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), and literature on the question of targeted drought prediction versus rainfall prediction (7.5). The report draws on three existing reviews which may be consulted in parallel with this report, covering the existing seasonal forecast for the Sahel (Colman et al. 2017), the interface of climate science

PUBLIC WEATHER MEDIA SERVICE – PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS Daily, monthly and annual reviews of UK weather PRODUCT CODE – PWMS034 Release: 2.0 Date: 27 May 2016 Author: Colin Seddon Owner: Corinne George Client: PWMS Document Number: 1 Product Description History Document Location This document is only

. IMPACTS Cities and towns across the UK are already experiencing the impacts of climate change. The negative impacts of climate change for urban areas may include: HEAT Increased energy demand for summer cooling SEA LEVEL RISE Increased risk of coastal flooding HEAVY RAINFALL Increased risk of river

experiencing the impacts of climate change. The negative impacts of climate change for urban areas may include: HEAT Increased energy demand for summer cooling SEA LEVEL RISE Increased risk of coastal flooding HEAVY RAINFALL Increased risk of river and surface water flooding HEALTH Increased risk to health

. The negative impacts of climate change for urban areas may include: HEAT Increased energy demand for summer cooling SEA LEVEL RISE Increased risk of coastal flooding HEAVY RAINFALL Increased risk of river and surface water flooding HEALTH Increased risk to health from heat stress DROUGHT Risk to water

the impacts of climate change. The negative impacts of climate change for urban areas may include: HEAT Increased energy demand for summer cooling SEA LEVEL RISE Increased risk of coastal flooding HEAVY RAINFALL Increased risk of river and surface water flooding HEALTH Increased risk to health from heat

are already experiencing the impacts of climate change. The negative impacts of climate change for urban areas may include: HEAT Increased energy demand for summer cooling SEA LEVEL RISE Increased risk of coastal flooding HEAVY RAINFALL Increased risk of river and surface water flooding HEALTH Increased

and towns across the UK are already experiencing the impacts of climate change. The negative impacts of climate change for urban areas may include: HEAT Increased energy demand for summer cooling SEA LEVEL RISE Increased risk of coastal flooding HEAVY RAINFALL Increased risk of river and surface water

. In contrast, below or near- normal temperatures are likely for the Lesser Antilles and northern parts of South America, including Guyana. 3-Month Outlook May to July - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region

rain developing later in the day. Temperatures will be warmest in the west and southwest, where values may reach the mid-20s Celsius. Elsewhere, conditions will be cooler, with temperatures near or slightly below average for the time of year. Eastern England, in particular, will be several degrees