Will the promise of rain threaten the sun’s long reign?
A modest change of weather type is on the horizon as the long-standing area of high pressure begins to yield to more unsettled conditions from the weekend.
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Very warm sunshine. Turning cooler with some rain this weekend.
Cloudy across the north of the country with patchy rain in northwest Scotland. A few isolated showers are also possible across the far east of England. Fine elsewhere, with hazy sunshine and feeling very warm, particularly in the south
Patchy light rain sinking southeast across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland overnight. Otherwise dry, with variable amounts of cloud. Warm for many.
Cloudy across the north and west with outbreaks of light rain or showers, especially during the afternoon and evening. Dry elsewhere with very warm sunshine, locally hot in the south.
Conditions will gradually turn cooler over the weekend with some wet and breezy weather moving through from the northwest. Rather cloudy on Monday with a few showers.
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A changeable period is likely overall, with many areas likely to see a mixture of bright or sunny spells and some rain at times. Northwestern areas are more likely to see the focus of rainfall, but southeastern areas should also see some showers. Confidence becomes lower into the start of August, but there are hints that high pressure could return for a time, which would mean dry conditions resuming, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, but occasionally fresh or strong around some coasts, mainly in the north and west. Temperatures will be near or above normal, warmest in the south, and perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
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Higher pressure is considered generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will more likely prevail, especially across the south. Some rain is still likely at times, especially across northern and western areas. Although many areas may see mainly dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light to moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
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