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The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change states that “it is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.”  We have already seen average global land temperatures increase over 1°C since the Industrial Revolution. As a result of this baseline

they can influence the climate by providing additional warming or cooling. These pollutants are identified as short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) because they reside in the atmosphere for a short period of time (less than 1 year), meaning their impact on climate is also shorter (within 2 decades) than long

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into four quarters. “Looking at longer timescales, our recently updated 30-year averages can show us how ‘normal’ seasons are changing over time, giving us clues about trends in the UK’s climate.” Astronomical definitions of seasons also exist – using the Earth’s position relative to the Sun as the cue

at the general themes indicated by a range of models. This applies not only to specific temperatures on a date two weeks away but also things like rain or snow event. Climate change Climate change has already influenced the likelihood of temperature extremes in the UK. In a recent study we found

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Fraser works on the detection and attribution of climate change, particularly of events in Africa.

Areas of expertise Event attribution in African regions Detection and attribution of free atmosphere temperatures Publications by Fraser Lott Current activities Fraser works on Detection and Attribution of climate change, using statistical techniques to compare weather and climate observations

Skip to main content Menu Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Met Office Search site Search x Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather

Skip to main content Menu Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Met Office Search site Search x Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather

Skip to main content Menu Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Met Office Search site Search x Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather