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yellow Warnings have been issued for the United Kingdom

Lake District

Weather hazards over 300m on Sun 07 Feb 2016

High risk

Storm force winds
Gusts up to 80mph are possible during the middle of the day.
Gales
Gusts exceeding 50mph expected all day.

Medium risk

Severe chill effect
Strong winds combined with the wet conditions will lead to a severe chill risk.
Persistent extensive hill fog
Hill fog will become persistent down to around 500m during the evening.
Heavy persistent rain
Heavy rain during the evening may persist for several hours.

Low risk

Thunderstorms
A low risk of thunderstorms on the heavy band of rain affecting the park during the evening.

No risk

Blizzards
none
Heavy snow
none
Strong sunlight
none

Sun 07 Feb 2016

Mostly dry through the morning, though southwestern facing slopes may see some patchy light showers which will bring snow above 500m or so. A band of rain, often heavy, arrives late in the afternoon, bringing with it a low risk of thundery outbreaks and snow above 500-600m. Rain and snow will ease a little late in the evening and become less widespread.

Time
0600 to 0900 0900 to 1200 1200 to 1500 1500 to 1800 1800 to 2100 2100 to 2400
Weather
Partly cloudy night Cloudy Sunny intervals Heavy rain Heavy rain Light rain
Precipitation probability
40% 40% 20% 70% 70% 60%

Visibility

Excellent at times, giving clear views of distant fells, however visibility will fall to moderate in any rain or showers, leaving only adjacent fells visible. Visibility will become poor in any sleet or snow.

Hill Fog

Occasional patches down to 700m through much of the morning, this lifting to leave the fells fog free during the early afternoon. As a band of rain arrives, hill fog down to 500m will become widespread, with occasional patches down to 200m in the west.

Max wind above 500m

Southwesterly 40-45mph with gusts of 55-60mph, possibly reaching 55mph with gusts of 80mph for a time around midday.

Temperature

Valleys:
Plus 4 Celsius around dawn, rising to plus 8 Celsius. Falling back to plus 4 Celsius in the evening.
800m:
Around minus 1 Celsius.
Freezing level:
600-800m, rising above the summits for a time towards the end of the period.

Ground conditions

Latest: 06/02/2016 18:41 FELL TOP CONDITIONS REPORT at Helvellyn summit at 13:45UTC on Saturday 6th February 2016. Fresh snow was down to 550m this morning, and with more falling throughout the morning the fells are looking wintry yet again. At 550m the snow was no more than 1cm in depth, and thawing. Higher up the snow depth is up to 20cm in sheltered hollows, particularly on aspects facing NW through to E, but in exposed areas, such as much of the summit plateau, scouring has occurred and these areas are largely clear of snow. With a freezing level at 550m initially, there was some ice forming on paths at this altitude, but the freezing level was rising rapidly, and by midday was above the summits. On Swirral Edge there is now snow over the entire length of the ridge, requiring the use of ice axe and crampons to remain safe. Some verglas was present on exposed rocks, but this was starting to thaw. The cloud base today ranged from 600m - 700m, giving poor visibility above that height. A map and compass and the ability to use them in limited visibility were essential today. Full winter clothing and equipment are essential for safe walking in the fells at present. Today the windchill was not far off -10C, so plenty of warmth layers were needed, as well as full waterproofs. An ice axe and crampons are highly recommended for anyone venturing above 600m. Temperature: plus 0.7 C, Maximum wind speed: 52.2 mph, Wind chill: minus 9.4 C, Average wind speed: 38.6 mph.

Mon 08 Feb 2016

Scattered showers are expected through much the day, with some sleet on the highest peaks, whilst the odd shower may be heavy and thundery. Occasional breaks in the cloud may give some sunny spells. A more widespread band of rain arrives in the evening.

Visibility

Generally very good with distant peaks clearly visible, but falling to moderate in rain or showers. Visibility may become poor where showers fall as sleet.

Hill Fog

Patches down to 500m across the park throughout the day.

Max wind above 500m

Southwesterly 35-40-mph with gusts of 55mph at first. After dawn becoming westerly 25-30mph with gusts of 40-45mph.

Temperature

Valleys:
Plus 4 Celsius at first rising to plus 8 Celsius by mid afternoon. Falling to plus 4 Celsius again during the evening.
800m:
Around minus 1 Celsius.
Freezing level:
800-900m.

Tue 09 Feb 2016

Occasional showers through the day, with further snow likely on the peaks. Showers will then ease overnight. Light to moderate westerly winds, becoming northwesterly later. Freezing level 600-800m.

Wed 10 Feb 2016

Turning colder but mostly dry with sunny spells and light winds. Cloud will begin to build during the evening. Light northwesterly winds, becoming moderate southerly by late evening. Freezing level 400m.

Thu 11 Feb 2016

A band of rain, heavy at times, will affect the park through much of the day. This will be followed by showery conditions. Moderate southerly winds strengthen to gale force. Freezing level 300-500m.

Issued at: 0208 on Sun 07 Feb 2016