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, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts Indian Ocean

October 2020 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. October began very unsettled, with Storm Alex bringing rain and strong winds to much of England and Wales on the 2nd, and a very wet day followed for much of the UK on the 3rd. From the 4th to 13th it remained

the last three months, the exception being Haiti which was very wet in December. Outlook: Over the next three months, parts of the Middle East and North Africa are likely to be drier than normal. In the Caribbean, Guyana is likely to be drier than normal. Tropical Cyclone outlook: North Atlantic

temperatures in December. Otherwise, above normal temperatures were experienced for most other areas. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are likely or very likely over the next three months. This implies an increased risk compared to normal of heatwaves and heat related impacts including for South

More Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Climate Outlook Global: September to June Overview 3 MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Following a drier than normal

normal temperatures throughout the period. Outlook: Above average temperatures are likely or very likely across much of the continent. The only exception for parts of India, with some northern and central areas like to experience below average temperatures, and parts of mainland Southeast Asia where

, with confidence highest across the Caribbean region, Central Indian Ocean and Central Pacific Ocean as well as parts of Levant and Yemen. 3-Month Outlook July to September 2020 - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right

drier than normal conditions particularly in August and October. Wet or Very Wet conditions have been observed across parts of West Africa, in association with an active West African Monsoon. Localised Wet or Very Wet conditions were also experienced across parts of northern Nigeria and southern Chad

later in the season (56% chance during May-July 2022). The effects of La Niña are likely to remain wide-reaching during the northern hemisphere spring. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal

Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Over the past three months, in West Africa rainfall was mostly near-normal though Cameroon and Nigeria were dry or very dry. DRC was very dry in August and September, while Chad and Niger were wet