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Skip to main content Menu Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Met Office Search site Search x Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather

Skip to main content Menu Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Met Office Search site Search x Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather

from the App store and for Android from the Google Play store. Our long range outlooks are updated monthly. Keep track of current weather warnings on the weather warning page More by Prof Paul Davies The influence of climate change on severe weather Summer 2022: a historic season for northern

which has seen rapid climate change, partly in response to human influences caused by local, national and global social, economic, industrial, and land use developments. These changes have already had and continue to have impacts on different aspects of society, including health, agriculture, water

at the general themes indicated by a range of models. This applies not only to specific temperatures on a date two weeks away but also things like rain or snow event. Climate change Climate change has already influenced the likelihood of temperature extremes in the UK. In a recent study we found

The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change states that “it is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.”  We have already seen average global land temperatures increase over 1°C since the Industrial Revolution. As a result of this baseline

they can influence the climate by providing additional warming or cooling. These pollutants are identified as short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) because they reside in the atmosphere for a short period of time (less than 1 year), meaning their impact on climate is also shorter (within 2 decades) than long

Fraser works on the detection and attribution of climate change, particularly of events in Africa.

Areas of expertise Event attribution in African regions Detection and attribution of free atmosphere temperatures Publications by Fraser Lott Current activities Fraser works on Detection and Attribution of climate change, using statistical techniques to compare weather and climate observations

An historic day for weather and climate in the UK. That’s the view from Met Office scientists and forecasters as they review this week's extreme record-breaking temperatures.

: “In a climate unaffected by human influence, climate modelling shows that it is virtually impossible for temperatures in the UK to reach 40°C. “Climate change, driven predominantly by accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, has warmed the average climate by more than 1°C. So, when we see

Areas of expertise Climate model development and evaluation Representation of ASM in general circulation models Influence of vertical and horizontal resolution in models Sensitivity of modelled climate processes and phenomena to physical parametrizations Stratocumulus and cumulus cloud microphysics