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          South Asia is a varied and complex region that is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Monsoons are a dominant feature of the season here, with the region typically experiencing a pre-monsoon, the Southwest summer monsoon, post-monsoon and the Northeast winter monsoon

Indonesia/Malaysia and northern/eastern Australia. Over the next three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of Africa are likely to be wetter than normal. Meanwhile, much of West, Central and East Africa, Central Asia

most of the US and Caribbean, the Middle East extending east across Central Asia towards Japan, as well as Malaysia/Indonesia and adjacent countries. Notable exceptions to this are northern parts of South America, which is accompanied by wetter than normal conditions (see slide 6). The Pacific

exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia, mainly India, owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: February to November Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook June

and December. In southern Africa, it was very wet in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of this region. The start of this season is likely to be drier than normal in Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda

of wetter than normal conditions across central Asia and drier than normal conditions across parts of southeast Asia; however there is an increased likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across parts of Malaysia and much of Indonesia. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa are more likely to experience

changes, and vary geographically. Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan are unlikely to become significantly wetter on average, but there is medium confidence for wetter winter and spring months in higher elevation Central Asia (eastern Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, northern Afghanistan

months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook

and hot, dry weather). The temperate zones are divided into the Mediterranean climates with mild, rainy winters and hot, dry summers, and the temperate rain belts with rain in all seasons. On the eastern margins of the continents, especially in Asia, the subtropical desert zone and the Mediterranean

typically bring an increased likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa and wetter than normal conditions in southern Africa. For the next three months, below normal rainfall is likely across many parts of East Africa with a weakened ‘Short Rains’ season here. Signals are more mixed