An area of organised and locally heavy rain in the southwest during the evening moves northwards overnight. Clearer skies between these rain areas with some patchy fog possible in the northwest. Staying mild overnight but cooler for northern Scotland.
Monday:
Bands of rain and showers, heavy at times, moving northeastwards with drier and brighter spells in between. Locally strong winds along coasts in the south and east.
Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:
Unsettled with heavy showers and spells of rain, though some sunny spells breaking through on occasion. Mild initially, but perhaps turning colder in the north later in the week.
Updated:
UK long range weather forecast
The start of this period is likely to be unsettled and mild for most, with slow-moving bands of rain which could be quite heavy and prolonged in some areas. With time, the more unsettled conditions should gradually clear to the south, allowing a colder and more showery northerly flow of sorts to become established. In this setup, showers may be wintry over high ground, and perhaps occasionally to low levels in the far north, with also a greater risk of overnight frost. However, the timing of this transition is rather uncertain, and it could remain milder and wetter into the beginning of the following week, especially in the south. A general downward trend in temperature is most likely through this period, to below average in many areas beyond mid-November.
Updated:
Whilst the expected weather patterns during late November are very uncertain, there is a greater chance of spells of high pressure during this period, bringing more in the way of dry weather compared to the current weather pattern, which also increases the chances of overnight fog and frost. There will probably still be some spells of rain, showers, and stronger winds though, especially in the west. Hill snow is also a possibility, mainly in the north. Overall, near or slightly above average temperatures are most likely, though some colder spells are also possible, especially should any prolonged settled spells develop.