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• PowerPoint Presentation

  developing is lower than predictions for ENSO. Should a negative IOD establish then wetter than normal conditions become more likely across Australia and Southern Asia; drier than normal conditions in East Africa for the Short Rains season (October-November-December). 3-Month Outlook September to November

• PowerPoint Presentation

  season). 1. Note: Normal in the south, hot in the north 2. Note: Hot in the west, Normal in the east 3. Note: Normal in some central parts 4. Note: Normal but Very Wet in the far west 5. Note: Normal in the northwest 6. Note: Normal, but dry or very dry in parts of the northeast and southwest 7. Note

• Seasonal Climate Outlooks

  What is the Seasonal Climate Outlook? Following the El Nino event in 2015, the Met Office worked with the UK Government’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) and the University of Reading to design a new service which would provide insights into the upcoming season and enable more

• PowerPoint Presentation

  with a La Niña, a negative IOD can increase the effects of a La Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below

• PowerPoint Presentation

  later in the season (56% chance during May-July 2022). The effects of La Niña are likely to remain wide-reaching during the northern hemisphere spring. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal

• marthews_2014_ch17.pdf

  . Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96 (12), S1–S172. Citing a section (example): Yoon, J. H., S.-Y. S. Wang, R. R. Gillies, L. Hipps, B. Kravitz, and P. J. Rasch, 2015: Extreme fire season in California: A glimpse into the future? [in “Explaining Extremes of 2014 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc

• marthews_2014_ch17pdf

  . Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96 (12), S1–S172. Citing a section (example): Yoon, J. H., S.-Y. S. Wang, R. R. Gillies, L. Hipps, B. Kravitz, and P. J. Rasch, 2015: Extreme fire season in California: A glimpse into the future? [in “Explaining Extremes of 2014 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc

• Pacific Ocean warming signals the possible return of a strong El Niño

  and temperature patterns across the globe, though impacts vary by region and by season. Areas close to the Pacific, such as parts of South America, can experience much wetter conditions, while regions including eastern Australia, Indonesia and parts of South‑East Asia often become drier and warmer than average

• PowerPoint Presentation

  of the wetter season for North Africa and the northern parts of the Middle East; however, some areas have experienced drier than normal conditions. During September to November, much of the Caribbean region was drier than normal although Haiti and Guyana experienced normal or above normal rainfall

• PowerPoint Presentation

  elsewhere (3) Note: Wet in parts of the north, normal* elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: November to August Current Status 11 Current Status – Caribbean Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall November