeast seeing rain give way to heavy showers and thunderstorms, a few further west too but some warm sunshine in between for most. Further north mainly fine and warm.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Broadly unsettled with rain or showers for most, heavy at times with thunder. Breezy around northern and southern coasts. Warm again on Monday, but becoming cooler by Wednesday.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 24 Jul 2021

Remaining unsettled through much of this period, with most places seeing showers or rain at times. Heavy and persistent rain is likely across northern Scotland on Thursday and the rest of the UK could well see showers develop though the day, some heavy and possibly thundery at times. Conditions remain changeable with outbreaks of rain moving in from the west, and further thundery showers possible between any drier interludes. Stronger that average winds are expected for the time of year. From the end of next week until early August, we will likely see mixed conditions with sunny spells and heavy showers, perhaps with some more prolonged rain at times. Southwestern areas possibly staying driest whereas the northeast could be wetter than usual. Average temperatures are expected.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 24 Jul 2021

Changeable conditions look likely to continue through the start of this period, with sunny spells mixed in with some showers at times or longer spells of rain, these more prevalent in the northwest. Although confidence in the detail is low, there are tentative signals suggesting that high pressure may become more dominant during the middle of August, bringing more settled, drier and warmer conditions for many. There would still be a risk of showers or thunderstorms at times. Temperatures are most likely to be above average.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 24 Jul 2021