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, it will be the earliest date in May that the UK has seen 30°C since our records began in 1860.” He continues: “This week has already seen highs of 24.5°C at St James’s Park on Monday and 24.9°C at Ross-on-Wye and Trawsgoed on Tuesday. Today, temperatures are set to reach around 27°C, maybe even 28°C

impacts in the south-west of England on the 1st and 2nd. The M48 between junctions 1 and 2 was closed temporarily and the Sandbanks Ferry, the St Mawes Ferry and the Tamar Ferry were suspended due to strong winds. On the 11th there was flooding on roads in south-east Wales and in Swansea. Further

than or greater than a certain value, using the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF). A change at the 50% probability level is as likely as not to be exceeded. The CDF is useful for those who want to know the probability of climate change being less than some threshold where an impact of interest

of just two World Area Forecasting Centres advising airlines operating right across the globe, means we help people get away on business and pleasure safely and efficiently when they want. Our accurate weather information helps protect your loved ones in UK forces on exercises and missions around

. The café started with the ED NECJOGHA, Mr Patrick Luganda making introductory remarks where he welcomed participants and explained what a café is about. He explained that a café is a public discourse on the weather, climate and climate services especially climate forecasting services from end user

of meteorology must start with mention of the great Greek philosopher Aristotle (384 BC–322 BC). While may of his ideas in relation to meteorology were somewhat wide of the mark he can be credited with coining the term ‘meteorology’ which derives from the Greek words meteoron ‘thing high up’ and logia

Finance are working on this year’s allocations/budgets. Work is also underway to develop a R&D strategy. Negotiations continuing with EU. 4. Chair’s Report DP informed the group that he would like to continue with face to face visits as soon as possible. He has written to the Met Office to support

the importance of this work for MOD but also that he wouldn’t want to see any loss or degradation to existing services. MV also noted that FoOM must address the restrictions around classified information in the Defence area. RS confirmed that conversations had taken place with the Met Office MOD account

and Skill Scores • Skill scores just boil the contingency table down to one number • A forecaster basically thinks like a 2x2 contingency table • Hits and correct negatives are what you want (e.g. Heidke Skill Score) • Too many misses or false alarms and the forecaster won’t even look at your model

the greenhouse gases from the atmosphere which are causing the planet’s temperature to rise.  Dr Andy Wiltshire is the Met Office Head of Earth System and Mitigation Science. He said: “According to the IPCC’s latest assessment, the earth’s temperature is around 1.1C above pre-industrial levels – generally