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Lake District

Weather hazards over 300m on Fri 31 Oct 2014

High risk

No high risks
none

Medium risk

Gales
60mph gusts expected on exposed ridges and summits.
Persistent extensive hill fog
Persistent hill fog giving navigational difficulties in the morning, and again during the evening.

Low risk

Storm force winds
70mph gusts possible on the most exposed ridges and summits in the afternoon.

No risk

Blizzards
none
Heavy snow
none
Severe chill effect
none
Thunderstorms
none
Heavy persistent rain
none
Strong sunlight
none

Fri 31 Oct 2014

Mild and damp to start with patchy light rain and drizzle, most extensive on the western fells. Then it will become dry for a time in the morning and afternoon with some bright or sunny spells, before further rain pushes in from the west during the evening. It will feel very warm for the time of year in any sunny spells in the afternoon.

Time
0600 to 0900 0900 to 1200 1200 to 1500 1500 to 1800 1800 to 2100 2100 to 2400
Weather
Drizzle Cloudy Sunny intervals Cloudy Light rain Light rain
Precipitation probability
60% 30% 20% 30% 60% 70%

Visibility

Generally moderate or poor in rain and drizzle, perhaps becoming good for a time during the afternoon in any drier spells.

Hill Fog

Widespread persistent hill fog above 600m overnight and during the morning, with occasional patches down to 400m, particularly in the southwestern fells. Fog will lift for a time, before becoming widespread down to 600m again late in the evening as rain spreads in.

Max wind above 500m

Southerly 35-40mph with gusts up to 60mph, with a risk of 70mph in the afternoon over the highest summits.

Temperature

Valleys:
Plus 12 Celsius rising to plus 19 Celsius.
800m:
Plus 10 Celsius.
Freezing level:
Well above the summits.

Issued at: 0246 on Fri 31 Oct 2014

Sat 01 Nov 2014

A band of rain will pass through overnight, which could be heavy at times. By dawn this will have cleared to the east, introducing clearer brighter conditions with a much fresher feel than Friday. There will be a risk of the odd shower through the day, before cloud increases in the afternoon heralding the arrival of another band of rain.

Visibility

Poor in the rain overnight, but improving by the morning to good or very good. Dropping temporarily to moderate in any showers, before becoming moderate or poor in the late afternoon as rain moves in.

Hill Fog

Persistent at around 500m at first but lifting above the summits during the morning, save occasional patches to around 700m at times. Persistent hill fog will return in the late afternoon down to 500m, with patches as low as 300m in the west.

Max wind above 500m

Southwesterly 30-35mph with gusts to 50mph at first, increasing to 40-50mph with gusts up to 70mph by the evening.

Temperature

Valleys:
Plus 6 Celsius, rising to plus 12 Celsius.
800m:
Around plus 5 Celsius.
Freezing level:
Above the summits.

Issued at: 0246 on Fri 31 Oct 2014

Sun 02 Nov 2014

After overnight rain has cleared, a generally bright day with a mixture of showers and sunny spells. Strong southwesterly winds. Freezing level above the summits.

Issued at: 0246 on Fri 31 Oct 2014

Mon 03 Nov 2014

Scattered showers may merge into longer spells of rain at times. There is a risk of these being wintry and thundery especially over the highest summits. Feeling much cooler than of late in moderate northwesterly winds, with the freezing level just above the summits.

Issued at: 0246 on Fri 31 Oct 2014

Tue 04 Nov 2014

Another showery day. Some of these could be wintry down to around 800m in any heavier bursts. Moderate or strong northeasterly winds. Freezing level just above the summits.

Issued at: 0246 on Fri 31 Oct 2014