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, in general the 2.2km projections reinforce the UKCP results in terms of seasonal-mean changes. The 1 st number in the range, is the average result from RCP 4.5. To capture more extreme projections, the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one

inland fisheries will be reduced by rising water heavy rainfall and flood events. Infrastructure and settlements • More intense rainfall events will increase flood risk in settlements across Central Africa, with densely populated, low-lying, and fast-growing informal settlements most exposed

pressure system moved rapidly across the UK to lie over north Denmark by 18:00 GMT with a central low pressure of 976 mb. There was also heavy rain across many central and northern areas of the UK, with Capel Curig reporting 68 mm in the 24-hour period ending 18:00 GMT on 27 October 2002. Highest gust

the Northern Corries of the Cairngorms on 19 March 2018 - a bright sunny day. Images courtesy Mark Diggins, Scottish Avalanche Information Service . The image below shows lying snow in Exeter during the a ernoon of Sunday 18 March 2018. Image courtesy Mike Kendon, Met Office England diary of highlights

in a given year is, by definition, expected to lie within the 70% prediction interval approximately 7 out of 10 times. Thus in some years the observed number will lie outside of this range and this is consistent with the stated uncertainty in the forecast. However, it is of interest to consider reasons

. Temperatures could get down to -10°C in sheltered glens, or across high ground areas of Scotland where there is lying snow. Deputy Chief Meteorologist, Helen Caughey, said: “After a spell of wet and mild weather to start 2023, a brief cold spell will change the feel of our weather across the UK for a few days

90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90

intense rainfall events will increase flood risk in both rural and urban areas, with densely populated, low-lying urban areas particularly vulnerable. • People and businesses in ‘informal’ settlements and fast-growing towns with poor infrastructure are exposed to multiple threats. These include

% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90

is for RCP8.5, where 90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040