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data are being provided. The focus of the UKCP09 projections over land was the probabilistic projections which provided 30-year mean changes through the 21 st century. Underpinning this dataset was a set of 11 regional climate model results that were available for users who were able to use raw

” .......................................................................................................................................................6 2.2 Overview of the UKCP18 time-mean and extreme sea level projections .............................................................8 3. 21 st century projections

days with mean temperature above 5 o C and the first span after July 1 st of 6 days with mean temperature below 5 o C Monthly Average difference between the daily maximum and daily minimum temperature. Maximum 1-day Daily Monthly Highest value of daily rainfall precipitation Precipitation Maximum 5

-to-year is high, which makes any trend due to climate change in past or future wind speeds difficult to detect. UK Climate Projections show an increase in mean wind speed in winter by the late 21 st century, but this is small compared to the natural year-to-year variability. Different climate models

living and studying in Bordeaux. During this course she became interested in climate dynamics and then ultimately the weather. She joined the Met Office in 2015 and since qualifying has enjoyed working all over the UK and the world with tours to the Falkland Islands, Cyprus, St Helena and most recently

high impact weather as well as wind, such as heavy rainfall. We will also make it much clearer when the named storms are affecting the UK and when they have finished. See our Storm Centre at www.metoffice.gov.uk/uk-storm-centre P J Jacqui Q * X * Kamil Louise Holly O Oisín R Robert Y * S Susan Z * V

general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

of ensemble hindcasts. The hindcasts are initiated on the 1 st , 9 th , 17 th , and 25 th of each month, with each initialization date generating 3 different ensemble members via the stochastic physics parametrization. Before coupling, the atmosphere and land surface were initialized to a re-gridded

135 0000 Recommended citation: Wilson, L., New, S., Daron, J., Golding, N. (2021). Climate Change Impacts for Ukraine. Met Office. Image credits: Front cover The Southern Bridge across the Dnieper in Kiev, the capital of Ukraine. (Shutterstock 1178833933). Page 8 Kamenets-Podolsky, Ukraine-MAY 19

that formed over the Bay of Bengal, with three forming in quick succession between 21 st June and 4 th July. The position of the monsoon trough was also further south than the climatological average, which caused these low pressure systems to move south resulting in heavy rain and flooding. The daily