Warm, wet and windy, with more settled weather later in the week
Low pressure in the Atlantic will help bring a period of warmer weather on Tuesday, before turning increasingly wet and windy later in the day and into Wednesday.
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Very warm towards the southeast on Tuesday.
Many parts dry with clear spells allowing it to turn chilly across northern parts. Risk of some heavy rain initially in the far southeast, then more widespread cloud and patchy rain moving north across southern England and Wales later.
Cloud and patchy drizzle will quickly spread northwards tomorrow with winds continuing to freshen in the west. Very warm in the south come the afternoon with sunny spells developing.
Heavy rain moves across the UK on Wednesday, bringing a fresher feel. Staying breezy with sunny spells and showers thereafter.
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High pressure will likely be in place across much of central and southern UK through the first few days of this period. This means plenty of dry weather to be had, albeit with some chilly nights and overnight and morning fog in places. In the north, a rather more changeable pattern will continue, with occasional rain and often breezier conditions. Towards the end of this period, high pressure may have declined somewhat, allowing lower pressure to become rather more dominant, this probably centred somewhere to the west or south of the UK, though its proximity to the UK is more uncertain. However, there is a chance of some rain developing across parts of the south by mid-month. Overall, temperatures remaining above average overall.
Updated:
Quite an uncertain period of weather, with earlier signals of reliably wetter than normal weather now looking less likely. That being said, the middle of the month could be a quite a changeable period of weather overall, with the wettest weather most likely towards parts of the west and possibly south. It is quite plausible that marked regional variation in rainfall amounts will occur. Temperatures are likely to remain broadly above average overall.
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