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yellow Warnings have been issued for the United Kingdom

Lake District

Weather hazards over 300m on Sat 28 Feb 2015

High risk

Gales
Gales throughout the day with a high risk of losing ones footing.
Severe chill effect
Strong winds and rain will cause additional chill.

Medium risk

Storm force winds
Gusts of 70mph are possible over the highest peaks, especially in the evening.
Persistent extensive hill fog
Widespread hill fog to 500m, with some patches down to 200m in places.
Heavy persistent rain
Heavy outbreaks of rain likely in the evening for a time in the evening.

Low risk

No low risks
none

No risk

Blizzards
none
Heavy snow
none
Thunderstorms
none
Strong sunlight
none

Sat 28 Feb 2015

Cloudy with light rain or drizzle through much of the morning but becoming patchier through afternoon. An organised band of rain moves in through the evening, with heavy outbrekas at times, especially on windward slopes towards Ennerdale and the western fells. Rain will ease towards midnight. Snow likely above 700m.

Time
0000 to 0300 0300 to 0600 0600 to 0900 0900 to 1200 1200 to 1500 1500 to 1800 1800 to 2100 2100 to 2400
Weather
Light rain Light rain Light rain Cloudy Cloudy Heavy rain Light rain Light rain
Precipitation probability
30-50% 50-70% 30-50% 20% 20% 70-90% 50-70% 10-30%

Visibility

Generally moderate but dropping to poor or even very poor in heavy rain.

Hill Fog

Widespead hill fog to 500m. Through the early hours some patches temporarily down to 200m, particularily towards the north and south of the park. Fog in the east will lift for a time through the afternoon, but western fells are likely to be foggy all day.

Max wind above 500m

Southerly or southwesterly gale force 40-50mph with gusts 60mph. Decreasing for a time duing the afternoon to 30-40mph. Increasing again later with very strong gusts of up to 70mph possible during the evening.

Temperature

Valleys:
Plus 4 Celsius, rising to plus 8 Celsius during the day. Falling to plus 4 Celsius again in the evening.
800m:
Around Minus 1 Celsius.
Freezing level:
Just above the peaks at first, decreasing to around 700m during the afternoon before rising above the peaks again during the evening.

Ground conditions

Latest: 27/02/2015 15:52 FELL TOP CONDITIONS REPORT Date: Friday 27 February Helvellyn summit at 1305 There has been a thaw-freeze over the past 24 hours with the general result that at lower levels the snow has thawed whilst the snowpack has been consolidated on the higher peaks. Below 500m only small isolated patches of snow remain. Between 500m and 700m the patches of snow that remain - which can be quite large - lie in sheltered spots and on paths where it has been compacted - so it takes longer to thaw. There was also quite a lot of ice on paths. Above 700m is a more consistent covering of snow although even at this altitude large areas of the fells, such as the majority of the summit plateau, are free from snow. The snowpack was generally quite hard, although sometimes with just a hard crust that breaks into softer snow beneath (if you have eaten too many pies recently!!). As throughout this winter, the greatest accumulations of snow are on east and north facing aspects where the thaw-freeze has consolidated the snowpack creating large amounts of neve - although climbers were still reporting soft snow in the gullies. The summit plateau was covered in ice. There are small cornices above east and north facing slopes, so please keep well back from such edges. There now exists a marked contrast between the green, Spring-like valleys and the winter conditions that exist above 700m - the summit windchill was minus 11 today; so full winter clothing and footwear remain essential for those venturing out onto the high fells. For those attempting, or traversing, steep routes above the snowline, an ice axe and crampons also remain essential together with winter mountaineering experience. For example Swirral Edge still has a substantial covering of hard snow and both it and Striding Edge's exit onto the summit plateau are guarded by banks of steep, deep, hard unavoidable snow where a slip can be fatal - as has regretfully been the case this year. The ability to navigate accurately in winter conditions as paths disappear is also crucial. Temperature: minus 2.3 deg C. Maximum wind speed 24.8mph. Wind chill: minus 11.5 deg C. Average wind speed: 18.6 mph.

Issued at: 1603 on Fri 27 Feb 2015

Sun 01 Mar 2015

Light patchy rain through the early hours, persisting until late morning in the east, falling as snow over 600m. Becoming dry through the afternoon and will stay fine through the rest of the evening.

Visibility

Moderate to start, becoming good or very good by late afternoon.

Hill Fog

Widespead hill fog to 500m, through the morning. Fog will rise through the afternoon to leave fells fog free through the evening and night.

Max wind above 500m

Southwesterly gale force, 45-55mph, with gusts of 65-75mph likely over summit tops. Gale force winds persisting throught the rest of Sunday, although easing slightly from the morning.

Temperature

Valleys:
Plus 4 Celsius rising to a maximum of plus 7 Celsius and falling to plus 2 Celsius by night.
800m:
Around minus 3 Celsius.
Freezing level:
Freezing level just above the summits at first, soon falling to around 600m during the day and down to the 200m by midnight.

Issued at: 1603 on Fri 27 Feb 2015

Mon 02 Mar 2015

Scattered snow showers through the day but will become more isolated during the evening. Strong to gale force westerly winds. Freezing level around 200m, but to valley level at times.

Issued at: 1603 on Fri 27 Feb 2015

Tue 03 Mar 2015

Mainly a dry day, but some scattered wintry sleet showers through the afternoon, snow at higher levels. Strong westerly or southwesterly winds. Freezing level 200-400m.

Issued at: 1603 on Fri 27 Feb 2015

Wed 04 Mar 2015

Dry with some clear and sunny spells developing later in the afternoon. Isolated wintry showers through the morning. Strong westerly or southwesterly winds, becoming moderate northerly winds later. Freezing level around 400m.

Issued at: 1603 on Fri 27 Feb 2015