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, and A. Woyessa (forthcoming, 2019). ‘NMA ENACTS: An example of a co-produced climate service’ in WISER co-production manual. 3 Zhou, G., M. Noboru, A. Githeko and G. Yan (2004). ‘Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands.’ Proc Natl Acad Sci U S

system. References Migliorini, S., and Candy, B. (2018), All-sky satellite data assimilation of microwave temperature sounding channels at the Met Office. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., under revision. Migliorini, S., Lorenc, A. C. and Bell, W. (2018), A moisture-incrementing operator for the assimilation of humidity- and cloud-sensitive observations: formulation and preliminary results. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. doi:10.1002/qj.3216

the planning steps, and this phase is about revisiting and compiling these in a robust framework, rather than about generating new content and ideas. Step 1.1 Select and define the area(s) of transformation: The area(s) of transformation will guide data collection and help narrow down the types

). • Project(s) developing climate and weather services using machine learning approaches to add value through identifying relevant hazards, quantifying how hazards translate into risks and cascade through complex systems, and understanding/ learning the utility of this information for managing risks across

. References Gohar G, Bernie D, Good P and Lowe JA, 2018. UKCP18 Derived Projections of Future Climate over the UK, Met Office. Available at https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/collaboration/ukcp/derived-projections OPEN ACCESS Lowe JA, Bernie D, Bett PE, Bricheno L, Brown S, Calvert D, Clark RT, Eagle

1914 UK 136.0 190 1 121.2 mm - 1980 England 145.9 241 1 121.2 mm - 1997 Wales 168.2 202 2 183.1 mm - 1998 Scotland 108.9 127 Not significant 153.9 mm - 1938 N Ireland 148.3 202 1 147.0 mm - 1931 England & Wales (*) 149.0 234 1 124.3 mm - 1998 England N 188.1 277 1 134.8 mm - 1980 England S 123.7 218 1

and CDF plots for UK on the UKCP18 User Interface. The full dataset is available from the CEDA Data Catalogue: note that this requires familiarity with handling large datasets. References Lowe JA, Bernie D, Bett PE, Bricheno L, Brown S, Calvert D, Clark RT, Eagle KE, Edwards T, Fosser G, Fung F

for both the daily maximum and minimum average temperatures.   Northern Ireland had its joint-warmest September on record, with mean temperatures of 14.2°C matching 2006’s figure, in part because of some record breaking warm nights. Northern Ireland recorded their highest average minimum temperatures

The UK had its joint-warmest September on record in a series which goes back to 1884 according to provisional Met Office statistics. The UK’s September 2023 mean temperature of 15.2°C puts it level with 2006’s record figure in statistics that have been ‘substantially influenced’ by the impact

ensemble seasonal forecast for the next six months is generated by combining and bias correcting all forecast members available from the most recent three weeks.   References: Harada, Y., Kamahori, H., Kobayashi, C., Endo, H., Kobayashi, S., Ota, Y., Onoda, H., Onogi, K., Miyaoka, K., & Takahashi, K