UK weather

Headline:

Rain in the north, hot and sunny in the south.

Today:

Rain persists across northern and northwestern Scotland, easing through the morning. Cloudy with patchy drizzle at first in Northern Ireland and northern England. Dry elsewhere with sunny spells and breezy conditions. Temperatures near normal in the north, very warm southward.

Tonight:

Breezy in the north with occasional rain, heaviest in northwest Scotland. Low cloud and hill fog redevelop across southwest Britain and western areas. Elsewhere, fine and dry with clear spells.

Tuesday:

Further rain or showers affect northern areas, though generally less heavy. Cloudy in Northern Ireland and northwest England with patchy drizzle. Elsewhere dry and sunny, feeling very warm to hot.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Cloudy and rain start to clear across the north with some outbreaks across western Scotland. Fine and dry elsewhere with plenty of sunny spells and staying hot in the south.

Northern and western parts may be unsettled at first with heavy rain or thundery showers, before high pressure becomes reestablished. This will continue to bring dry and very warm weather across England and Wales, but always with an ongoing chance of thunderstorms moving in from France. High pressure will likely amplify northwards to bring periods of drier and warmer weather to most of Scotland and Northern Ireland too. Winds will be light to moderate for most, but gusty around any thunderstorms. Temperatures by day will be widely very warm, hot or even very hot in parts of the south. There are signs for the heatwave to ease back to more normal summer temperatures through the next week commencing Monday 13 July.

High pressure is more likely than low pressure for the rest of July, probably bringing settled and drier conditions. Occasionally this dry and warm weather could be interrupted by outbreaks of rain and stronger winds, which will be more probable in the north or west. As is typical for the time of year, there is a risk of heavy, thundery showers during any warm spells. These conditions are likely to persist through to the start of August, with unsettled interruptions perhaps becoming more common, but confidence at this range is low. In any case, temperatures are likely to be above average overall, with a greater than normal chance of hot conditions developing at times, especially in the south.