An early look at the July statistics: just how dry has it been?
A prolonged heatwave, exceptionally low rainfall and widespread drought conditions have combined to make July 2026 a remarkable month.
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Turning hotter next week.
A few showers across northern Scotland, elsewhere will be fine, dry and warmer than Saturday, especially across England and Wales. Increasing cloud in some western areas may bring the odd spot of rain later, but many places will stay dry.
Cloud will increase across Northern Ireland, Scotland and northern England, bringing some outbreaks of rain. Elsewhere, it will stay mostly dry with clear spells, particularly across southern and eastern areas.
Rain spreads north across Scotland, with heavier showers possible in Northern Ireland. Many other areas remain dry with sunny spells. Feeling hot in the southeast, with a chance of thunderstorm.
Unsettled at first, with spells of rain and some heavy showers, especially in northern areas. Conditions gradually improve later, becoming drier for many. Hot in the southeast, cooler further north.
Updated:
Probably rather changeable to begin this period, with some rain or showers at times, but also the likelihood of some decent drier interludes too. Towards mid August, high pressure may become rather more dominant towards the north of the UK, with lower pressure further to the south. This means there is a greater chance for Atlantic frontal systems or thundery interludes to affect southern areas, certainly in comparison to recent weeks, though rainfall amounts could be quite variable with some areas seeing relatively little. For the most part, temperatures look to remain above average, especially in the south, though perhaps without the exceptional heat we have seen in recent weeks.
Updated:
It will probably be changeable to start the period, with spells of unsettled weather interspersed with some drier interludes. Later into August it will most likely turn predominantly dry and settled, as high pressure patterns seem likely to influence the UK. This may be interrupted at times by Atlantic frontal systems, especially in the north, or by thunderstorms in the south. Nonetheless, overall rainfall amounts will likely be below normal. Temperatures will probably be above normal and some spells of hot weather and heatwaves are possible, especially in the south.
Updated: