Monthly to decadal prediction

Research and development of skilful ensemble forecasts on monthly to decadal timescales, for adaptation to climate variability and change.

This area covers research into climate variability and predictability; development of operational ensemble-prediction systems, derived applications and products for monthly to decadal timescales. Our decadal prediction system is the first in the world and our long-range predictions are currently among the most skilful. The forecasts and applications have a variety of uses throughout the world.

Last updated: 5 June 2014

Forecasting months and years ahead

Forecasting months and years ahead
Adam Scaife, Head of Seasonal to Decadal Forecasting, explains how the Met Office forecasts from months to years ahead.

In this video, Adam Scaife (Head of Seasonal to Decadal Forecasting) explains how the Met Office forecasts from months to years ahead.