Marine climate change projections

UKCP18 and recent marine climate change projections

Summary material on the UKCP findings.

Probabilistic and sea level projections

Key results from the probabilistic projections and the sea level projections to 2100 are available as a spreadsheet. The results are for aggregated regions such as countries, administrative regions and river basin regions.

Sea level and storm surge factsheet

In the UKCP18 Factsheet on sea level and storm surge (886KB), you can find plume plots of sea level change and the variability across the UK coastline for three emissions scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP2.4 and RCP8.5) up to 2100. It also contains a table presenting the range of projected sea level changes for 2020, 2040, 2060 and 2080 for four UK cities and three emissions scenarios with respect to 1981-2000.