Weather and climate change

Headline:

Sunshine and showers with a risk of thunder.

Today:

Sunshine and scattered showers, these heavy and carrying a risk of thunder across central and eastern parts. Longer spells of rain spreading across the north later. Cooler with brisk northerly winds, though feeling warm in any spells of sunshine.

Tonight:

Showers gradually clear to the east with clear spells developing for many western areas. A continued risk of scattered showers slipping southwards in the east. Feeling fresher for all.

Monday:

Drier and brighter for many, with lengthy sunny spells, though a few showers lingering in the southeast, these heavy at times. Cloudier with patchy rain in the north. Cooler.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

High pressure builds from the west bringing widely dry, settled conditions for the south. breezier further north with spells of rain at times. Temperatures on the rise once more.

Updated: 05:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 6 Jul 2025

A broad northwest/southeast split in the weather looks most likely through much of this period. Towards the northwest, Atlantic frontal systems will bring occasional rain and cloudier skies at times, along with breezier conditions, though there should be some drier, brighter interludes too. Further south and east, high pressure will likely dominate with a fair amount of dry and sunny weather to be had. With this, there is a signal for increasing heat and humidity and the potential for another period of hot weather to develop by the second weekend of July, probably lasting into the start of the following week. Given the anticipated high temperatures, the chance of thunderstorms also increases, though widespread rainfall across southern areas looks unlikely.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 5 Jul 2025

A continuation of the broad themes from earlier in the month at first, with high pressure probably dominating the south and lower pressure more favoured to affect the north and northwest. Temperatures are likely to end up above average overall with a continued, and perhaps higher than normal, chance of occasional hot spells or heatwaves, especially further to the southeast. However, by the turn of the month, there is a signal for perhaps more widely unsettled weather to develop, though the details of this are rather uncertain.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 5 Jul 2025