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in a given year is, by definition, expected to lie within the 70% prediction interval approximately 7 out of 10 times. Thus in some years the observed number will lie outside of this range and this is consistent with the stated uncertainty in the forecast. However, it is of interest to consider reasons
, with fresh snowfalls occurring in Wales and the Peak District on the 29th and 30th, and further significant snowfalls from 4 to 6 January. By 7 January, the UK was covered by lying snow, almost without exception, to significant depths in many areas. The map below shows recorded snow depths at 0900 GMT
90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90
% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90
90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90
. Temperatures could get down to -10°C in sheltered glens, or across high ground areas of Scotland where there is lying snow. Deputy Chief Meteorologist, Helen Caughey, said: “After a spell of wet and mild weather to start 2023, a brief cold spell will change the feel of our weather across the UK for a few days
is for RCP8.5, where 90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040
intense rainfall events will increase flood risk in both rural and urban areas, with densely populated, low-lying urban areas particularly vulnerable. • People and businesses in ‘informal’ settlements and fast-growing towns with poor infrastructure are exposed to multiple threats. These include
it? “So, another pulse of warm air drifts northwards during Friday. Where we've got that weather front lying, likely still to be some showery rain across the west. But it looks at the moment as if a good part of central and eastern England will have a fine, warm and humid day on Friday. “In fact, hot
, with a chance that a few places could see 20 cm or more. With such severe weather around it’s important to keep up to date with the latest forecast.” There will be strong easterly winds during this period which may lead to blizzard conditions, blowing and drifting of lying snow at times. Daytime
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