UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09)

The UK has a temperate climate

UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) is a climate analysis tool, funded by Defra, which features the most comprehensive climate projections ever produced.

Projections are broken down to a regional level across the UK and are shown in probabilistic form - illustrating the potential range of changes and the level of confidence in each prediction.

Getting the most from UKCP09

Used appropriately and combined with the right information, UKCP09 provides a detailed guide to our future climate - informing risk based decisions that mean we can avoid the dangers and capitalise on the opportunities of the changes to come.

Remember UKCP09 gives projections (possible) not predictions (probable) of changes to the UK climate.

As our science is behind the projections and our scientists are experts on climate science, the Met Office is ideally placed to provide detailed advice to maximise the potential of UKCP09.

Our climate science consultants can guide you through the projections, ensuring they are properly used and applied to meet your needs. We can also provide training to enable customers to accurately interpret weather and climate information.

Taking UKCP09 forward - detailed climate solutions

We can add to the projections in UKCP09 by generating information and solutions tailored to your exact needs. This includes adding more detail to projections by focusing in on specific locations, variables or scenarios, updating projections with the very latest science or taking your specific situation into account.

We have produced a number of impact reports on some of the climate change adaptation projects we have already carried out for government and businesses.

Using our tailored projections offers a number of advantages to give you the best possible information:

  • Latest science - our understanding of the climate is always developing, and our newest models utilise the latest knowledge alongside cutting-edge computing power to produce the most detailed projections available.

  • Specific timescale - running models from the latest situation over shorter time scales can give you the most accurate picture of what's ahead for the next few years.

  • Detailed geography - we can focus on particular areas to take into account the key issues which can affect local climate. For example, UKCP09 does not include the process by which urban areas store and generate heat, creating a local climate which has significant implications under climate change. Our custom projections can include this, and other factors which may be vital for your risk management consideration.

Last updated: 9 January 2014

Use this interactive map to see how climate change is expected to affect the rainfall and temperature where you live in the 2050s

How the climate may change in your region (requires Flash)