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the scaling strategy will aim to achieve 1.a: Dimensions of innovation scaling to perform Upscaling dimension(s) Notes 1.b: Scaling ambition questions Question Answer Notes a) What is being scaled? b) Where will it be scaled – who will use the service? c) When will it be scaled? © Crown copyright

regions: Tropics 20°N to 20°S; Northern extratropics ≥20°N; Southern extratropics ≤20°S. Precipitation anomalies within standard regions: Tropics 20°N to 20°S; Northern extratropics ≥20°N; Southern extratropics ≤20°S. 3.1.2 Scores and diagrams to be produced for probabilistic forecasts: Reliability

evidenced manner; or  · the response addresses all elements of the Requirement very well and includes innovative and/or other good quality ideas that meet the Met Office ‘s Requirements and provides good evidence of where such ideas have been used effectively in the past and why they will work well

in wind speeds is modest compared to interannual variability for the PPE-15. • no trend in the wind speed over the UK for the mean of the CMIP5-13. Wind speed anomaly, m s ¡1 3 2 1 0 −1 −2 −3 DJF PPE-15 CMIP5-13 (subset) 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 Date Figure 1 Global projections

and comprehensively evidenced manner; or  · the response addresses all elements of the Requirement very well and includes innovative and/or other good quality ideas that meet the Met Office ‘s Requirements and provides good evidence of where such ideas have been used effectively in the past and why

to 40 km 1.875° x 1.25° (~140 km at mid-latitudes) 40 levels 1.0° x (1.0° increasing smoothly from 30°N/S to 0.33° at equator) Atmos: Met Office global analyses representative of current climate Ocean: Levitus present-day observed ocean conditions Sea ice: present-day conditions taken from previous

The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model - HadAM3. Climate Dynamics, vol 16, 123-146. (doi:10.1007/s003820050009) Reichler, T., and J. Kim, 2008: How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 303-311. Stott, P.A., S. F. B. Tett, G

east of 160°E and north of 25°S) Other tropical cyclone warning centres Australian Bureau of Meteorology (seas around Australia, longitude 90-160°E) MetService, Wellington, New Zealand (South Pacific Ocean east of 160°E and south of 25°S) Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, Hawaii (all oceans

AA_Cý < ýý ý ý.. ý,. SEU.. 74-t-ý 74. ý, 4 .. _.. t" q41k , ý _ý ý-Y C. a-ý., ý ý"L. AILIID SUPPM HEADQUARTERS 1,, EXPEDITIONARY FORCE _ýý G-3 (0ps) Division Stlflu/"t. f 21 June 1944 SUBJECT: Weather Conditions in the Normandy Beachhead Area from 17th to 21st June 1944. TO 3 AC of S. G-3 Division

of the UK over the next few days. Although peak temperatures may not be quite as high as we have seen already this week, we will still see temperatures widely in the mid to high 20’s °C. In the east, temperatures will not be quite as high, but they will still be into the low 20’s °C for many.” The sun