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Monthly to decadal prediction

A cloudy horizon separates the sea and a deep blue sky.

Research and development of skilful ensemble forecasts on monthly to decadal timescales, for adaptation to climate variability and change.

This area covers research into climate variability and predictability; development of operational ensemble-prediction systems, derived applications and products for monthly to decadal timescales. Our decadal prediction system is the first in the world and our long-range predictions are currently among the most skilful. The forecasts and applications have a variety of uses throughout the world.

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