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Black Shoulder

Black Shoulder last 24 hours
  • 11°C 8°C
    Cloudy
  • 13°C 6°C
    Light rain
  • 8°C 4°C
    Thunder shower day
  • 6°C 3°C
    Thunder shower day
  • 6°C 2°C
    Light shower day
  • 8°C 5°C
    Sunny intervals
  • 10°C 6°C
    Light shower day
Tuesday   (27 September 2016)
0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300
Light rain Heavy rain Heavy rain Heavy rain Light rain Overcast Sunny intervals Overcast Overcast Cloudy Sunny intervals Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Partly cloudy night
Temperature (°C)
9 9 10 11 11 10 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
4 5 6 7 7 6 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
Precipitation probability arrow down
70% 90% 90% 90% 60% 20% <5% 10% 10% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
S 28 33 S 29 36 S 30 37 SSW 28 34 WSW 28 35 W 29 35 W 31 37 W 30 37 W 30 37 W 29 35 WSW 28 34 WSW 29 35 WSW 29 34 WSW 30 36 WSW 33 40 WSW 35 43 WSW 36 44 WSW 35 44
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VP VP VP VP VP M VG VG E E E E E VG VG VG VG VG
Humidity arrow down
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 89% 86% 84% 84% 83% 86% 89% 89% 92% 92% 93%
UV index arrow down
0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Wednesday   (28 September 2016)
0000 0100 0200 0300 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300
Cloudy Cloudy Overcast Overcast Overcast Fog Light rain Light rain Light rain Light rain Light rain Mist Light rain Light rain Mist Cloudy Cloudy Light rain Heavy shower day Heavy shower night Heavy shower night Heavy rain Light shower night Light shower night
Temperature (°C)
8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 10
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5
Precipitation probability arrow down
10% 10% 10% 10% 20% 20% 50% 50% 60% 60% 60% 30% 60% 60% 40% 30% 30% 60% 70% 70% 70% 80% 50% 50%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
WSW 37 46 WSW 37 47 W 36 45 W 34 43 WSW 32 40 WSW 29 36 WSW 26 33 WSW 24 30 SW 23 29 SSW 21 28 SSW 22 28 SSW 25 33 SSW 26 34 SSW 29 39 SSW 31 43 SW 36 49 SW 38 51 SW 37 50 SW 37 50 SW 38 51 WSW 37 50 WSW 36 50 WSW 36 50 WSW 37 50
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VG VG VG VG VG VP P P VP VP VP P VP VP P G G M M M M G G G
Humidity arrow down
93% 94% 95% 95% 96% 97% 97% 98% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 98% 98% 96% 98% 98% 98% 98% 97% 95% 95%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Thursday   (29 September 2016)
0000 0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Light shower night Light shower night Cloudy Cloudy Light shower day Heavy shower day Thunder shower day Thunder shower night Thunder shower night
Temperature (°C)
9 8 7 6 6 7 7 6 5
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
4 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 0
Precipitation probability arrow down
40% 40% 10% 10% 40% 60% 60% 70% 70%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
WSW 34 47 WSW 33 45 WSW 31 43 WSW 27 38 SW 24 38 SW 27 44 WSW 29 44 WSW 29 43 WSW 28 41
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VG VG VG VG G M G G G
Humidity arrow down
94% 94% 91% 94% 94% 91% 89% 92% 94%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
Friday   (30 September 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Thunder shower night Thunder shower night Thunder shower night Thunder Thunder shower day Thunder shower day Thunder shower night Light shower night
Temperature (°C)
5 4 4 5 6 6 5 4
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
-1 -1 -1 0 2 2 1 0
Precipitation probability arrow down
70% 60% 60% 60% 60% 70% 60% 40%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
WSW 25 37 WSW 24 36 WSW 23 33 WSW 21 32 WSW 20 33 W 20 32 WSW 17 25 WSW 16 23
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
G VG VG G G G VG VG
Humidity arrow down
95% 96% 96% 93% 86% 84% 91% 94%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
Saturday   (01 October 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Thunder shower night Light shower night Cloudy Sunny intervals Light shower day Light shower day Partly cloudy night Clear night
Temperature (°C)
3 3 3 5 6 6 5 3
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
-1 -1 -1 1 3 3 1 0
Precipitation probability arrow down
50% 30% 10% 20% 40% 40% 10% <5%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
SW 15 22 SW 15 21 SW 13 20 SW 13 22 WSW 13 25 W 14 26 W 12 19 SW 11 17
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VG G G G G VG VG VG
Humidity arrow down
96% 96% 97% 94% 86% 81% 90% 95%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
Sunday   (02 October 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Partly cloudy night Partly cloudy night Partly cloudy night Cloudy Sunny intervals Sunny intervals Partly cloudy night Cloudy
Temperature (°C)
3 2 2 5 8 7 6 6
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
-1 -1 -2 2 4 3 2 2
Precipitation probability arrow down
<5% <5% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
SW 11 16 SSW 11 16 S 11 16 S 12 20 SSW 15 28 SSW 16 28 S 17 27 S 18 29
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
VG G G G VG VG VG G
Humidity arrow down
97% 97% 98% 94% 81% 85% 92% 94%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
Monday   (03 October 2016)
0100 0400 0700 1000 1300 1600 1900 2200
Cloudy Cloudy Light rain Light shower day Light shower day Light shower day Light shower night Clear night
Temperature (°C)
6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8
Feels like temperature (°C) arrow down
1 1 1 3 4 5 4 5
Precipitation probability arrow down
10% 20% 50% 40% 40% 40% 30% 30%
Wind direction, speed & gust (mph) arrow down
SSE 19 31 SSE 20 33 SSE 21 35 S 22 37 S 26 41 S 20 36 S 19 34 S 12 26
Visibility (E = Excellent, VG = Very Good, G = Good, M = Moderate, P = Poor, VP = Very Poor) arrow down
G G G G G G VG VG
Humidity arrow down
95% 96% 97% 93% 91% 90% 91% 95%
UV index arrow down
0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
More Detail chevron down

Issued at: 0500 on Tue 27 Sep 2016

Forecast summary

Regional forecast for Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders

Dull, damp Tuesday morning. Dry, sunny, windy afternoon.

Today:

Cloudy damp morning, misty. Last of rain clearing eastern Borders by early afternoon. Then dry with some sunshine the best in the east. Strengthening west to southwesterly winds with gales possible in exposed areas especially across the Lothians. Warmer. Maximum Temperature 19 °C.

Tonight:

A dry evening with strong westerly winds, possibly gales in the Lothians this evening, easing overnight. A mild night again. Minimum Temperature 10 °C.

Wednesday:

A dry and bright start then clouding over with some rain, with the odd heavier spell in the afternoon. A brighter warmer spell then more rain by the evening. Gales. Maximum Temperature 20 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Thursday and Friday bright with some sunshine but some blustery showers. Windy, gales possible early Thursday, then easing. Fewer showers and lighter winds on Saturday.

Updated at: 0428 on Tue 27 Sep 2016

UK forecast for the next 5 days

Some brightness today but further rain expected.

Today:

It'll be a grey and damp start to the day for most with patchy light rain and drizzle. Brighter conditions will move in from the northwest through the day with some sunshine but it'll be windy in the north.

Tonight:

It will stay windy in the north tonight with showers here. It'll be a dry night for most with clear spells but rain will move into Northern Ireland later.

Wednesday:

Wednesday will start dry and bright for most. Rain, heavy at times, and strong winds will affect northern and western parts especially. It will feel very warm in the southeast.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Cloud and outbreaks of rain will slowly clear the south on Thursday with blustery showers elsewhere. Friday and Saturday will have sunshine and blustery showers, with thunder likely in northwest.

Updated at: 0414 on Tue 27 Sep 2016

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Oct 2016 to Monday 10 Oct 2016:

The weekend will be breezy, with a risk of gales at times in the north and west. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely, which will be most persistent in northern and western parts, with the best of any bright spells in the southeast. Changeable conditions are expected to continue through the rest of the period with mainly west or southwesterly winds dominating. This will bring showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed by some brighter periods. The most persistent rain occurring in the northwest, where there is also the risk of occasional gales. Some good brighter spells are possible in the southeast. Temperatures a little below average at first, but then rising to near or above average in the south, and perhaps also at times further north.

Updated at: 1205 on Mon 26 Sep 2016

UK Outlook for Tuesday 11 Oct 2016 to Tuesday 25 Oct 2016:

There is currently low confidence for the forecast during the second half of October. However, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of mainly west or southwesterly winds. This will bring changeable weather with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with some dry and bright periods. The north and west is likely to see the heaviest and most persistent rain, with also strong winds or gales at times. The south and east is likely to see the best of the dry and bright conditions, with the possibility of some more prolonged settled spells. Temperatures will vary through the period, but probably averaging out slight above average for the time of year, with an increasing risk of overnight frost in the more settled spells.

Updated at: 1205 on Mon 26 Sep 2016