UK weather

Headline:

Often cloudy with rain and showers. Some glimmers of brightness.

Today:

A cloudy, gloomy day for most. Wales seeing rain first thing, then eastern England later. Drizzly showers in the northeast, and heavy showers in the far southwest. Feeling chilly but with much lighter winds than recent days.

Tonight:

Damp for parts of eastern England, the Midlands and later into northern England. Heavy showers still persisting in the far southwest. Elsewhere, cloudy with a few drizzly showers.

Saturday:

Any early mist and fog patches slowly clearing then brighter spells developing for parts of England and Wales by the afternoon. Dull and damp for northeastern England and Northern Ireland.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Fog and frost to start on Sunday with rain in the north and sunnier spells later in the south. A similar picture for Monday. Turning windier on Tuesday with rain.

High pressure begins to migrate away to the east allowing frontal systems to progress into the UK from the southwest, although exactly how much progress into the UK this makes is uncertain. However there is a greater chance that at least the southern half of the UK will see a change to milder and wetter conditions, at least for a time, while the north is more likely to remain drier. Toward the end of next week we may start to see some colder conditions spread from the north. While the nature of this colder outbreak is very uncertain, it could bring some wintry showers to the northern UK briefly. Thereafter, a transition towards a westerly flow is likely, bringing changeable conditions with rain more likely focused towards the north west.

During the second half of November, there is an increasing chance of changeable or more unsettled conditions developing, with spells of rain and the potential for strong winds at times. The extent and location of the wettest and windiest weather is very uncertain at this range, with northern and western areas generally most favoured, but there is a chance the wettest conditions could become more focussed across southern parts for a time. Towards the end of November, whilst confidence is very low in the overall weather patterns, there may be a tendency for the tracks of Atlantic lows to shift farther south. Temperatures are likely to be near or above average for much of the period, although colder interludes remain possible, perhaps more especially later in the period.