Microsoft Word - NEB_upd_2021
as for the forecast in figure 1, for the Standard North East Brazil Region (SNEBR) which covers 43.125˚W- 35.625˚W, 3.75˚S-8.75˚S and is marked by the blue rectangle in Figure 1. Quintile category forecasts have been issued for this (or a very similar) region since 1987. Forecast probabilities